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E PA/NJ/DE/Okle: Banter/Non Storm OBS thread


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Agreed redsky....I thought maybe it was just me. Euro is a lot of plain rain. Matter of fact, I am less and less confident in this being a frozen event at this point....the ggem is essentially alone.

We have taken a big swing toward the milder rainy side with the new ecm and 18z gfs. Been tough keeping a winter threat inside days 6-7 so far, good it's just December 2nd 

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From the afternoon AFD wrt Late Sunday/Monday:

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A ROUND OF SNOW ACROSS MUCH OF THE AREA LATER SUNDAY AS THE WARMER AIR
OVERRIDES THE EXISTING COLDER AIR, HOWEVER WE THEN WARM ALOFT SLOWER
THAN AT THE SURFACE /ESPECIALLY THE FARTHER NORTH AND WEST ACROSS
THE CWA/ OPENING THE DOOR FOR MIXED PRECIPITATION AND EVEN ICE. THIS
IS MORE PROBLEMATIC FARTHER NORTHWEST THROUGH OUR CWA AS THE
LOW-LEVEL COLD AIR TENDS TO HOLD LONGER. THERE IS PLENTY OF TIME TO
IRON OUT THE DETAILS, HOWEVER THERE IS AN INCREASING CHC OF WINTRY
PRECIPITATION AND WE WILL ADD A MENTION TO THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.

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I'm pessimistic about Friday night, I just can't see any snow in the region, even in the Lehigh Valley. I'm more optimistic about Sunday/Sunday night though. Looks like maybe 2-4" of snow NW of I-95, then sleet and freezing rain.

GFS certainly doesn't think there will be much Friday night... maybe a bit of sleet, but not much snow.

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Getting foggy out again but now it's more of a misty fog with drizzle mixed in. Surprisingly, actually picked up .08" of drizzle and fog condensation in the bucket last night and today. We're fogging the drought away a few hundredths a day.

 

There were some "real" showers around overnight last night, TTN reported a brief period of moderate rain just before 2AM.

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