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December 2013 General Discussion


snowlover2

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Not in the glov, but.... Figured I'd post this here

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX

306 PM CST TUE DEC 24 2013

.DISCUSSION...

TIS THE AFTERNOON BEFORE CHRISTMAS AND I AM AT THE HELM

TO BRING YOU WHAT IS HAPPENING IN THE METEOROLOGICAL REALM.

IT TOOK QUITE A WHILE BUT THE SKIES FINALLY DID CLEAR...

THE ROLLING PLAINS CLEARED OUT AND MANY DID CHEER.

SNOW WAS STILL VISIBLE FROM OUR WEATHER SATELLITES ABOVE...

THE PANHANDLES STILL COVERED WHILE WE ARE BARREN OF.

UPPER AIR ANALYSIS SHOWS ZONAL FLOW IN PLACE ALOFT

WITH ONLY A SLIGHT HINT TO OUR NORTH OF A VERY WEAK TROUGH.

A SURFACE LEE TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED NEAR THE TX/NM STATE LINE

AND SOUTHWEST WINDS ARE BLOWING AS A TANGIBLE SIGN.

TEMPERATURES HAVE WARMED TO AROUND 60 FOR OUR AREAS HIGHS

BUT SHORT-LIVED IT WILL BE AS A WORD TO THE WISE.

A COLD FRONT WILL ARRIVE IN THE EARLY MORNING HOURS...

BREEZY AND DRY WITH NO CHANCE OF THOSE PESKY SNOW SHOWERS.

LOW CLOUDS AND FOG REMAIN A PART OF THE FORECAST AT HAND...

UNCERTAINTY IS HIGH IF THIS WILL COVER THE LAND.

SATURATION IN THE MODELS NEAR CHILDRESS LOOKS BEST

WHILE CONDITIONS ARE NOT AS GOOD AS YOU HEAD FURTHER WEST.

MENTION OF FREEZING FOG SEEMS BEST WAY TO GO

FOR THE ROLLING PLAINS AND AREAS SOUTH OF THE SNOW.

COLD AIR WILL ADVECT SOUTHWARD THROUGHOUT CHRISTMAS DAY

KEEPING TEMPERATURES COOLER AND WARMER WEATHER AT BAY.

TEMPERATURES SHOULD CLIMB INTO THE 40S FOR MOST LOCATIONS...

A BIT BELOW NORMAL BUT NOT UNSEASONABLE FOR OUR STATIONS.

MY CO-WORKER HAS LOOKED AT THE FORECAST BEYOND CHRISTMAS NIGHT

AND THERE LITTLE IN STORE FOR THE FORECAST IN SIGHT.

STUCK BETWEEN A RIDGE IN THE WEST AND A TROUGH IN THE EAST

NO MAJOR IMPACTS TO AFFECT US TO SAY IN THE LEAST.

WEAK COLD FRONTS WILL TRY TO MOVE SOUTH ON VARIOUS DAYS

BUT TIMINGS ARE DIFFERENT WITH MINOR DELAYS.

ON FRIDAY MORNING...

ON SATURDAY NIGHT...

THEN ON WEDNESDAY NEXT WEEK.

NO NEED FOR WARNING...

WE SHOULD BE RIGHT...

PRECIPITATION CHANCES LOOK BLEAK.

SUNDAY NIGHT IS THE ONE TIME THAT WE MAY SEE SOME SNOW

BUT THE MODELS ARE DIFFERENT AND CONFIDENCE IS LOW.

THE MOST OPTIMISTIC ECMWF HAS SNOW FLURRIES AT MOST...

WILL NOT MENTION IN THE GRIDS UNTIL THE MODELS COME CLOSE.

TEMPERATURES WILL BOUNCE AROUND NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR...

UPPER 40S TO LOW 60S IS NOTHING TO FEAR.

THE INHERITED FORECAST AND GRIDS ARE IN GREAT CONDITION...

FEW CHANGES WERE NEEDED AND WE HOPE IT COMES TO FRUITION.

ANOTHER FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR CHRISTMAS EVE IS SENT...

WE HOPE IT WAS CLEAR AND YOU UNDERSTAND WHAT IT MEANT.

TRADITIONS ARE IMPORTANT AND I DON/T WANT TO ANNOY

BUT I LOVE WHAT I DO AND THIS BRINGS ME GREAT JOY.

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IS HERE EVERY HOUR OF EVERY DAY

IN CASE THE WEATHER TURNS FOUL...NASTY...IS BORING OR GRAY.

AS THE NEXT SHIFT COMES IN AND OUR SHIFT END IS IN SIGHT...

HAPPY CHRISTMAS TO ALL...AND TO ALL A GOOD NIGHT.

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Man it is like you get 6" every day up there. Crazy amount of snow.

 

I've been thinking the same thing.  Seems like every time I read through the new posts weatherbo has one saying he has received another 3, 4, 6, or 8 inches of snow.  Around here, 3+ inch snowfalls are often few and far between.  Each one needs to be savored.

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I've been thinking the same thing.  Seems like every time I read through the new posts weatherbo has one saying he has received another 3, 4, 6, or 8 inches of snow.  Around here, we often have long breaks between 3+ inch snowfalls.

it's crazy and I'm still like a kid on Christmas and the locals look at me like I've lost my mind pretty much.  Gaylord should cross 90" for the season today  and I will break 75".

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well I rely heavily on a co-op about 4 miles from here along with what I measure. official totals aren't mine tho, I use the co-op. snows too much, it would be a full time job.

between today and tomorrow a foot, it adds up fast!

Christmas Day Snow showers. High near 23. Southwest wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. Total daytime snow accumulation of around 5 inches.

Tonight Snow showers. Low around 16. Northwest wind 10 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow accumulation of around 4 inches.

Thursday Snow showers, mainly before 4pm. High near 18. West wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New snow accumulation of around 3 inches

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Nice.  Gotta love snow on Christmas eve. 

 

IIRC we had a big snowstorm on xmas eve in either 96 or 97 that dropped about 8" of cement in 9hrs.  Ripped heavy snow from late afternoon through mid-eve. 

 

EDIT:  Here's a loop.  Guess it was '97

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=lotrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=100&interval=5&year=1997&month=12&day=24&hour=10&minute=40

Even though I was only six years old at the time, I remember this storm.  I am not sure about the exact details, but it was quite an icy and sleet-heavy storm here in Geneva, I believe.  My dad still remarks on this storm sometimes; he used to work up in Elgin (12 miles north of Geneva), and he says that it was so slick that he had to drive the 1982 Olds Cutlass Supreme that he had at the time in second gear all the way back home that evening. 

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Hope everyone had a great Christmas, I did :)

 

As annoying as losing the deep snow last weekend was, todays dusting of snow added to the holiday spirit. Its a very fine latitudinal line of snow right now (thanks in huge part to the events of last weekend). Here in the DTW area, lots of snowbanks still remain on every corner, so it still looks somewhat like winter. Once you get just north of Detroit, its instant winter wonderland. Depth is a T at DTW but 4" at DTX and FNT, and 9" at MBS. Once you head the other direction, CLE/TOL got so warm last weekend that youd have to go to a parking lot to see any remnant of snow. (other than any fresh dusting that fell today). And I see the same is true on the other side of the lake. Depth is 10" in MKE but T at ORD. If Mother Nature plays here cards right and starts spreading the wealth and shifting the snow slowly south, and we get solid coverage all the way deep into the OV, the wallop the potential New Years cold blast packs could be all the more impressive.

 

Did want to share a pic though. This was an impressive 2 foot drift at the end of a field last week. Checked it today and sure enough...rock hard. I am literally standing on top of 11" of snow and not so much as leaving a dent.

 

3654-800.jpg

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About 11" on the ground now here. 16.7" for the month and you can see below the winter tally so far. 

 

Snowiest December since 2010. High 24° today. Going into January it looks like I'll reach 30 straight days of snow cover easily.

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Hope everyone had a great Christmas, I did :)

Once you head the other direction, CLE/TOL got so warm last weekend that youd have to go to a parking lot to see any remnant of snow. (other than any fresh dusting that fell today).

Not true. We had lots of Lake Effect on the 24th. You might want to check out the Northern Ohio thread. I had 4.7" of snow on Christmas Eve. Pretty much everyone in northeast Ohio had an official white Christmas, including the airport which missed the brunt of the lake effect.

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