CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 The obs in the Plains are ridiculous. -11 in Bismark. 19F in OKC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Pretty much. see, I do read. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 -20F in Glasgow MT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Now that is boys crying for their mama type cold. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Wow ouch for Glasgow, MT. I think the PV relaxes and allows a better northern stream disturbance to phase with the southern stream system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 The 12z UKMET model has a storm just off the coast at hour 144. Something to watch for the 13th, but for now that's expected to be squashed by the Polar Vortex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 That is going to be a cold stretch coming down from Canada. Longer than I thought, too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 That is going to be a cold stretch coming down from Canada. Longer than I thought, too. nice signal for coastal peeps on the euro ens for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 nice signal for coastal peeps on the euro ens for the weekend. Was just commenting on that at work. Lets hope. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 nice signal for coastal peeps on the euro ens for the weekend. I wondered about that just based upon the operational showing a nice SE petri-dish... but it looks like this run bullies the N. stream on an interference trajectory ... Hmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Was just commenting on that at work. Lets hope. better look than anything else in recent days. man...what a cold week too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 better look than anything else in recent days. man...what a cold week too. It would be nice to have snow for that cold, but I'll take a nice chilly week anyways. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 I wondered about that just based upon the operational showing a nice SE petri-dish... but it looks like this run bullies the N. stream on an interference trajectory ... Hmm there's been signals for that overall period on the GFS too, iirc. i thought we'd warm after the wed-fri cold shot...but not so sure now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 It would be nice to have snow for that cold, but I'll take a nice chilly week anyways. for a 10-day stretch...that's about as cold a euro run as you could ask for. i mean briefly milder mon/tue with the system passing through...otherwise icebox. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Not a bad euro ensemble run at all actually. Heights are slowly improving over the last few days in the EPAC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Not a bad euro ensemble run at all actually. Heights are slowly improving over the last few days in the EPAC. yeah was just going to say...cold really pressing down there. just perpetual troughing over the GL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Curious to see how the temps do tonight. Looks like I still have about 1.5" on the ground. Obviously, can't call it a snowpack by any stretch. But it can't hurt on the temps. 30.0/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Curious to see how the temps do tonight. Looks like I still have about 1.5" on the ground. Obviously, can't call it a snowpack by any stretch. But it can't hurt on the temps. 30.0/20 Hey more snowpack than me lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Hey more snowpack than me lol LOL. If it helps me get 1* closer to Chris (hippy valley) for an overnight low, I'll know it's been impactful! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 looks extremely timing sensitive without an ideal atlantic.if it ejects too early the clipper in the GL squashes it. too late and the cold air slides out. obv way out there. Yeah that's what we've got right now... the other thing to remember is it'll likely be flying quickly in this flow. Basically have to thread the needle and hope it takes a trajectory to bring some snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 for a 10-day stretch...that's about as cold a euro run as you could ask for. i mean briefly milder mon/tue with the system passing through...otherwise icebox. Yeah that is extremely cold. Good snowmaking weather but aside from that, have to chuckle that it really only wants to warm up as a system passes through, then icebox again. I would prefer snow, but I love seeing that it can actually get some decent stretches of below normal that far outweigh the warm ups. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Heisy Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Id rather get a 7-10 day warm up if it meant a pattern change from this boring pattern. It feels like forever I've been staring at a big glob of lower heights over Canada, a huge ULL over Alaska, no sign of blocking whatsoever. Could you get small events from a pattern like this, yes, but I live for the "big ones", and this pattern ain't gonna cut it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 7, 2013 Author Share Posted December 7, 2013 Bitter cold and dry is good. Of course I wish we could even have an inch of cover but at least it will be deep cold and feeling like winter and you won't see people doing leaves 10 days before Xmas. To me there is nothing worse than seeing that. Seething mad Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Pretty much. 18z GFS shows you this..lol. Below zero in spots then cutter a few days later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 18z GFS shows you this..lol. Below zero in spots then cutter a few days later. I'll just be happy to see a storm and not a sheared out POS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Yeah that is extremely cold. Good snowmaking weather but aside from that, have to chuckle that it really only wants to warm up as a system passes through, then icebox again. I would prefer snow, but I love seeing that it can actually get some decent stretches of below normal that far outweigh the warm ups. My goal is to see the GL freeze over - Heavy freezing spray on L. Superior right now -- I don't recall seeing that this early in the year. Usually that's a late January type thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 I'll just be happy to see a storm and not a sheared out POS. It will come eventually. If we can get some ridging out near the west coast, we'll have to watch one of those lobes coming off the PV in Canada. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 Yeah, if we can keep the zonal beast at bay ... we should probably open to cold shots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 18z GFS shows you this..lol. Below zero in spots then cutter a few days later. Well, at least we can enjoy wintry cold if not wintry precipitation. I'll take what I can get. A bit breezy out there this evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted December 7, 2013 Share Posted December 7, 2013 It will come eventually. If we can get some ridging out near the west coast, we'll have to watch one of those lobes coming off the PV in Canada. May not have to wait that long... GGEM/EURO where transiently "bulgy" over the Rockies while spinning up a coastal D7 -- too far out, but the spread is back west, so it could very well correct that direction. Or not... just sayin' By the way. Looks like a -EPO relaxation, but not a phase break-down, at least not entirely. I don't see the AA phase of the N. Pac changing in the ensembles, and that would support a resurgent -EPO given enough time ... unless all that changes out along and W of the Date Line. Sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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