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December Discussion Thread


IsentropicLift

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What a heck of a turn around, but all stations will still end up below normal for December, that's how cold it's been. And out west temps are averaging 40 below normal!

I actually didn't mind this brief torch. I would rather see it now then during the real winter months of Jan and Feburary.

Those places out west are in the interior of the continent. They're suppose to get wild temp swings whether it's very positive or very negative.

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The models had a big change overnight moving to a more active MJO pulse developing. The

last few days had things stalled out in the COD. So don't be surprised if we see some changes

in modeling going forward from the last few days of runs. But it would be great if we eventually

end up passing through 8-1 in early January for the potential for at least a moderate winter

weather event.

ECMF_phase_51m_full.gif

ECMF_phase_MANOM_51m_small.gif

UKME_phase_23m_full.gif

Looks like another thing for january that may work in our favor. Thanks relaying this info to us bluewave

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I wonder if we'll see more of a clipper type/ re-developer miller B pattern. I would love to get another January 2005 storm.

 

Cool air draining in now, feels nice and refreshing. The past few days were a nightmare to me. I enjoy 60s and low 70s, but in the spring, not around the winter solstice and the relatively high dews didn't help either. 

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I wonder if we'll see more of a clipper type/ re-developer miller B pattern. I would love to get another January 2005 storm.

Although I'll be back in Chicago in early January, I really like the chances for the east coast with the upcoming pattern. I think that with a moderately steep ULJ back in Montana and North Dakota, there's going to be a conveyor belt of more intense clipper coming directly from northern Alberta to the Mid-Atlantic states with good chances for redevelopment. Nothing is really showing on the models right now, but these types of events tend to pop out of nowhere with 72-96 hours before the event. Give it time.

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hires_snow_depth_neng_34.png

Tomorrow evening is roughly  2 to 3 hour , 30 miles wide event  , its not wide spread but should  coat the ground

where it passes . The models seem to take it along  80 - thru the city and into Nassau County .  The SIM  radar shows a nice 2 hour  reflection streaking E .

Where it does pass , it should make for a nice Christmas eve present .

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