Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Kevin may owe me an apology after saying I was crabby and turning the bored against me because I said it may be boring and turning milder. ensembles did a nice job at picking out this week ahead as a general relaxation period in the flow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Kevin may owe me an apology after saying I was crabby and turning the bored against me because I said it may be boring and turning milder. I hope you're kidding about the board turning against you. I've been around these things long enough to know they survive because of guys willing to post a ton and clearly you are a significant reason this place has enjoyed the success it does. I was just busting. Everyone assumes with a newborn you would be busy everyone forgets how much downtime there is with infants while you wait for them to learn how to walk and use the can. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 I hope you're kidding about the board turning against you. I've been around these things long enough to know they survive because of guys willing to post a ton and clearly you are a significant reason this place has enjoyed the success it does. I was just busting. Everyone assumes with a newborn you would be busy everyone forgets how much downtime there is with infants while you wait for them to learn how to walk and use the can. Scott...lol...of course I was joking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 I keep seeing these little systems going near or just south of us on the ensembles with a ridge appendage into NNE and beyond. That tells me SWFE. The signal isn't strong, but when you look at the MSLP features on a smoothed out ensemble...it can give clues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 The liking the period posts have diminished now the complicated posts appear. on the fence it seems is where we will be ala 07/08. i think that period after the 7th or so will average out colder than normal. not really on the fence about that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Well the liking period was and has been around the 7-14. isn't that what we are talking about? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 isn't that what we are talking about? i think that period is fine. we may or may not cash in... it's the period from mid-month onward that i think has the concern with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Scott...lol...of course I was joking. Sort of... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Cold today, November was bitched about until it became clear it would be subnormal. Not even 12/1 and multiple events to track already and severe cold possible after this week. Keep perspective friends. It's November fuking 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Cold today, November was bitched about until it became clear it would be subnormal. Not even 12/1 and multiple events to track already and severe cold possible after this week. Keep perspective friends. It's November fuking 30th. Well we are just discussing the December pattern. I don't think anybody cancelled anything..lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Cold today, November was bitched about until it became clear it would be subnormal. Not even 12/1 and multiple events to track already and severe cold possible after this week. Keep perspective friends. It's November fuking 30th. We had snow in the air four days last week out in NW MA and the small ponds are all skimmed with ice. Better start than last few years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 So its model watching time, i wonder if the models trend stronger w GOA troughing we can break out banana hammocks, maybe 65 in BOS and 25 at FVE on xmas. My gut says cold novie , cold first half Dec, then pattern switch to tobin jumper pattern. But obv no slam dunks. Hope that Quasi blocking doesnt breakdown in next model runs in conjunction w GOA troughing. Im afraid it will wether its dec15 or 25'th, hoping its transient. Got down to like 3f here last nite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 I never once called Scoots crabby. That's Hunchback. All I ever said was be careful about going mild this coming week and that will end up a decent idea. Still below normal until Thursday or Fri Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 I never once called Scoots crabby. That's Hunchback. All I ever said was be careful about going mild this coming week and that will end up a decent idea. Still below normal until Thursday or Fri The idea was the week turning milder as it goes on. However, if somehow this cstl forms..it's cheap cold air until Thursday or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Certainly has been an overperforming cold. Ice on all ponds now even the lakes are skimmed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 The idea was the week turning milder as it goes on. However, if somehow this cstl forms..it's cheap cold air until Thursday or so.Its funny because no matter who says what I'm always the one who said it . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Certainly has been an overperforming cold. Ice on all ponds now even the lakes are skimmed. Damn impressive cold, almost like models don't fully appreciate the efficientcy of -EPO cold delivery. 3f last nite in central vt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Its funny because no matter who says what I'm always the one who said it . 2-4 Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 How did Forky do in the Nov forecast contest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Everyone's inherent psychology is apparent on this page of posts. Including mine. Tip is too emotionally upset to post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Everyone's inherent psychology is apparent on this page of posts. Including mine. Tip is too emotionally upset to post. You seem crabby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 "cheap cold" is like cheap beer still gets you buzzed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Hunchie does a great job of analyzing posters moods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Hunchie does a great job of analyzing posters moods. It was apparent ha Is there such thing as cheap warmth? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 30, 2013 Author Share Posted November 30, 2013 2-4 Tuesday?i did say that and still think it's at least possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 i did say that and still think it's at least possible U should downgrade so its on the record (spreadsheet) whats most likely and whats possible seem high %'s apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 You seem crabby. I ain't got no crabs! Lovely cold morning. Hoping for white on the ground within 10 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Its funny because no matter who says what I'm always the one who said it . I feel for ya. On this board you have to hedge you forecasts. State the obvious (in the right context) and try not to draw attention to self. We all admire your passion. Sometimes you just have to tone-it-back and let those who guide the sleigh guide. I was wondering if there is an analog (obviously there is) to where we're at? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Certainly has been an overperforming cold. Ice on all ponds now even the lakes are skimmed. It's been darn impressive. Is it over-performing? It seems it was fairly well modeled...but I think the gist of your post is that it's certainly not warmer than progged and that's definitely true. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted November 30, 2013 Share Posted November 30, 2013 Classic SWFE on the euro at day 10.Overrunny nose event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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