weathafella Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Longitude is where it's at today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmanmitch Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 11:45 AM, moneypitmike said: I'm not buying the wintry weather tonight--at least not to the level BOX has in their AFD (first bolded). MAINLY FOR NORTHERN AND WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS INTO SOUTHWEST NEW HAMPSHIRE LATE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY MORNING. A WINTRY MIX CERTAINLY PLAUSIBLE WITH LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS UP TO AN INCH BENEATH WEAK-LAYER FORCING BEFORE CHANGING OVER TO ALL RAIN. SOMEWHAT OF A CHALLENGE TO PIN DOWN EXACT TIMING OF TRANSITION. ANOTHER BOUT IS POSSIBLE WEDNESDAY NIGHT FOR THE SAME LOCALES. LIGHT ACCUMULATIONS THE FOCUS OF WHICH WILL BE ALONG WESTERN SLOPES OF HIGHER TERRAIN WRT Mitch--the AFD's talking the west slopes on the CAA. He may not be high enough, but won't get downslopes there. Maybe I'm placing him in the wrong area?? (second bolded) It'll be interesting to see if any of that stuff in NE PA can move toward us during the day today. The 850 mb 0° C line doesn't come through here until 7-8 PM, so if we can get some precip between now and then it may very well be frozen. WRT the backside, I'm not thinking much more than a coating to an inch for west slope locations. Most of the moisture lifts out before the CAA can really get going. I'll be gone by that point anyway as I'm flying out of BDL tomorrow morning for a 1,200 mile turkey trot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Ahh thats a really nice place. I stay near there when I have to go into the much less appealing TTN. On 11/26/2013 at 2:36 PM, weathafella said: Princeton,nj. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Second wave tracks from NC to Southern New England on the 12z NAM. No snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:37 PM, Bostonseminole said: interesting.. I was using the trusted AMEX weather model page, should I get a refund? Good luck on the refund........lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:37 PM, cpick79 said: Humble as usual bad adjective. you could have said "jerky" or "annoying" or "downer" but humble doesn't really fit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Nice little surprise this morning, had no idea it was coming, makes it that much better. Makes up for missing out on Saturday night. Looking forward to ending the dry pattern with a bang Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:40 PM, dryslot said: Good luck on the refund........lol nam products i have do show about 4.5-5" in SW RI. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 maybe we can have some flurries out of this on Thursday.. get us in the holiday mood. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:39 PM, Logan11 said: Ahh thats a really nice place. I stay near there when I have to go into the much less appealing TTN. Yeah we're lucky,,,,,family lives in rural area at the western edge of the town limits. It's pretty far west so I'm hang in some hope on a short snow period...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:41 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: nam products i have do show about 4.5-5" in SW RI. yeah, thanks, It's just a small area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Secondary ? That might me a stretch...re: elongated strung out structure till the ULL consolidates. Looks like TLTL for anyone east of CT river (inclusive of MA. and CT) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 My wife confirms the earlier report from Brunswick. She measured 2" of snow at home in Bath, Maine. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:42 PM, Bostonseminole said: yeah, thanks, It's just a small area. yeah there's a tiny bullseye east of Ginxy and into Ginxy's old stomping grounds. but actually all of RI and a good chunk of S/E CT gets some really heavy rain on that run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 if it cannot be posted please delete. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:41 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: nam products i have do show about 4.5-5" in SW RI. Yeah, The SV maps don't have that much for totals, I think allsnow stated the same, In my opinion, The qpf may be overdone anyways knowing the Nam Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:43 PM, Roosta said: Secondary ? That might me a stretch...re: elongated strung out structure till the ULL consolidates. Looks like TLTL for anyone east of CT river (inclusive of MA. and CT) This. There is just such a large area of strong vorticity that to call it a 2nd low is just not accurate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:51 PM, dryslot said: Yeah, The SV maps don't have that much for totals, I think allsnow stated the same yeah and i'm not really sure why either. i don't think the 40km nam is still available (as opposed to the 12km nam) so i don't believe that would be the issue. i'm not sure if it's a product of the way they smooth out their data on SV. i've noticed the same with some of the wind products they have...almost as though they decrease their own "resolution" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:57 PM, Tropopause_Fold said: yeah and i'm not really sure why either. i don't think the 40km nam is still available (as opposed to the 12km nam) so i don't believe that would be the issue. i'm not sure if it's a product of the way they smooth out their data on SV. i've noticed the same with some of the wind products they have...almost as though they decrease their own "resolution" I was looking at the op, Yeah, Even their 4km high res does not show those totals which is odd Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 1:41 PM, Logan11 said: Got a 1.5" gift here this morning....Nice Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 The 12km NAM on ewall has big totals in RI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:46 PM, Bostonseminole said: if it cannot be posted please delete. Let's see how much further east this shifts before tomorrow; one of these cranston/warwick flooding events Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 3:08 PM, ORH_wxman said: The 12km NAM on ewall has big totals in RI Awesome. I am right there in the purple. That "X" is just above where Steve works. I suppose I should set up a video feed from my basement so everyone can enjoy and laugh at the flooding. This is all I DON'T need this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 3:18 PM, Cold Miser said: Awesome. I am right there in the purple. That "X" is just above where Steve works. I suppose I should set up a video feed from my basement so everyone can enjoy and laugh at the flooding. This is all I DON'T need this year. probably overdone Garth, lots of runoff too, I would not expect any ground water level issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 3:16 PM, Modfan said: Let's see how much further east this shifts before tomorrow; one of these cranston/warwick flooding events I don't think it will shift much from here, i was wondering if LLJ is as impressive now on 12z nam run. I am a bit skeptical of huge totals that Far East, i thought the set up favored berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Logan11 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 In the end the low ends up staying on the coastal plain I'd say...despite the runs that wanted to take it up over VT etc. But its a strung out thing until it finally consolidates further north so the exact track of surface low pressure may not be that relevant except to say who gtes ludicrously mild versus cold clammy rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 2:39 PM, wxmanmitch said: It'll be interesting to see if any of that stuff in NE PA can move toward us during the day today. The 850 mb 0° C line doesn't come through here until 7-8 PM, so if we can get some precip between now and then it may very well be frozen. WRT the backside, I'm not thinking much more than a coating to an inch for west slope locations. Most of the moisture lifts out before the CAA can really get going. I'll be gone by that point anyway as I'm flying out of BDL tomorrow morning for a 1,200 mile turkey trot. Bumpity bump. On 11/26/2013 at 3:08 PM, ORH_wxman said: The 12km NAM on ewall has big totals in RI Nice--that's a pretty big shift from the max accompanied by a reduction out here. It'll be interesting if that theme is echoed by the other models. 27.9/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MainePhotog Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 The 2" of new snow this morning will be nothing but a memory once the heavy rains start. 29.7°F From my home weather cam: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 On 11/26/2013 at 3:32 PM, MainePhotog said: The 2" of new snow this morning will be nothing but a memory once the heavy rains start. 29.7°F From my home weather cam: Nice--is that Arrowsic across the way? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I buy high amounts wherever that axis sets up. I could see 4-5". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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