96blizz Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Snow in Southern Sussex county... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 In case anyone is wondering, it would appear the GFS is verifying better than the NAM QPF-wise this afternoon... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 i <3 dual pol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 In case anyone is wondering, it would appear the GFS is verifying better than the NAM QPF-wise this afternoon... Yeah it seemed the echoes turn out to be more showery in nature, nothing like the nam huge totals for today. allentown and lancaster reporting light snow mod snow scranton Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Down to 38 here, snow being reported in high bridge, nj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Down to 38 here, snow being reported in high bridge, nj Skies starting to really brighten here. Steady rain looks to shut off in the next hour Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Skies starting to really brighten here. Steady rain looks to shut off in the next hour Yep the steady rain is over now, not lasting till 8pm like the nam had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Snow... Coating on the ground. 34F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Snow... Coating on the ground. 34F Starting to change over now near KSWF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 phl reporting sleet/rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
96blizz Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Snow coating the ground and coming down steady. Great start to the Thanksgiving holiday. Enjoy the time with your friends and family all! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 great post by ray Yeah, NAM tends to be extra juiced, but the differences between the 12Z GFS and 12Z NAM for just this afternoon were laughable... for example, 0.07" versus 0.46" @ TTN (cuz that's where I always look first ). While the GFS is gonna come out a little dry... certainly WAY closer to the actual total than the ridiculous NAM. But I know some people got really excited that the juiced NAM total might mean an accumulating snow this afternoon... hence why I mention it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rygar Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Snowing here too. Third coating+ before Thanksgiving, not too shabby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Wintry Mix here now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Mix of sleet and rain here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Wintry Mix here now. Yeah I can hear sleet pellets pinging on the leaves Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 A mixture of stuff back home in Ewing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WE GOT HIM Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Looks like the mix line is headed into nyc now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Mixing here with IP/FzRA Lots of scattering on CC via KDIX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm93 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Moderate snow and 34 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Looks like things are wrapping up back at my parents in Ewing... 2.78" of liquid with a trace of sleet/snow at the beginning and end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RU848789 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Looks like things are wrapping up back at my parents in Ewing... 2.78" of liquid with a trace of sleet/snow at the beginning and end. Looks like a solid 2-4" across all of NJ, eastern PA and the NYC metro area, except for SE NJ (Cape May/Cumberland/Atlantic/Ocean) and eastern LI, which got only 1-2" of rain. I'd say that matched the general 2-3" or 2-4" forecasts from the NWS in Philly/NYC pretty well and probably broke some records in many places (looks like the NB record was 2.2"). On another board I participate in people are trying to say this storm "underperformed" and I just don't see it. Winds might have been a bit lighter than expected, but even there, plenty of coastal locations with gusts from 40-55 mph. Thoughts? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 It was modeled pretty well overall...I don't think it underperformed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 It underperformed if you bought the juiced NAM totals hook, line and sinker. Otherwise, it shouldn't feel like it underperformed. I said (to Forky, privately) that I'd be impressed if my parents broke 2", and they did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 It underperformed if you bought the juiced NAM totals hook, line and sinker. Otherwise, it shouldn't feel like it underperformed. I said (to Forky, privately) that I'd be impressed if my parents broke 2", and they did. This was probably one of the longer recent gaps between 2"+ events at NYC after the last heavy rain all the way back in June. CENTRAL PARK 4.77 300 AM 6/08 ASOS CENTRAL PARK 2.44 320 PM 11/27 ASOS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Just about 2" even in the bucket for event total. Brings three month total up to 5.98" not exactly drought busting but better than the anemic rainfall seen this fall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 This was probably one of the longer recent gaps between 2"+ events at NYC after the last heavy rain all the way back in June. CENTRAL PARK 4.77 300 AM 6/08 ASOS CENTRAL PARK 2.44 320 PM 11/27 ASOS sure is. And we missed the driest fall (Or #2 or #3) by 3 days.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Looks like a solid 2-4" across all of NJ, eastern PA and the NYC metro area, except for SE NJ (Cape May/Cumberland/Atlantic/Ocean) and eastern LI, which got only 1-2" of rain. I'd say that matched the general 2-3" or 2-4" forecasts from the NWS in Philly/NYC pretty well and probably broke some records in many places (looks like the NB record was 2.2"). On another board I participate in people are trying to say this storm "underperformed" and I just don't see it. Winds might have been a bit lighter than expected, but even there, plenty of coastal locations with gusts from 40-55 mph. Thoughts? This storm turned out to be very well forecasted. If you believed the NAM or hold on to forecasts from 48 hours ago then yea you'd say the reality was less rain. There's always going to be one or two locales that get slightly shafted or slightly jackpotted. Look at Earthlight is March 2009. All of us got our forecasted 8-12 but somehow he only got like 5 or 6. That was the last time a storm ever underperformed for him btw. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Look at Earthlight is March 2009. All of us got our forecasted 8-12 but somehow he only got like 5 or 6. That was the last time a storm ever underperformed for him btw.we were in between frontogenesis bands. dec 09 underperformed here too with all the dry air eating the northern edge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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