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December Discussion Thread


IsentropicLift

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The 12z UKMET even with a further offshore track has 2m temps above freezing for just about the entire northeastern US

 

TS_TS_PN_060_0000.gif

This might be okay for the mountains of VT/NH especially as the low is leaving, but it's a horrible waste of a storm because of the low to the north of it engulfing the Northeast in marginal cold air.

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Also pretty substantial wind threat on the 18z NAM for Long Island and coastal sections in particular.

 

Surface temps are in the low to mid 50's for a majority of the region. 40's NW and 30's more than 50 miles NW of NYC. 

 

as long as there is action that is fine with me. nothing more boring then 20's and sunny :axe:

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Looks like Upton is starting to change their tune about tomorrow evening for the interior.

 

UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS WITH THE TEMPERATURES AND HOW ISOTHERMAL THE
TEMPERATURE PROFILE BECOMES AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY...FOR THE INTERIOR
AREAS. IF TEMPERATURES BECOME COLD ENOUGH WITH AN ISOTHERMAL PROFILE
AROUND 00-03Z...COULD SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW WHICH COULD
ACCUMULATE 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW IN ORANGE COUNTY AND HIGHER
ELEVATIONS.

 

 

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Looks like Upton is starting to change their tune about tomorrow evening for the interior.

 

UNCERTAINTY THEN EXISTS WITH THE TEMPERATURES AND HOW ISOTHERMAL THE

TEMPERATURE PROFILE BECOMES AS THE LOW PULLS AWAY...FOR THE INTERIOR

AREAS. IF TEMPERATURES BECOME COLD ENOUGH WITH AN ISOTHERMAL PROFILE

AROUND 00-03Z...COULD SEE A BRIEF PERIOD OF HEAVY SNOW WHICH COULD

ACCUMULATE 1-2 INCHES OF SNOW IN ORANGE COUNTY AND HIGHER

ELEVATIONS.

Looks good to me

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Well, 1,604 feet elevation here...Hoping we get a 2-4 inch blanket of white.

The column looks to go isothermal for a while as the low pulls away. You could have a few bands that produce for you at the end, but I wouldn't expect more than a couple or few inches. And if the precip is lighter, it could fall as a mix.

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