powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Yeah I have a hard time believing Smuggs only got 2"....but if you look at my post from 4-5am that has the radar loop, the firehose band was just moving south of Mansfield towards Bolton. Maybe it didn't get them at Smuggs? I don't know but I'll have some good pow pics later . I also saw radar before bed last night at it was snowing on Mansfield by 10pm, and Froude was high so plenty of moisture pouring over to the east side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Solid moderate to heavy snow shower coming through now. About .2” in the last ten minutes or so. It has been impressive the last week or so wrt accumulating snow even though the amount has not been all that large. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Snowing lightly but steadily up here...cars are all dusted over and white again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow Bow Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Barely even showing up on radar too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 This ha been quite a wintry week overall. I think I've had snow 4 out of the 5 days and temps have been January-esque. Looks ike we can keep the wintery feel going for at least a few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 what's your latest expectation for NEK (valleys and hilltops)? 6-9" in the heavily downsloped valleys (Littleton, NH and I-91 south of St. J) 9-12" elsewhere with 12" above 1,500 feet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbutts Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 3/4" of ultra fluff fell while I wasn't paying attn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 6-9" in the heavily downsloped valleys (Littleton, NH and I-91 south of St. J) 9-12" elsewhere with 12" above 1,500 feet. You're going higher than me . I like 5-9" most areas. I'm still tentative about the fast movement. Maybe 4-8"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
klw Posted December 13, 2013 Author Share Posted December 13, 2013 Looks like BTV tweaked their maps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ctsnowstorm628 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 You're going higher than me . I like 5-9" most areas. I'm still tentative about the fast movement. Maybe 4-8"? Thats my honest gut feeling, but for VTrans I went 4-8" NEK, 6-10" you, 5-9" BTV. I could see more though. Something about snow and below 10F makes me excited. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Thats my honest gut feeling, but for VTrans I went 4-8" NEK, 6-10" you, 5-9" BTV. I could see more though. Something about snow and below 10F makes me excited. Ed, If you have a chance, Can you thro up some 12 euro qpf numbers? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Thats my honest gut feeling, but for VTrans I went 4-8" NEK, 6-10" you, 5-9" BTV. I could see more though. Something about snow and below 10F makes me excited. Do you have ECM data? Wondering how it went up here and don't dare ask in the main thread. Hard to get NNE data out of them. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Do you have ECM data? Wondering how it went up here and don't dare ask in the main thread. Hard to get NNE data out of them. It looked like somewhere around a half inch of qpf for you. I'd think that's pretty high ratio stuff though...even a bit of upslope on the back to finish it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I will be happy with a few inches so I am not going to worry about 5" vs 9" or so on. Obviously the more the better but I think it is a good bet we will do alright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 It looked like somewhere around a half inch of qpf for you. I'd think that's pretty high ratio stuff though...even a bit of upslope on the back to finish it. Thanks Will. Most models have been pretty consistent around 0.4-0.5" up here so seems like a safe bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The BTV4 is pretty underwhelming though...0.25-0.5" QPF for most of us, with KDryslot right around 0.5". Dendrite looked to do the best on that run. It even has storm total QPF as low as 0.1-0.25" for the western slopes of the Greens in downslope flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The 12z Euro clown maps add up to about 10-14" for most but it is very smoothed and not taking into account our terrain impacts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 The BTV4 is pretty underwhelming though...0.25-0.5" QPF for most of us, with KDryslot right around 0.5". Dendrite looked to do the best on that run. It even has storm total QPF as low as 0.1-0.25" for the western slopes of the Greens in downslope flow. I can see i am in the .75" shading on the Euro, But could be there or .99" actual number wise.........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mreaves Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 After a high of 16° at 7:51 am, KMPV has dropped to 9° and they have had -SN almost continuously since 4:00 am. Winter is in the house. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I can see i am in the .75" shading on the Euro, But could be there or .99" actual number wise.........lol Yeah you have nothing to worry about...solid warning snowfall no matter what model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Yeah you have nothing to worry about...solid warning snowfall no matter what model. Yes not an issue on this one, Sometimes i sit on the fence in these, Not the case it seems this time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I can see i am in the .75" shading on the Euro, But could be there or .99" actual number wise.........lol GFS is in that same 0.75" range, too. (And they've been showing a Grinch storm for next weekend on many runs as well - glad that's out in la-la land.) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 No worries what-so-ever. Latest and greatest from GYX. Now, if that 14-18" contour would just back into the coast a little.... (greedy, I know!) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I wish it wasn't the 18z NAM... but it clobbers us pretty good with a stripe of 0.75"< QPF and a heavy band. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
eyewall Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 BTV is confident enough to pull a warning despite QPF jitters some are having. They have yet to update their AFD though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 We do not toss. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.Spin Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Winter Storm Warnings are now up from BTV with 5-10” mentioned in the text: They’ve also updated their projected accumulations map again, and I’ve added the last three versions in sequence for the visuals on the changes. In general the highest amounts have consolidated and moved to the southern part of Vermont: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 We do not toss. image.jpg I do wonder if we'll see our favorite Lakes Region through IZG band. I'm just digging into AWIPS now though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 I do wonder if we'll see our favorite Lakes Region through IZG band. I'm just digging into AWIPS now though.Let me know what you think. I just got in and haven't looked at much yet other than a weenie NAM sim radar to see where the highest reflectivities end up. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Let me know what you think. I just got in and haven't looked at much yet other than a weenie NAM sim radar to see where the highest reflectivities end up. lol 13km Euro definitely keys on the coast. Like 1.1" QPF from the Monadnocks through PWM, then tapering to 0.6" up against the Whites. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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