metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2013 Author Share Posted December 22, 2013 We have only had one freeze so far this year. Pcbjr has had 3. Christmas looks cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 12:34 AM, metalicwx366 said: We have only had one freeze so far this year. Pcbjr has had 3. Christmas looks cold. No freeze tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 12:32 AM, metalicwx366 said: Lmao. That is Florida. We don't live anywhere close to Florida. Downtown (?) Waycross is 35 miles from the FL/GA border. On 12/22/2013 at 12:29 AM, metalicwx366 said: My forecast low tonight is 66 and tomorrow night is 67. Lol The forecast low here is 62 over the next two nights. Of course, the forecast low on Tuesday night is 25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 Just went back and re-visited one of our old storm threads over on Eastern for the Jan 29-30, 2010 winter storm. Brick and Widreman were in rare form back then..... Anyway, if you want to keep some of those, I suggest you get over there before it gets lost forever. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2013 Author Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 12:58 AM, superjames1992 said: Downtown (?) Waycross is 35 miles from the FL/GA border. The forecast low here is 62 over the next two nights. Of course, the forecast low on Tuesday night is 25. Lol yeah I know we are right near the border. I was hoping we would stay warm for Christmas. 3.06 for the month so far. 64.75 for the year. A weather station two miles to the NW has a yearly total of 75.25. That stations rainfall totals for the past four years. 2012: 53.62 2011: 61.42 2010: 57.84 2009: 77.19 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2013 Author Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 1:17 AM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Just went back and re-visited one of our old storm threads over on Eastern for the Jan 29-30, 2010 winter storm. Brick and Widreman were in rare form back then..... Anyway, if you want to keep some of those, I suggest you get over there before it gets lost forever.Hey could you post a link. I would like to read it. Also if you have the February 12th 2010 storm as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jburns Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 Tis the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 1:41 AM, metalicwx366 said: Hey could you post a link. I would like to read it. Also if you have the February 12th 2010 storm as well. http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/forum/15-weather-forecasting-and-discussion/page__prune_day__100__sort_by__Z-A__sort_key__start_date__topicfilter__all__st__1480 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 So, we've had 3 crappy operational runs of the GFS in a row. Will we hit for the cycle? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/224661-deep-southsoutheast-snowstorm/ http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/224550-potential-north-florida-snowstorm-211-12/ Just for you metal-man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2013 Author Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 2:06 AM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/forum/15-weather-forecasting-and-discussion/page__prune_day__100__sort_by__Z-A__sort_key__start_date__topicfilter__all__st__1480Dang! 50 pages in one day. We need another 2009-2010 winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 2:17 AM, Cold Rain said: So, we've had 3 crappy operational runs of the GFS in a row. Will we hit for the cycle? Weird thing is that I thought the 18z GFS Ensemble was its best run yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 Bring back the super thread!!! Tony's storm would get 60 pages in 4 hours!! Super thread, super thread!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 Those were the days. Seemed like every storm we tracked produced Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 2:33 AM, griteater said: Weird thing is that I thought the 18z GFS Ensemble was its best run yetlol.. so did I. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2013 Author Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 2:43 AM, franklin NCwx said: Those were the days. Seemed like every storm we tracked producedLol someone said that the cold was getting old. It's like during that winter, snow events were normal. Yall didn't even seem that excited during February. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2013 Author Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 2:20 AM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/224661-deep-southsoutheast-snowstorm/ http://www.easternuswx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/224550-potential-north-florida-snowstorm-211-12/ Just for you metal-man That's crazy. Models were showing 3-6 inches of snow for Florida. We were under a winter storm warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 2:46 AM, metalicwx366 said: Lol someone said that the cold was getting old. It's like during that winter, snow events were normal. Yall didn't even seem that excited during February.might have been me. I think by February I was on my 6th event? I know we ended that year with a good one in March too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 2:33 AM, griteater said: Weird thing is that I thought the 18z GFS Ensemble was its best run yet I didn't see it. Good to hear though. Dumb question... Are the ensemble mean images available for free or only through pay sites? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted December 22, 2013 Author Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 2:53 AM, franklin NCwx said: might have been me. I think by February I was on my 6th event? I know we ended that year with a good one in March too.Crazy. What caused it to stay cold almost the entire winter? Was the winter +PNA and -NAO/AO with extreme blocking the majority of the Winter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 3:04 AM, Cold Rain said: I didn't see it. Good to hear though. Dumb question... Are the ensemble mean images available for free or only through pay sites? Free... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 3:05 AM, metalicwx366 said: Crazy. What caused it to stay cold almost the entire winter? Was the winter +PNA and -NAO/AO with extreme blocking the majority of the Winter?el nino, mostly negative nao and ao. Periods of positive pna. The blocking was fantastic and the southern stream was very active. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 3:16 AM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: Free... Ok. I know the individual members for 500 mb and surface are on eWall but don't see the means there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 3:25 AM, Cold Rain said: Ok. I know the individual members for 500 mb and surface are on eWall but don't see the means there. The means are the last line on ewall for each run. The UI is a bit messed up but the mean 500mb is the last line. Tropical tidbits also has a good free GFS Ensemble page Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 3:25 AM, Cold Rain said: Ok. I know the individual members for 500 mb and surface are on eWall but don't see the means there. Yeah, that's the site I use. I just look at the individual members....... I don't see a blend either, but you can get a pretty good idea of what it would look like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 3:05 AM, metalicwx366 said: might have been me. I think by February I was on my 6th event? I know we ended that year with a good one in March too. Crazy. What caused it to stay cold almost the entire winter? Was the winter +PNA and -NAO/AO with extreme blocking the majority of the Winter? Yes, Yes, and Yes as Franklin said. Everyone didn't get hit big, but from a 500mb pattern standpoint, it was as good as it gets. The 1969 winter was another one with a really great pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 3:29 AM, griteater said: The means are the last line on ewall for each run. The UI is a bit messed up but the mean 500mb is the last line. Tropical tidbits also has a good free GFS Ensemble page Thanks man. I'll look at that. Guess I've been overlooking it. Really appreciate it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAD_Wedge_NC Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 3:29 AM, griteater said: The means are the last line on ewall for each run. The UI is a bit messed up but the mean 500mb is the last line. Tropical tidbits also has a good free GFS Ensemble page I think he was looking for temp and precip mean.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 On 12/22/2013 at 4:04 AM, CAD_Wedge_NC said: I think he was looking for temp and precip mean.... Tropical Tidbits has precip totals and surface temp anomalies for the mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted December 22, 2013 Share Posted December 22, 2013 All the pretty ensemble maps that get posted here I think are from pay sites. But eWall will suffice for the general stuff, it looks like. Apparently, we didn't hit for the cycle. We're back to cold in the LR GFS again. No fantasy storms though. Both the 0z and 6z Op looks dry, fwiw (which is not very much). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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