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Thoughts on this Winter Forecast


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That's what I'm getting. 1978-9 is looking good, especially if the AO drop we're seeing now turns into a Dec. rout towards a negative average. My main concern would be doubts that the polar vortex or 300mb jet is still behaving the way we're used to. The indexes don't really show how unusually they're acting on a day-to-day basis compared to long term norms.

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