FLweather Posted January 24, 2014 Share Posted January 24, 2014 That would indeed be something. Not seeing anything much now; seems hung up west of P'cola for the most part - but maybe it will scoot east and not dissipate. Are you looking at any particular radar? NWS. But there is virga over S GA and there appears to be some slight strengthening around/north of the Mobile area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Dissipating now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Never fear Phil, 12z Euro ensembles still showing Gainsville some love. Barely anything on the OP, but the ensemble mean is about 1.1" snow with 10 members with 2" or more and 29 out of 50 with accumulating snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted January 25, 2014 Share Posted January 25, 2014 Never fear Phil, 12z Euro ensembles still showing Gainsville some love. Barely anything on the OP, but the ensemble mean is about 1.1" snow with 10 members with 2" or more and 29 out of 50 with accumulating snow. Thanks, Jon! And look what's crossing S Ga right now: Keep me posted! Phil PS - Can you PM me any Ens maps to get my heart rate up !!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted January 27, 2014 Share Posted January 27, 2014 This was on FB taken just north of Pensacola the other day with their surprise flizzard. Freaky as h*ll to see this Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 With storms developing over the Keys, and the approaching squall line beginning to show up on Tampa radar, it looks like things could get interesting over the FL peninsula this afternoon - and into the overnight for southern regions. HRRR: WRF-ARW: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 really looking forward to how this plays out this afternoon. 82 here with cloud deck building. this impending show coming off the gulf later almost makes being so sick im home from work worth it lol. just hoping i can stay awake long enough to see it..should make for good window open weather if it gets breezy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0092NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0107 PM CST WED FEB 12 2014AREAS AFFECTED...SRN AND CNTRL FLCONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELYVALID 121907Z - 122100ZPROBABILITY OF WATCH ISSUANCE...80 PERCENTSUMMARY...A SEVERE THREAT APPEARS LIKELY TO DEVELOP ACROSS THE FLPENINSULA THIS AFTERNOON. WIND DAMAGE WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT BUTA TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT. WW ISSUANCE WILL LIKELY BE NEEDEDACROSS THE MCD AREA.DISCUSSION...THE LATEST WATER VAPOR IMAGERY SHOWS AN UPPER-LEVELTROUGH IN THE MS VALLEY WITH A LEAD SHORTWAVE EXTENDING SWD ACROSSTHE ERN GULF OF MEXICO. AT THE SFC...A 1008 MB LOW IS LOCATED ABOUT130 STATUTE MILES SOUTH OF TALLAHASSEE FL WITH A WELL-DEVELOPED 40TO 55 KT LOW TO MID-LEVEL JET CO-LOCATED WITH THE SFC LOW. ASQUALL-LINE IS LOCATED TO THE SOUTHEAST OF THE JET FEATURE AND ISMOVING TOWARD FL PENINSULA WHERE SFC DEWPOINTS ARE IN THE MID 60S F.THE LINE IS PROJECTED TO MOVE INTO THE TAMPA BAY AREA IN THE 21Z TO22Z TIMEFRAME. A FORWARD SPEED OF LINE 30 TO 35 KT ALONG WITH SOMEINTENSIFICATION SHOULD RESULT IN A WIND DAMAGE THREAT IN WRN ANDCNTRL FL THIS AFTERNOON. AN ISOLATED TORNADO CAN NOT BE RULED OUT ONTHE LEADING EDGE ASSOCIATED WITH BOWING SEGMENTS. MORE ISOLATEDTHUNDERSTORMS MAY ALSO DEVELOP ACROSS SCNTRL FL WHERE MODERATEINSTABILITY IS LOCATED ALONG WITH SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE UPPER 60S F.THESE STORMS COULD ALSO HAVE A POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WIND GUSTS INTHE FORM OF WET DOWNBURSTS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 I'm curious how long that northward-moving cell in Dade county will last. Could become severe as it moves north into a more highly-sheared environment (if it holds together). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oldlogin Posted February 12, 2014 Share Posted February 12, 2014 Line moving through St Pete now---Heavy rain but not much wind. An ASOS station reported gusts in the 40s, but it is not wide spread--Some thunder , but for a Florida storm its minor---- Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted February 13, 2014 Share Posted February 13, 2014 We're currently in the clear down in Miami, but prolific lightning with those cells just offshore / over the Gulf stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 seems like another round of storms tomorrow. time will tell if they reach maximum potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 seems like another round of storms tomorrow. time will tell if they reach maximum potential. Nice bow echo crossing the lower peninsula right now. It's very outflow dominant, so best chance of a tornado developing would be if isolated cells can develop ahead of the line, or perhaps if a break in the line can form. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Near Town 'N' Country.... Time: 2014-03-06 17:38 UTCEvent: TORNADOSource: BROADCAST MEDIARemark: PUBLIC REPORTS TORNADO TOUCHDOWN WITH FLYING DEBRIS NEAR HANA AVE. AND HANLEY RD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted March 6, 2014 Share Posted March 6, 2014 Just below Clearwater Time: 2014-03-06 17:05 UTCEvent: null TORNADOSource: PUBLICRemark: PUBLIC REPORT WITH PICTURE VIA SOCIAL MEDIA OF TORNADIC WATERSPOUT MOVING ONSHORE AT INDIAN ROCKS BEACH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 I'll be a snowbird in Orlando, Florida next month and we'll be looking forward to thunderstorms and severe weather tracking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted March 9, 2014 Share Posted March 9, 2014 I'll be a snowbird in Orlando, Florida next month and we'll be looking forward to thunderstorms and severe weather tracking. Typically April/May is dry down here - wildfire season. Want T'storms? June - Sept will give you more than you care for! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jimbo! Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 here comes da rain mon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Nice right-turning supercell south of Key West. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted March 25, 2014 Share Posted March 25, 2014 Nice right-turning supercell south of Key West. supercell_S_KEYW.png The one that is about 70 miles northwest of Key West really looks good, very strong couplet associated with it along with a BWER. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted March 29, 2014 Share Posted March 29, 2014 Pretty wicked T-storms down here right now; T-Watch until 5:00 PM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted April 14, 2014 Share Posted April 14, 2014 Typically April/May is dry down here - wildfire season. Want T'storms? June - Sept will give you more than you care for! Thanks for the weather outlook. I've started to upack and to relax . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 Thanks for the weather outlook. I've started to upack and to relax . Enjoy your stay! Burn out on Orlando for 10 days then go see some of real Florida. To your north is the horse country around Ocala; neat geologic formations up here around Gainesville and west to Cedar Key; to your west of Orlando is the Ibor City district (Tampa) and Clearwater Beach; due south of you is some awfully unspoiled and fascinating terrain, and east - there is the St. John's River to explore (and go fish for a day), and some nice beaches past the river. All within a 2 hour drive in any direction. Anywichway you head - it can be pretty, and county by county the weather likely will be (or well can be) different. Welcome to Gator Country! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted April 15, 2014 Share Posted April 15, 2014 And WeatherFox - If you're here into mid-May, you'll get to experience our "love bug" phenomena! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherFox Posted April 17, 2014 Share Posted April 17, 2014 Ah yes, I remember driving thru Florida as a boy with my parents and sister. And getting a net to place over the cars grill to prevent damage to the cars engine from all the bugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWarning Posted April 18, 2014 Share Posted April 18, 2014 Looks like the entire State should have above-average rainfall for the month of April after this front pushes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted April 18, 2014 Share Posted April 18, 2014 Looks like the entire State should have above-average rainfall for the month of April after this front pushes through. April showers bring May love bugs ..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smog strangler Posted April 28, 2014 Author Share Posted April 28, 2014 Dry season is dying IMBY. No more fronts and it won't be but two or three weeks before the wet season commences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
icebreaker5221 Posted May 17, 2014 Share Posted May 17, 2014 Now that I've moved to CA, the FL thread grows even smaller. Sorry guys! I'll continue to drop by during active weather from time to time. Might be a quiet hurricane season with a developing El Nino. That said, even though El Nino reduces overall TC activity, many low-activity Nino years nonetheless featured one or more FL landfalls... so you never know! Could also be wet and active severe weather next winter if El Nino becomes strong. Lots to keep an eye on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlizzardWarning Posted June 12, 2014 Share Posted June 12, 2014 Looks like we should see some severe thunderstorms later this afternoon as the SW rounds the base of the trough. Clouds have almost completely vanished where I am and temperatures have increased to 87 where I am. Conditions today are better than they were yesterday as far as triggering mechanisms go. With the instability on the increase, would not be suprised to see some flash flooding around the area today. AREA FORECAST DISCUSSIONNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL940 AM EDT THU JUN 12 2014.UPDATE...THE LARGE RAIN SHIELD THAT LED TO THE ACTIVE OVERNIGHT PERIODACROSS SOUTH FLORIDA HAS DIMINISHED WITH MAINLY SPRINKLES ORDRIZZLE REMAINING THIS MORNING. AS A RESULT...THE FORECAST HASBEEN UPDATED TO DECREASE THE RAIN CHANCES THROUGH THE MORNINGHOURS. THE MAIN QUESTION WILL BE THROUGH THE AFTERNOON/EVENINGPERIOD TODAY. THE LATEST SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWED A LARGE CANOPYOF CLOUD COVERAGE ACROSS THE AREA WITH A FEW BREAKS NOTED AROUNDGLADES/HENDRY COUNTIES. IF THIS CLOUD COVERAGE MANAGES TO BURN OFFOR BREAK THROUGH THE DAY...A COMBINATION OF THE PULSES OF ENERGYWRAPPING AROUND THE BASE OF THE UPPER TROUGH AND DAYTIME HEATINGWILL TRANSLATE TO ANOTHER ACTIVE AFTERNOON/EVENING PERIOD. THEMORNING UPPER AIR SOUNDING AT MIAMI SHOWED A VERY MOIST COLUMNWITH A PW OF 1.74" AND DECENT LAPSE RATES BETWEEN 850 AND 600MB.THE 500 MB TEMPERATURE WAS AT 9.6 C DEGREES...WHICH WAS COLDERTHAN YESTERDAY DUE TO THE FALLING UPPER HEIGHTS. CONSIDERING THERAINFALL THAT HAS FALLEN OVER MUCH OF THE AREA OVER THE PAST FEWDAYS...LOCALIZED FLOODING COULD BE REALIZED IF THESE CONDITIONSMATERIALIZE. HOWEVER...IF THE CLOUD COVERAGE MANAGES TO STAY INPLACE...THE CHANCES OF AN ACTIVE AFTERNOON WILL BE LOWER. THELATEST HRRR ACTUALLY REFLECTS THIS LATTER SOLUTION OR MORE OF AQUIET AFTERNOON PERIOD DUE TO THE OVERCAST CONDITIONS. CONSIDERINGTHESE VARIOUS POSSIBILITIES...VERY LITTLE CHANGE WAS MADE TO THEPREVIOUS PACKAGE FOR THIS PERIOD TODAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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