weathafella Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Long sw fetch with 564+ thickness for all of sne. If we get sun, 60+ is doable. Heckuva first week and work will be needed to keep the month aob. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Big irony how December is following g November with the warm start. Let's hope the rest holds serve like November. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 Man hope that run is wrong. If not we are in trouble Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Man hope that run is wrong. If not we are in trouble Because of Friday or the second follow up cutter? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Man hope that run is wrong. If not we are in troubleIt's brief man relax. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Boy Kevin's wintry week has gone downhill quick. If only listened to the crabby met. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 Because of Friday or the second follow up cutter?If it's correct which it's probably not it screws up the 7-14 period and we're left with green grass and nothing else Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 lol at that run... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 Thankfully it's got no ensemble support. None. Chilly week till Fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Thankfully it's got no ensemble support. None. Chilly week till Fri Sleeves up after Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 If it's correct which it's probably not it screws up the 7-14 period and we're left with green grass and nothing else How much confidence did you have in the 7-14 day ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 Sleeves up after Wednesday.ill take the way under Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 How much confidence did you have in the 7-14 day ?Based off the mets comments it seemed high confidence. I don't think one wrong euro run changes anything Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 ill take the way under If not 60 then 50. Roll them up. I wouldn't worry about the day 10 run. I could see a SWFE though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 If not 60 then 50. Roll them up. I wouldn't worry about the day 10 run. I could see a SWFE though.Well yeah Friday is the one fairly tepid day then fropa that nite Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Based off the mets comments it seemed high confidence. I don't think one wrong euro run changes anything Well it doesn't mean we won't have a storm ride into SNE. I said that earlier. The overall look is good for winter chances. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 If not 60 then 50. Roll them up. I wouldn't worry about the day 10 run. I could see a SWFE though.Well yeah Friday is the one fairly tepid day then fropa that nite 60-65 potentially. 55+ Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Typhoon Tip Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Euro is likely a bit too warm folks ... ribbing aside, probably some over-reacting. I wouldn't concede the first week of December as being "warm" -- that's a bit of an overstatement imho. We'll see... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Well it doesn't mean we won't have a storm ride into SNE. I said that earlier. The overall look is good for winter chances. The problem continues to be the storm threats look most wintry in the longest ranges and fade to wet or whiff as they approach. Cold and dry or warmer and not. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 60-65 potentially. 55+ Thursday. No way. Thursday still "chilly" Friday is the only day of higher temps that would upset folks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 The problem continues to be the storm threats look most wintry in the longest ranges and fade to wet or whiff as they approach. Cold and dry or warmer and not. Yeah I have noticed this as well. I believe for a short time last weeks big Rainer was modeled to have some wintry precip with it. As we got closer it trended to all rain and really warm as well. Obviously might not mean anything, but that's an awful pattern to get into Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 30.84 on the Baro today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 30.84 on the Baro today Congrats? Impressive midday cold again today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Just got a picture from a friend in Naples ME , ice on some of the quieter portions of Long Lake Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Just got a picture from a friend in Naples ME , ice on some of the quieter portions of Long Lake Ice all over some river in vermont i just drove by in royalston after going out to some burger place there. Nice burger w egg on top. Clouding up back in randolph and frigid Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Nice "wintry appeal" today with the chill. Good day to get in the Christmas spirit. Not too thrilled about the prospects for real wintry weather on the horizon, nothing meaningful at least. Maybe a few more mood flakes in the next couple days and Wednesday looks like a lost cause for the winter folks. End of the week looks warm with a trough centered out west. Maybe some more beneficial rains with a SLP riding up along the boundary. Pattern just looks hostile to me thru mid month. Maybe we can sneak in some early season snows but I'm not optimistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 The problem continues to be the storm threats look most wintry in the longest ranges and fade to wet or whiff as they approach. Cold and dry or warmer and not. Sne doesnt ave 35-65 inches of snow a year from getting crush'd over and over , that is the exception. In a average year there is plenty of depressing winter events that blow is my point, and we can still get to ave. = our ave winter sorta blows , No way around it. you can accept it ,embrace it, ignore it and put on your (this is xyz year all over again googles, or b**ch or move. i will never embrace it and will do best to keep bitchin to minimum. Many of our storms will be wet or messy or whiff. Nne aoa 1k FTW is the solution Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Sne doesnt ave 35-65 inches of snow a year from getting crush'd over and over , that is the exception. In a average year there is plenty of depressing winter events that blow is my point, and we can still get to ave. = our ave winter blows . Many of our storms will be wet or messy or whiff. Nne aoa 1k FTW is the solution Yeah if you are going by a day 10 op prog that looks wintry, well then you are going to be disappointed often. So far no storm under day 5 has trended wetter or warmer and enaembles were always a red flag. And I will say this again, just because it looks like a pattern that can give snow, doesn't mean we won't get a cutter. We easily can, the point of a pattern like this one looking good is that it has produced before and offers the chance of a first widespread snow or two. It is not a lock. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Congrats? Impressive midday cold again today Trying to find the last time it was so high in nov, any thoughts on where to look? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 ok Scooter how do I read this one? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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