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December 2013 obs and discussion


Ian

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You guys are crazy. Wind is the best. Hot wind, Cold Wind, Dusty wind, Snowy wind, I'll take it all. The only wind I don't do is wind driven rain unless I know it's coming OR I know I'm just going to be soaked anyway.

You missed the only good one... swirly wind.

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Today I discovered three piles of sleet/snow that survived the torch. They are 7 inches tall. They are in the lot to the south of the Rec Center in Dale City. I can't believe they made it through the 60s and 70s and 63 degree dewpoints, but they did. They were protected by trees.

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You're really gonna crap on Wes? You're kidding right?

Who's crapping on Wes?

He's a self-proclaimed low skilled forecaster in the medium to long range, which is a very humble and respectable position to take given his vast depth and subject-matter-expertise.

He knows better than to dabble in even semi-certainty in 7+ days out....thus the caveats.

Anyone reading the CWG piece and taking away high confidence in a pending snowfall is missing the gist of the analysis.

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Who's crapping on Wes?

He's a self-proclaimed low skilled forecaster in the medium to long range, which is a very humble and respectable position to take given his vast depth and subject-matter-expertise.

He knows better than to dabble in even semi-certainty in 7+ days out....thus the caveats.

Anyone reading the CWG piece and taking away high confidence in a pending snowfall is missing the gist of the analysis.

 

Nobody said there's high confidence.... but you said there are no signs of accumulating snow anytime soon while there certainly is the potential for something.

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Working on squeezing out a white Christmas here.  1/2" of snow and coming down steadily.  I wasn't looking forward to explaining to my boys how Santa gets around with no snow on the ground!

So just how many years have you NOT had a white Christmas up there? I'd say few. My grandparents lived in either Rainelle (2500) or Quinwood (3200) in western Greenbrier county so I generally had white ones growing up just by 'going over the river and through the woods' so to speak.

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So just how many years have you NOT had a white Christmas up there? I'd say few. My grandparents lived in either Rainelle (2500) or Quinwood (3200) in western Greenbrier county so I generally had white ones growing up just by 'going over the river and through the woods' so to speak.

I'd say we're around 75% for having a white Christmas. We're definitely not immune from torches (like the one that just blew away our winter-wonderland). But fortunately we usually cash in on a little whiteness when the cold comes back.

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Most western MD webcams west of Cumberland are showing light accums. Speaking of Cumberland.....what a terrible spot for snow. Too far west for most coastals. Too far east for upslope. Must be agonizing if you're a snow lover living there. At least you're only a short drive over keyser's ridge to MA snow heaven.

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