donsutherland1 Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy birthday, Jerry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 It looks like according to noaa index for the ao it will be going negative by the 10-15 day range. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao_index_mrf.shtml. That would offset any positive EPO if it is comes to fruition. By the way is the EPO going positive or only a possibility?. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 still not a fan of the ec ens post day 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 still not a fan of the ec ens post day 10.But you have to like the blocking trying to develop from Scandinavia to the dateline post D15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2013 Author Share Posted December 1, 2013 Front comes thru Thursday nite now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Thanks guys! Believe or it for my 67th I'm eating light after all the food thus past weekend. We'll go out and celebrate perhaps in a few weeks. Pattern looks fine to me. Most Decembers have looked far worse on 12/1. You've caught up to me again! (temporarily) Hope your 68th year begins with a huge winter. Looks like we got little or nothing at my place from last Sunday's storm and cf, and nothing since, so my Nov snow total may be no more than the 0.6" a few weeks back. However, when I get to add temps for the days I've been in the midwest, 11/13 may land in the top 3 coldest of 16 Novembers. Given that, and the outlook into Dec, I'm cautiously optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Miser Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 What does the 14 day Euro show? Any big blizzards in store? Those are much better than reality anyway as it's always nice to pin hopes on something 2 weeks out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy Birthday Fella! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Given that, and the outlook into Dec, I'm cautiously optimistic. Your latitude should have already started paying dividends Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 It looks like according to noaa index for the ao it will be going negative by the 10-15 day range. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/precip/CWlink/daily_ao_index/ao_index_mrf.shtml. That would offset any positive EPO if it is comes to fruition. By the way is the EPO going positive or only a possibility?. The 12z GEFS in the longer range would seem to support this, as it displaces the PV from the pole and tries to get some ridging in the AO regions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy birthday, Jerry! WIshing you KU birthday gifts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy Birthday Jerry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Absolutely pouring here the last 20 mins or so Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy birthday Jerry, may your squirrels be fat, your wood be strong, and your snow be plentiful. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snow_Miser Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy Birthday Jerry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy birthday Jerry! One of the best here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SlantStickers Anonymous Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy spirit journey formation anniversary Jerry! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2013 Author Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy Gerald! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Thanks guys.....all the good wishes are much appreciated! Gonna sit back and wait for deep snow.....and if it doesn't come enjoy every day being well. Tamarack is a slightly older than me and remembers the same winters in NNj in the 50s/60s. Fun times ahead...day 1 of met winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Always read on here the Wxbell Euro snow maps are wrong, seems purely anecdotal. Rather than recording Kevs totals somebody should do an analysis for 24 hours before a snow storm, final totals versus Wxbell Euro output. Right now it's pure anecdote and the popular line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy birthday to one of the most respected posters on the boards over the years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leo1000 Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy Birthday Jerry!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2013 Author Share Posted December 1, 2013 Temp crashing down to 35.1 A little more ice/flakes late night/early AM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 18z GFS, let's get it started. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Always read on here the Wxbell Euro snow maps are wrong, seems purely anecdotal. Rather than recording Kevs totals somebody should do an analysis for 24 hours before a snow storm, final totals versus Wxbell Euro output. Right now it's pure anecdote and the popular line. They're bogus. Compare the weenie maps from wx bell to what the nws folks see in awips. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Temp crashing down to 35.1 A little more ice/flakes late night/early AM? Geez--how warm did it get there to have 35* be a 'crash'? That was the high here. I hadn't realized there was much disparity across the region today. Perhaps I should have looked! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Always read on here the Wxbell Euro snow maps are wrong, seems purely anecdotal. Rather than recording Kevs totals somebody should do an analysis for 24 hours before a snow storm, final totals versus Wxbell Euro output. Right now it's pure anecdote and the popular line. The last storm (the big QPF event) it had multiple days of me getting a foot and had a run as high as 18" I think. It's well over-done, as are most of those snowfall products can be. Maybe at 24 hours out its closer to reality, but we aren't 24 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 Happy birthday to one of the most respected posters on the boards over the years.love Jerry, he gets away with some stuff though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 1, 2013 Share Posted December 1, 2013 They're bogus. Compare the weenie maps from wx bell to what the nws folks see in awips.anecdote, science please, hard facts, numbers, statistics, you know like you tell me all the time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 1, 2013 Author Share Posted December 1, 2013 Geez--how warm did it get there to have 35* be a 'crash'? That was the high here. I hadn't realized there was much disparity across the region today. Perhaps I should have looked! 39.1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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