Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,607
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

December 2013 Obs


metalicwx366

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 413
  • Created
  • Last Reply

CAE......no zr or ip forecasted

 

.NEAR TERM /TONIGHT/...
THE NAM AND GFS SHOW THE RIDGING WEAKENING TONIGHT AS A TROUGH
DEVELOPS OFFSHORE. THE NAM IS MOST PRONOUNCED WITH THIS FEATURE
AND SHOWS GREATER MOISTURE SPREADING INTO MAINLY THE EAST PART.
THE MODELS DISPLAYS CATEGORICAL POPS AND HAS AMOUNTS RANGING FROM
0.01 OF AN INCH IN THE NORTHWEST TO 0.1 OF AN INCH IN THE
SOUTHEAST SECTION. THE NAM HAS NOT BEEN CONSISTENT. BASED ON THE
INITIAL DRYNESS AND THE H5 CONFLUENT PATTERN SHOWN BY THE NAM PLUS
JUST WEAK ISENTROPIC LIFT SHOWN BY BOTH MODELS...WE BELIEVE THE
NAM POPS ARE OVERDONE TONIGHT INTO THURSDAY MORNING. BELIEVE
CLOUDINESS AND SPRINKLES WILL BE THE MAIN EFFECT FROM THE TROUGH.

PRECIPITATION TYPE IS A CONCERN BECAUSE OF THE LOW DEWPOINT
TEMPERATURES IN PLACE AND THE POTENTIAL FOR EVAPORATIVE COOLING.
CLOUDINESS SPREADING INTO THE FORECAST AREA PLUS WEAK WARM
ADVECTION SHOULD HELP HOLD UP TEMPERATURES. THE NAM DISPLAYS
SURFACE TEMPERATURES ABOVE FREEZING WHERE MOISTURE IS DEEP ENOUGH
FOR PRECIPITATION. THE MODEL ALSO KEEPS WET-BULB TEMPERATURES
ABOVE FREEZING EXCEPT IN THE NORTHWEST PART WHERE THERE WILL BE
LESS SUPPORT FOR PRECIPITATION AND LESS EVAPORATIVE COOLING
POTENTIAL. ALL OF THE LATEST SREF MEMBERS KEEP THE TEMPERATURE
ABOVE FREEZING. BASED ON THESE FACTORS WE FORECASTED RAIN INSTEAD
OF FREEZING RAIN LATE TONIGHT AND EARLY THURSDAY MORNING.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Dry and cold here that band of rain is having a hard time progressing North. Doubtful that see anything around this area... which really don't bother me getting tired of the rain honestly. But yall enjoy it Durham and Raleigh.

 

Hopefully we can get some accumulating snow around here soon.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Woke up to a very light glaze in Chapel Hill.

No such luck here, cars had a little ice on the roofs but that was about it, not even enough to wet the driveway. Temp just went above freezing, and now the rain is finally falling, go figure. Bands earlier were off the my west around the triangle, and just east over the eastern half of Pitt. 34/30 -RN

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...