RedSky Posted January 14, 2014 Share Posted January 14, 2014 18Z gfs has a good looking vort dropping southeast at 96hrs that gets murdered in the fast flow uggh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Awesome night outside, almost a full moon, very bright, clear sky, lots of stars, and some fog/mist up to about 5 or 10 feet off the ground in spots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Awesome night outside, almost a full moon, very bright, clear sky, lots of stars, and some fog/mist up to about 5 or 10 feet off the ground in spots. Yes i noticed the peculiar conditions out, it is like a scary movie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LVblizzard Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 It's extremely foggy in Allentown right now. I can barely see some houses that are less than 500 feet away from me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quakertown needs snow Posted January 15, 2014 Author Share Posted January 15, 2014 stepped outside on a stone walk and it was icy. Could be slick in am Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Now for the winter that has everything ICE FOG! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Now for the winter that has everything ICE FOG! Normally I'd say you should come out to Elko to see that, but not this winter... its been too dry (even by Elko standards). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Ray i never would have known there is fog in the desert Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Ray i never would have known there is fog in the desert You probably wouldn't guess we get 40" of snow on average, either (though this winter so far is a solid D in the snowfall department, and it doesn't appear to be getting better any time soon). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 It is really foggy out, GF works overnight shift and had a tough time coming home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastBravest Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Slick conditions on roadways in Flemington. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Nice AFD from Mt. Holly this morning - lots of activity currently, even if nothing major. Tonight through Saturday does seem like a good timeframe/opportunity for getting one or two 1/2" to 1" events. Some snow on the ground would look nice right about now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 The freezing fog made for some tough windshield scraping earlier - it was like super glue on there... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 The 0Z ECMWF through day 7 was only 0.02" away from Mr. Blutarsky's favorite number... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Here in the West, snow is a good thing in its correct place (the mountains), where its vital for water supply and of course also important for the ski industry. Back East, its just simply not really important for water supply, and the ski industry is not as important especially outside of the mountains, so for the vast majority of people, big snow is bad. I mostly see groans among my friends on Facebook, for example, when I mention snow is coming, at least outside of that very first one or two. The average person sees snow as a big pain in the butt. Ray, point taken. It has to do with the audience you are speaking to. I'm sure that anyone who likes snow in this part of the world is very aware of being in a small minority. I suppose that's one of the reasons for the "rampant snow weenieism" that occurs in this forum at times. There aren't that many places you can go and say "I sure hope it snows", or "Yeah Baby, high five on that Miller B we just had!" without being looked at like you have two heads. I should have been more explicit in the original post on this subject, but one scenario I can imagine is a snow loving TV met giving a forecast for say 6 to 12" of snow and being told afterwards, "Dude, tone it down a bit. Do you have to look so happy and excited telling us we're going to get a foot of snow?" I would find a story like that amusing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 The 0Z ECMWF through day 7 was only 0.02" away from Mr. Blutarsky's favorite number... Dean wormer crushing weenie dreamers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ralph Wiggum Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 I had made a thread regarding a serious wintry threat between the 26th and 28th and it must have been deleted. Anyway, the models are now onto this and showing a beast the gfs most notably has a coastal crawler during this period. Pattern changes and along with it comes a storm to usher in the arctic air return. Something to keep an eye on. I have particular interest in this as I will be away during this range on a trip so we can bank on this threat materializing. More later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 I should have been more explicit in the original post on this subject, but one scenario I can imagine is a snow loving TV met giving a forecast for say 6 to 12" of snow and being told afterwards, "Dude, tone it down a bit. Do you have to look so happy and excited telling us we're going to get a foot of snow?" I would find a story like that amusing. I'm fairly certain what you describe has indeed happened, probably multiple times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Hey guys, Can someone explain to me what a "Ridge Bridge" and "Split Flow" is exactly? I have been hearing these two terms a good amount lately. Much appreciated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lady Di Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Around 3am the fog was as thick as I ever remember seeing it. It also was low enough to freeze, my car door was stuck shut. I delayed my commute just under 20 minutes or so and it wasn't as bad as for the folks having to be out there before sunrise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 Split flow occurs when a ridge sits over the western US, with a trough to the south, which is a blocking pattern. The jet stream features a very noticeable "split" with some energy sneaking south and the rest going over the top. A split flow tends to favor a trough in the east, which obviously is favorable for snow. Ridge bridge is a ridge stretching across the North Pole. It tends to mean a negative AO and is more favorable for winter storms (blocking). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted January 15, 2014 Share Posted January 15, 2014 That's great, thanks a ton famartin. I just went on google and found some great pictures of a split flow, but couldn't really find any of a ridge bridge. Do you or anyone else know where I can find one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 That's great, thanks a ton famartin. I just went on google and found some great pictures of a split flow, but couldn't really find any of a ridge bridge. Do you or anyone else know where I can find one? I apologize in advance, but while you are waiting for the real answer, I thought I would offer this (a bridge on the Blue Ridge Parkway): Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEchestercountydude Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Haha well let's hope the ridge bridge that some of the models seem to be showing is a beauty just like that one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Ray, point taken. It has to do with the audience you are speaking to. I'm sure that anyone who likes snow in this part of the world is very aware of being in a small minority. I suppose that's one of the reasons for the "rampant snow weenieism" that occurs in this forum at times. There aren't that many places you can go and say "I sure hope it snows", or "Yeah Baby, high five on that Miller B we just had!" without being looked at like you have two heads. I should have been more explicit in the original post on this subject, but one scenario I can imagine is a snow loving TV met giving a forecast for say 6 to 12" of snow and being told afterwards, "Dude, tone it down a bit. Do you have to look so happy and excited telling us we're going to get a foot of snow?" I would find a story like that amusing. I feel this forum has the least amount of Weenies and weenieisms, well not including the mid Atlantic forum where there is little to none. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KamuSnow Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 I feel this forum has the least amount of Weenies and weenieisms, well not including the mid Atlantic forum where there is little to none. Well I suppose I'm speaking more for myself since I don't have a lot to offer when it comes to teleconnections, patterns, analogs, model analysis, and an in depth understanding of what I would call atmospheric dynamics. I've just about always been interested in the weather, but only recently (last year) discovered this forum and a host of other resources that didn't exist many years ago. So while I'm learning slowly, I can definitely do snow weenieism. Maybe there are different definitions or degrees of it, I don't mean it in a negative sense (though it might be annoying to some ). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Kamu', you handle yourself very well here and definitely don't come off as a weenie. I liked your original post referencing the change of emotion during a change in a snow forecast. It used to irritate me also when I used to watch TV Mets, thankfully for other medium such as this board ands other social media wx based sites it no longer an issue. You checking in here daily is a contribution to the board, asking questions others may not want to ask....no way dude/dudette you're a contributor to this board. If anyone is a weenie in this forum, it's me. The emotions I go through during a potential moderate snow storm...I could rival the great Ji in the mid Atlantic forum. I just hide behind smartphone / keyboard lol. We need to grow this forum back to where it once was.... and having the crew we have is a step in the right direction. By the way, I just found out how to read a sounding, so I wouldn't let what you dont know weather dictate whether you are a non-contributing weenie or not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Rain has finally changed to snow 34F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RedSky Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Next Tuesday shows some promise on the 0z ECM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
famartin Posted January 16, 2014 Share Posted January 16, 2014 Next Tuesday shows some promise on the 0z ECM The timing on that would suck, I just booked a flight back that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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