clueless Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 CAD saving us. Trend is our friend. Cool. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 CAD saving us. Trend is our friend. Cool. i don't think it's a stretch to say that CAD is generally stronger than modeled. It's one thing this area can often rely on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 i don't think it's a stretch to say that CAD is generally stronger than modeled. It's one thing this area can often rely on. It's kind of a mesoscale feature. The globals don't seem to pick up on it super well at range though there has been a nice CAD kink for a few days. Main concern here is how long it can hold as an easterly flow tries to take over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Euro sounds hideous Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 4, 2013 Author Share Posted December 4, 2013 i don't think it's a stretch to say that CAD is generally stronger than modeled. It's one thing this area can often rely on. CAD and heat. kinda ironic Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Euro sounds hideous cause she's a guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 4, 2013 Author Share Posted December 4, 2013 Euro sounds hideous you reading SNE again? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Euro sounds hideous 5.7 for Dulles per snowmap. Sucks to be you. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 cause she's a guy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 you reading SNE again? Sorry...I had everyone on ignore except Ian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 It's kind of a mesoscale feature. The globals don't seem to pick up on it super well at range though there has been a nice CAD kink for a few days. Main concern here is how long it can hold as an easterly flow tries to take over. Yeah...the CAD signature can be apparent, but the details aren't nailed very well. I think this is where local knowledge plays a big part. You're right, of course, in that easterly flow can bust it up pretty good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 4, 2013 Author Share Posted December 4, 2013 Sorry...I had everyone on ignore except Ian You just hurt Wes's feelings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 cause she's a guy lol'd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 18z happy hour is gonna b rockin'! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Euro sounds hideous cause she's a guy ummm....khakis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 0z NAM positively absolutely will be telling. Mark my words. Deadly 84 hour range. Here's my prediction on the NAM: 2-4" of snow then near crippling ice storm, ending as drizzle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 ummm....khakis yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 0z NAM positively absolutely will be telling. Mark my words. Deadly 84 hour range. Here's my prediction on the NAM: 2-4" of snow then near crippling ice storm, ending as drizzle. Lock Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 4, 2013 Author Share Posted December 4, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 f95a390adf5c8fcb98c157bff538e124.jpg I'm a good straight man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MN Transplant Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 f95a390adf5c8fcb98c157bff538e124.jpg We all watch too much tv. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 SET CONDITION: ALPO CATEGORY 5!!!!!!!!!!!! **ALERT *** 12z WED GFS SEEING THE ARCTIC AIR.. COMES IN COLDER.. SNOW FOR DCA BWI / NORTHERN VA ENDS AS INCERIC METRO MUCH COLDER .. ICE FOR 12 HRS..SW VA /PIEDMONT CATEGORY 4-5 ICE STORM THREAT INCREASING ...MORE ICE FOR N CENTRAL NC Given how the operational GFS model is worshiped as a god by and NWS and TV stations -- which is quite unfortunate-- the significant shift towards a colder overall solution by the 12Z WED operational GFS at 1115 AM Wednesday morning IS going to cause significant widespread changes later on this afternoon and evening from TV NWS and TWC --(the weather channel). Based on this 12z wed GFS run ...the event BEGINS AS SNOW over northern half of the entire Shenandoah Valley into Northwest Virginia including Washington, DC and Baltimore . It could be significant snow OR just a few inches. Right now most of the TV stations Washington and Baltimore calling for either sleet going to rain or just plain old rain. I have insisted that such a forecast was bogus and the trend clearly is supporting my perspective. From Charlottesville over to Staunton north up to Winchester into Western Maryland and over towards Washington, DC Hagerstown Frederick and Baltimore.. and up to the Pennsylvania Maryland border this event will begin as snow and will likely stay snow for several hours on Sunday. It WILL change over the ice Sunday evening and it will stay ice until the event finishes. This means you should prepare for at least a few inches of snow and significant ice on top of that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 ince, or ice? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 DT ridin' the CMC it appears Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 ince, or ice? Might be time for a new, separate file of DT Lolz? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 At least it'll end as ince. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 ince, or ice? ince is some scary sh*t Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Might be time for a new, separate file of DT Lolz? I feel bad because he is almost certainly dyslexic, but he's such a caustic prick that it's almost impossible not to Wiggum him a bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bodhi Cove Posted December 4, 2013 Share Posted December 4, 2013 Um, silly question, but, wtf is an ALPO level? I don't have a dog to feed during a storm of any level... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2O Posted December 4, 2013 Author Share Posted December 4, 2013 now i'm hungry for some incemeat pie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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