CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Well I agree after reviewing, it was a couple of posters opinions that implied that not the actual Ens runs. Apparently they were using the word furnace liberally. I will save you and not bump the posts. Furnace is a fun term. In any case, I think what the speculation might have been was that we said it could lead to a possible CONUS furnace if that was extrapolated beyond day 16. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 Hideous long range on op Euro with torch..Hopefully its ensembles kept the cold look they had on 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Hideous long range on op Euro with torch..Hopefully its ensembles kept the cold look they had on 12z Well it coincides with the SE ridge that the models have progged starting after mid month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 Well it coincides with the SE ridge that the models have progged starting after mid month. There's been a SE ridge all winter and we've been fine Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Ensembles furnace again before Christmas. GEFS are a little cooler with almost overrunning type deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 Ensembles furnace again before Christmas. GEFS are a little cooler with almost overrunning type deal. UGH..I was afraid of that when I saw how the op torched us into the 50's and 60's.Hopefully they cold again at 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Pre Christmas relaxation is likely. And with the amount of subnormal piled up in the dailies by the. It would not surprise to have a 2-3 day torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 Pre Christmas relaxation is likely. And with th amount of subnormal piled up in the dailies by the. It wouldn't it surprise to have a 2-3 day torch.I still question if some monster warm up is going to happen. I have a feeling when push comes to shove it's muted and maybe just normal for a dew days and not 60+ like Euro has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I still question if some monster warm up is going to happen. I have a feeling when push comes to shove it's muted and maybe just normal for a dew days and not 60+ like Euro has Well 60+ is too warm likely but a few 45-50 days wouldn't surprise me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Well 60+ is too warm likely but a few 45-50 days wouldn't surprise me. Sonora heat release Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Well 60+ is too warm likely but a few 45-50 days wouldn't surprise me. Lol, I love how he worries about temps that would be record breaking warmth. Not just a normal torch of like 53F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 Lol, I love how he worries about temps that would be record breaking warmth. Not just a normal torch of like 53F. i worry about any day above 40 in the winter. You guys all know that about me. I can't bear the thought of a huge melt before the hollys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 There's been a SE ridge all winter and we've been fine Okay, a more robust SE ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 i worry about any day above 40 in the winter. You guys all know that about me. I can't bear the thought of a huge melt before the hollys Lol...BOS normal today is 43/30...still 7-8 off the bottom. When do you go under 40 for a max...now maybe? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Okay, a more robust SE ridge. To be fair, that d10 prog plays into the euro bias so it's likely overdone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Lol...BOS normal today is 43/30...still 7-8 off the bottom. When do you go under 40 for a max...now maybe? ORH avg high today is 38F...almost 37F. The average goes below 40F around 12/6. The avg high doesn't go below 35F though until 12/21. So he's prob likea degree warmer. Expectations. We're really cold for this time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 There's been a SE ridge all winter and we've been fine at the "all winter" comments on Dec 11.And fine as far as temps or snow? There's been one or two light snow events lately, prior to that it was a couple torching rainers. But it has been chilly overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 To be fair, that d10 prog plays into the euro bias so it's likely overdone. To be fair, I think this board is bias in regards to cold wishcasting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 To be fair, I think this board is bias in regards to cold wishcasting. lol it's been known to lean colder when in doubt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 To be fair, I think this board is bias in regards to cold wishcasting. Not in summer over certain quarters......lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
It's Always Sunny Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Not in summer over certain quarters......lol. Even in the dog days of summer you guys try to find ways it can possibly snow with a 90 degree torch. Just admit it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 Lol...BOS normal today is 43/30...still 7-8 off the bottom. When do you go under 40 for a max...now maybe? I'm under 40 now. I can handle a day or 2 of 40ish..but anything above that or some screaming soueaster cutter that wipes out what looks like it will be a substantial regionwide snowpack causes me to feel very very sick just thinking about it. Let's do everything in our power to not let that happen and have the GEFS verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Even in the dog days of summer you guys try to find ways it can possibly snow with a 90 degree torch. Just admit it.Loving this fall and pre winter pattern obviously some are not. When solstice winter starts is when I usually experience snow, this early season cold and snow is a bonus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 at the "all winter" comments on Dec 11. And fine as far as temps or snow? There's been one or two light snow events lately, prior to that it was a couple torching rainers. But it has been chilly overall. Since Nov it's been cold and wintry overall. Sure a few mild up days have been interspersed, but with a SE ridge where it's been..and to have it colder than normal has been awesome. I mean Philly and DC have had 2 snowstorms. So it can and hopefully will continue to be overcome Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I'm under 40 now. I can handle a day or 2 of 40ish..but anything above that or some screaming soueaster cutter that wipes out what looks like it will be a substantial regionwide snowpack causes me to feel very very sick just thinking about it. Let's do everything in our power to not let that happen and have the GEFS verify Actually the timing looks perfect, warmup before Christmas then snow and cold for Christmas. So far away but pretty sure we relax before the reload. The EPO reload is on all models now, rising PNA too. You may have to suffer to celebrate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Since Nov it's been cold and wintry overall. Sure a few mild up days have been interspersed, but with a SE ridge where it's been..and to have it colder than normal has been awesome. I mean Philly and DC have had 2 snowstorms. So it can and hopefully will continue to be overcome Yeah I get what you are saying as there's been snow cover since the weekend prior to Thanksgiving, but it's still sooooo early. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 Yeah I get what you are saying as there's been snow cover since the weekend prior to Thanksgiving, but it's still sooooo early. See I don't really think it is early. Some yrs I know i know..we haven't had any snow to date..but interior SNE gets plenty of snow over the yrs from late Nov thru all of December. I just don't like that when i see statements about this is too early for snow..It's really not when you think about it. Dec IMO is the best month to have snow. It's not the most likely..but December snow is the best snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 Well if we do torch, there are signs of maybe some storminess near or on Christmas. Obviously that's a very vague outlook being so far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 11, 2013 Author Share Posted December 11, 2013 Well if we do torch, there are signs of maybe some storminess near or on Christmas. Obviously that's a very vague outlook being so far out. You gotta get your buddy there Ventrice to stop all the Tweets about massive warmth in the east..He's been doing that since November and hasn't been right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted December 11, 2013 Share Posted December 11, 2013 I still question if some monster warm up is going to happen. I have a feeling when push comes to shove it's muted and maybe just normal for a dew days and not 60+ like Euro has Tends to happen up your way and I'd also doubt 60s...hitting 50 in that ~3 day window is a big possibility though. The pattern in general is going through a recycle of the first few days of Dec here with more major cold settling down the Central/West and warmth up the East Coast. The good news colder weather should ooze back into New England by the holiday with an active arctic frontal boundary, and if were lucky, a wave will get us as we get on the colder side. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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