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A new model forecast was posted online last January by the Met Office that showed the

potential for the NW Atlantic SST's to drop. The scientists mentioned that they were not

sure quite yet what to make of a pool of colder waters in that region. They speculated that

it could be related to a change in AMO, but the AMO remained positive this year.

While they didn't mention the NAO/AO, these indices rose in 2013 off the lows of 2012. 

In fact, this was the first positive summer NAO/AO since 2006. The cooler SST's were

associated with the persistent low pressures in this region.

 

Link to January 2013 forecast:

 

http://www.metoffice.gov.uk/research/news/decadal-forecasting

 

All the forecasts show a change to much cooler ocean temperatures in the North West Atlantic

 

 

Model forecast

 

attachicon.gifScreen shot 2013-11-26 at 7.32.33 AM.png

 

 

2013 so far compared to 2012

 

 

 

It did.  Not raging positive.  But October 2013 AMO value came in at 0.375.  Which is the 3rd highest on record.  Edging out 2012 which was at 0.371.

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