Kaner587 Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Temp is not breaking 40 in NYC today. Big bust on low side Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TWCCraig Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Even if we dont get snow the cold will have some shot at some records. Be nice to break some record low max's to ruffle the jimmies of the "global warming crowd" (not starting a climate change debate) As much of a strong believer in AGW I am, I love to see cold records fall. It's a good sign. KNYC hasn't seen a record low min in a long time and this is the kind of pattern that can deliver. I'm hopeful. Snow pack helps too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Quite a nice look for early December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 For early December? That is a great look for mid January. Quite a nice look for early December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Boreal Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 For early December? That is a great look for mid January. What's intriguing is the lack of a more substantial snow cover for northern New York and New England. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 For early December? That is a great look for mid January. Not in the northeast mountains. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 odd seeing all the wsw and wwa from nyc-south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorthShoreWx Posted December 9, 2013 Share Posted December 9, 2013 Bring it on. Darth Vader is ready: http://www.newsday.com/long-island/transportation/lirr-adds-darth-vader-to-snow-response-arsenal-1.6565930 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Bring it on. Darth Vader is ready: http://www.newsday.com/long-island/transportation/lirr-adds-darth-vader-to-snow-response-arsenal-1.6565930 That looks fairly capable of handling the 2"-4". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 ORD is below zero tonight….impressive this early in the season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fantom X Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 There is quite a temperature contrast across Suffolk County this afternoon. Upper 30s - low 40's along the north shore, upper 40's - low 50's along the south shore, especially east of 111. 39 here. high was 51 imby Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted December 10, 2013 Share Posted December 10, 2013 Gfs has low single digits next Tuesday and near 60 the following weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 since the 8th NYC is in a cold regime...We had two minor snow events and another hopefully larger one on the way...The long range has more cold after a brief warm up...I was looking at Decembers with a cold two weeks before Christmas...I used the 10th to 23rd...here are the coldest I could find without any torching...we got the first day below 32 for a max...tomorrow could be the first minimum below 20... day.....max/min...precip...snowfall...depth... 1995........................................................... 10th.....32/15..........0.............0............T 11th.....24/15..........0.............0............0 12th.....26/16..........0.............0............0 13th.....28/20..........0.............0............0 14th.....37/24........0.42........1.7...........1 15th.....44/32..........0.............0............1 16th.....41/33........0.21........0.5...........T 17th.....41/31..........0.............0............T 18th.....39/30..........0.............0............0 19th.....33/22........0.68........5.5...........6 20th.....23/18........0.12........2.2...........7 21st.....30/19..........T.............T............6 22nd....34/28..........0.............0............6 23rd.....38/29..........0.............0............5 1960............................................................. 10th.....40/26..........0.............0............0 11th.....34/19........0.18........3.6...........4 12th.....21/9..........0.68......11.6..........15 13th.....20/8............0.............0..........15 14th.....29/17..........0.............0..........14 15th.....40/22..........T.............0..........12 16th.....40/30........0.24........0.1.........10 17th.....33/23..........0.............0............9 18th.....35/24..........0.............0............8 19th.....34/24........0.11........1.3...........9 20th.....34/21..........0.............0............8 21st.....49/25........1.29..........0............4 22nd....25/16..........0.............0............2 23rd.....22/9............0.............0............2 1958.............................................................. 10th.....24/14..........0.............0............2 11th.....23/14..........T.............T............1 12th.....29/18..........0.............0............1 13th.....30/21..........0.............0............1 14th.....30/20........0.03........0.3...........1 15th.....30/20........0.01........0.1...........1 16th.....29/18..........0.............0............1 17th.....40/24..........0.............0............T 18th.....37/29..........0.............0............T 19th.....46/30..........T.............0............T 20th.....41/15..........T.............0............0 21st.....27/14..........0.............0............0 22nd....29/12..........0.............0............0 23rd.....47/29..........0.............0............0 1955.................................................................... 10th.....33/24..........0.............0............0 11th.....36/23..........0.............0............0 12th.....38/27..........0.............0............0 13th.....39/26..........0.............0............0 14th.....40/29..........0.............0............0 15th.....42/21..........0.............0............0 16th.....31/17..........0.............0............0 17th.....38/23..........0.............0............0 18th.....43/30..........0.............0............0 19th.....35/20........0.01........0.1...........0 20th.....20/6............0.............0............0 21st.....18/5............0.............0............0 22nd....22/12........0.15........2.7...........3 23rd.....25/15..........0.............0............2 1962............................................................... 10th.....32/21........0.01........0.1...........1 11th.....26/18..........0.............0............T 12th.....25/16..........0.............0............T 13th.....23/13..........0.............0............T 14th.....25/16..........T.............T............T 15th.....27/14..........T.............T............T 16th.....31/23........0.01........0.3...........T 17th.....34/21..........0.............0............T 18th.....39/24..........0.............0............0 19th.....41/37..........0.............0............0 20th.....41/14..........0.............0............0 21st.....28/10........0.16........1.6............2 22nd....37/28........0.38........1.1............3 23rd.....39/31..........T.............T............1 1963............................................................... 10th.....39/33..........T.............T............0 11th.....37/30..........0.............0............0 12th.....36/27........0.32........2.3...........2 13th.....37/27..........0.............0............1 14th.....37/21........0.05..........T............T 15th.....29/18..........0.............0............T 16th.....27/19..........0.............0............T 17th.....29/20..........0.............0............T 18th.....30/23........0.14........1.4...........1 19th.....30/16..........T.............T............1 20th.....26/11..........0.............0............1 21st.....22/11..........0.............0............1 22nd....36/21..........0.............0............T 23rd.....32/28........0.60........6.0...........6 1989................................................................... 10th.....35/23..........0.............0............0 11th.....39/31..........0.............0............0 12th.....35/31..........T.............T............0 13th.....31/22........0.01........0.1...........T 14th.....31/14..........0.............0............0 15th.....40/23........0.15........0.7...........1 16th.....39/20..........T.............T...........T 17th.....31/18..........0.............0............0 18th.....27/16..........0.............0............0 19th.....27/18..........T.............T............0 20th.....32/19..........T.............T............0 21st.....22/12..........T.............T............T 22nd....18/8............0.............0............0 23rd.....22/6............0.............0............0 ........................................................................... 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CIK62 Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 06z GFS has warmup near 20th with rain, ending as snow by 22nd. Light snow X-Mas PM? Then a white X-Mas on the 27th followed by Arctic like cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
REDMK6GLI Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 We have healthy supplies of arctic air in canada. Now to start 2014 if we can get some blocking we could finally be talking about potentially major snowstorms for the metroplex area. We literally are not far away from getting a bombing LP off the east seaboard with blocking and copious amounts of cold air available as well. I am cautiously optimistic of 2014 as i think were in for something memorable if the blocking does occur at the right time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 70 ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 What an ugly map but that warm shot has been modeled for a while...hopefully the idea of a turn back to colder before Christmas is correct. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 12z GFS warm up for next weekemd is 48 hours long , Trough speeds east as it slides down the lee side the Rockies . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 12z GFS warm up for next weekemd is 48 hours long , Trough speeds east as it slides down the lee side the Rockies . Seems to agree with the euro temps you posted this morning. Day or maybe two in the 50's may be the deal, but nice and cold again by the 23rd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 06z GFS has warmup near 20th with rain, ending as snow by 22nd. Light snow X-Mas PM? Then a white X-Mas on the 27th followed by Arctic like cold. They moved christmas? Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 LR 12 z operational D 7 - 10 on the Euro loses the cold look after the following weekend ridge . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowshack Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 LR 12 z operational D 7 - 10 on the Euro loses the cold look after the following weekend ridge . Cold front still clears the coast by the d10, are you talking about after that ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Really cold morning on Tuesday for interior sections where winds go calm over the snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted December 13, 2013 Share Posted December 13, 2013 Looks like we warm up for a bit at the end of next week, then the arctic hounds come just before xmass….with the -epo we are going to have short warm ups and longer cold shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Lewis County: Constableville 56.0 Inches Glenfield 42.0 inches Highmarket 42.0 inches Lowville 32.0 inches Cgroghan 17.0 inches Oswego County: Redfield 58.0 inches Lacona 33.0 inches Bennetts Bridge 28.0 inches Pulaski 22.0 inches Some LES totals , After seeing the 0z Euro , this is like salt n the wound , the warm up is 5 days , not 2 . Looked zonal from next Thursday for 5 days . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 The models have really backed off of the cold that they were hinting at for the holidays and now have close to normal readings. colder run a few days ago Cold remaining further north in Canada NAEFS looks close to normal for week 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 The models have really backed off of the cold that they were hinting at for the holidays and now have close to normal readings. colder run a few days ago Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_North32America_240.gif Cold remaining further north in Canada Geopotential3250032hPa32and32Temperature32at3285032hPa_North32America_192.gif NAEFS looks close to normal for week 2 2013121400_054@007_E1_north@america_I_NAEFS@TEMPERATURE_anomaly@probability@combined@week2_198.png Yeh , gone is the cold look .The Trough heads into Europe , D 10 thru D 15 . The 500 MBs Euro Ensembles look zonal , We are missing this storm here in CNJ , and after a few days of cold This mornings Euro just have an above normal weekend and normal to above look as we go through xmas week . Don't see a reloading of the pattern on those maps . The GFS looks colder . The Euro did this a few weeks ago and 3 days later it lost the warmth , I can only hope its making a mistake again otherwise we are taking a break Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Cold front still clears the coast by the d10, are you talking about after that ? Yes . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 Yeh , gone is the cold look .The Trough heads into Europe , D 10 thru D 15 . The 500 MBs Euro Ensembles look zonal , We are missing this storm here in CNJ , and after a few days of cold This mornings Euro just have an above normal weekend and normal to above look as we go through xmas week . Don't see a reloading of the pattern on those maps . The GFS looks colder . The Euro did this a few weeks ago and 3 days later it lost the warmth , I can only hope its making a mistake again otherwise we are taking a break It looks like the models picked up on the stronger +AO the last few days than was earlier forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PB GFI Posted December 14, 2013 Share Posted December 14, 2013 It looks like the models picked up on the stronger +AO the last few days than was earlier forecast. ao.sprd2.gif I'm not sure. 2 things. We've been positive since nov yet since nov 1 we r prob minus 2. The GFS has been beating it lately in the LR Wow. I never thought I would ever type that. It mayb a case where the corrects colder over time. Look what it does day 9 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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