RedSky Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 I thought I saw a Washington DC car topper or two through 240 hours! I am sure it will change again. yup then a clipper north and a heat wave to end january obviously it is on it's own so recycle bin it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 yeah canada Are only hope it seems are two options. 1) a storm develops in the short range 2) as the polar vortex leaves, we get a decent over running event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 no day 7-8 storm, a reverse jinx? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Are only hope it seems are two options. 1) a storm develops in the short range 2) as the polar vortex leaves, we get a decent over running event. Or3) you jump in the car and drive to Portsmouth nh (like I am doing tonight / Saturday am) and arrive during what could be 6"+ (if the latest gfs/nam are on to something)!!!!! I'll bring some back with me on Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 yup then a clipper north and a heat wave to end january obviously it is on it's own so recycle bin it Hey it's the long range gfs what do you expect! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ChescoWx Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 I always love when folks start worrying that it will be just too cold and suppress the storm track to the south. When there is extended cold in this area....it is highly likely a significant snow will occur. With the magnitude and length of the coming cold - I would be surprised if we don't have at least 2 significant winter events. If you are a winter lover it will not get much better than the next 3 weeks....well unless it was February 2010!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Or 3) you jump in the car and drive to Portsmouth nh (like I am doing tonight / Saturday am) and arrive during what could be 6"+ (if the latest gfs/nam are on to something)!!!!! I'll bring some back with me on Monday. How much can you bring back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 I always love when folks start worrying that it will be just too cold and suppress the storm track to the south. When there is extended cold in this area....it is highly likely a significant snow will occur. With the magnitude and length of the coming cold - I would be surprised if we don't have at least 2 significant winter events. If you are a winter lover it will not get much better than the next 3 weeks....well unless it was February 2010!! I like your optimism and hopefully you are right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 GFS says RIP polar vortex 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 GFS says RIP polar vortex 2nice zonal flow with a se ridge! Smh...indices are not looking good either. Expect it to change at 0z imo back to a colder regime. Been flopping for days now .Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I747 using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 nice zonal flow with a se ridge! Smh...indices are not looking good either. Expect it to change at 0z imo back to a colder regime. Been flopping for days now . Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I747 Seriously this is about a drastic flip in the long range outlook that had been modeled for a long time that i can remember. If we can possibly cool back into a middle of the road solution it might better favor a large snow event Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 nice zonal flow with a se ridge! Smh...indices are not looking good either. Expect it to change at 0z imo back to a colder regime. Been flopping for days now . Sent from my SAMSUNG-SGH-I747 Seriously this is about a drastic flip in the long range outlook that had been modeled for a long time that i can remember. If we can possibly cool back into a middle of the road solution it might better favor a large snow event We still have the euro ens which I'll take over the gfs anyday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 18, 2014 Share Posted January 18, 2014 Seriously this is about a drastic flip in the long range outlook that had been modeled for a long time that i can remember. If we can possibly cool back into a middle of the road solution it might better favor a large snow event Here here I completely agree with this statement exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 ok what model does abc 6 use they showed a nice 3-6" snow on tuesday area wide Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kevin Reilly Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 ok what model does abc 6 use they showed a nice 3-6" snow on tuesday area wide They must be attempting to forecast..... 12zgfs shows a low getting somewhat closer to the coast... perhaps they think it comes closer to give us their 3-6" I guess it is plausible but not likely at this time. On The other hand the SREF looks even better... maybe now the models have backed off the "POLAR VORTEX" and instead will head to the Snowstorm solutions even with an NAO that is neutral to positive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 Just saw the temperature departures since 12/18 in new england thread and it struck me how similar this season is to 2003-4. That winter went cold/mild in near two week intervals with frequently erased snows. This winter with shorter duration periods in the cold and mild Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JERSEYSNOWROB Posted January 19, 2014 Share Posted January 19, 2014 lol...tell her to batten down the hatches! BTW how do those snowpiles from a couple of weekends ago look? This is from yesterday. Survived the warm spell. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 This is from yesterday. Survived the warm spell. Lol...not bad. Thanks for the update! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Or 3) you jump in the car and drive to Portsmouth nh (like I am doing tonight / Saturday am) and arrive during what could be 6"+ (if the latest gfs/nam are on to something)!!!!! I'll bring some back with me on Monday. How much can you bring back?We'll....we did get the 6"+ in Durham NH just before our arrival for the UNH vs Union hockey game....Now I'm trying really hard to bring it back to Philly with Tuesday's storm !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 We'll....we did get the 6"+ in Durham NH just before our arrival for the UNH vs Union hockey game.... Now I'm trying really hard to bring it back to Philly with Tuesday's storm !!! Seems to be working so far! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 Seems to be working so far! Yeh but, "I'm gonna need a bigger boat".......(strike that)...TRUCK !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 abc 6 downgraded from earlier 3-6" to coating to 1" hmmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 20, 2014 Share Posted January 20, 2014 abc 6 downgraded from earlier 3-6" to coating to 1" hmmmm Someone's flip-flopping with the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Or 3) you jump in the car and drive to Portsmouth nh (like I am doing tonight / Saturday am) and arrive during what could be 6"+ (if the latest gfs/nam are on to something)!!!!! I'll bring some back with me on Monday. We'll....we did get the 6"+ in Durham NH just before our arrival for the UNH vs Union hockey game.... Now I'm trying really hard to bring it back to Philly with Tuesday's storm !!! Yeh but, "I'm gonna need a bigger boat".......(strike that)...TRUCK !!!SUCCESS....So I found that bigger truck and brought a whole lot back with me tonight! Delivery across the entire area begins late tomorrow morning.....I'm sure I have enough for 8"+ for all !!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Thanks...lol. Got the snow machine all ready to go? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowwors2 Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Thanks...lol. Got the snow machine all ready to go? Hahaha....YEP...Just like blasting out Fiberglas insulation into an attic!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
windvane Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Can anyone tell me why in the world Mt. Holly did not post winter storm watches for the Lehigh Valley with their 18Z forecasted WWA when we are now either at or over warning criteria with the latest GFS runs? Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Can anyone tell me why in the world Mt. Holly did not post winter storm watches for the Lehigh Valley with their 18Z forecasted WWA when we are now either at or over warning criteria with the latest GFS runs? Thanks You have to assume ratios to make that statement. Recall the last storm, per Tony's post (the Ratio thread) the lower ratios were on the northwest fringe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hazwoper Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 Can anyone tell me why in the world Mt. Holly did not post winter storm watches for the Lehigh Valley with their 18Z forecasted WWA when we are now either at or over warning criteria with the latest GFS runs? Thanks Because their forecast in LV is 4-6 and warning criteria is 6". In bucks their forecast is 6-8" meaning criteria met Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Absolute Humidity Posted January 21, 2014 Share Posted January 21, 2014 My maps are the best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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