CT Rain Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Yes but didn't you see how the model wrestled with our surface trying to keep some cad? I was amazed at the final solution considering the d7-8 look. Yeah has some CAD initially. I think a rainy cutter is def in the cards before the gradient pattern sets up behind it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Yeah has some CAD initially. I think a rainy cutter is def in the cards before the gradient pattern sets up behind it. A cutter is probably the mist likely scenario as the trough digging into the west will really help to pump the heights up out to the east of the system. ALso doesn't really appear to be much in the way of preventing the system from going well to the west of us. Although, like mentioned there could be some CAD but the fun may occur with the pattern behind the system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Yes but didn't you see how the model wrestled with our surface trying to keep some cad? I was amazed at the final solution considering the d7-8 look. Yeah has some CAD initially. I think a rainy cutter is def in the cards before the gradient pattern sets up behind it. 12/23/93 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2013 Author Share Posted November 28, 2013 Yes but didn't you see how the model wrestled with our surface trying to keep some cad? I was amazed at the final solution considering the d7-8 look.He's been trolling all day . Looking for any angle to disrupt or annoy folks on a national holiday. Saying models show no snow Sunday etc etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 He's been trolling all day . Looking for any angle to disrupt or annoy folks on a national holiday. Saying models show no snow Sunday etc etc. The Euro shows about a trace of snow for you on Sunday and then shows a cutter that probably begins as sleet or ZR in the hills before going over to rain next weekend. Not trolling - but not living in your fantasy weatherland that dropped 1-2" with the follow up wave last night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 The Euro shows about a trace of snow for you on Sunday and then shows a cutter that probably begins as sleet or ZR in the hills before going over to rain next weekend. Not trolling - but not living in your fantasy weatherland that dropped 1-2" with the follow up wave last night. There is the coastal in between depicted again today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 There is the coastal in between depicted again today. There is - hopefully we get something from it though it doesn't have much ensemble support. I think this week will probably be pretty boring but things moving forward look quite good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 There is - hopefully we get something from it though it doesn't have much ensemble support. I think this week will probably be pretty boring but things moving forward look quite good. do gradient patterns usually lock in for a few weeks or will this be a 5-7 day window type? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Cohen FTW Colds shots bracketed by cutters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 I think i know ryan has a fetish for big storms. So when he says meh, that still leaves door open for 2-3 inch deals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Cohen FTW Colds shots bracketed by cutters Winter of ice on nh mtns. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Cohen FTW Colds shots bracketed by cutters Yup, that's been my worry for a while now. That's worse than it being warm IMO Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Leon Lett Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 I think i know ryan has a fetish for big storms. So when he says meh, that still leaves door open for 2-3 inch deals. I do - I don't see much to get excited about over the next week or so but we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Leon Lett This AO is Don Beebe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Spiking December on both sides while still in November FTL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Spiking December on both sides while still in November FTL.Great memory storm from Dec last year on the 29th. Caution flags flying everywhere, Euro was bombing it out, people were freaking out, ended up with 11. December usually produces. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Great memory storm from Dec last year on the 29th. Caution flags flying everywhere, Euro was bombing it out, people were freaking out, ended up with 11. December usually produces. Yes remember that well, Bos to Cape ann torch'd to rain. But 5 miles away from coast hung on to snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 I am happy that it's cold. I just feel less good about the upcoming pattern than others I guess for raw snow chances and not cutters Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 I think i know ryan has a fetish for big storms. So when he says meh, that still leaves door o pen for 2-3 inch deals. just a bloody inch is all I ask for I tell ya. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2013 Author Share Posted November 29, 2013 Euro onboard from some some light, accumulating snow Tuesday and finally GFS joins pic.twitter.com/gvYEaj3TPJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 Tues. coastal is back on the 6z gfs. Closes off in a good spot and gives most of SNE some weenie accumulations. Does the Eyro have it this am? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 Models are still undecided Tuesday. You want it to be closer because temps aloft are marginal at best. Could be a 34F -SN if it's light. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2013 Author Share Posted November 29, 2013 Models are still undecided Tuesday. You want it to be closer because temps aloft are marginal at best. Could be a 34F -SN if it's light. Yeah it won't be heavy .but yesterday we though maybe a 2-4 inch type deal. Still probably best idea for now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 Models are still undecided Tuesday. You want it to be closer because temps aloft are marginal at best. Could be a 34F -SN if it's light.But i thinbk the gfs shows it diurnal/overnight so it would be colder than that,no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 Yeah it won't be heavy .but yesterday we though maybe a 2-4 inch type deal. Still probably best idea for now Eh, that's pushing it..lol. In the longer range, the euro ensembles may try to warm us up mid month if it's right with lower heights south of AK, but the other guidance not so on board. All models still with a rather strong Aleutian ridge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 But i thinbk the gfs shows it diurnal/overnight so it would be colder than that,no? Well temps aloft are marginal. 925mb temps on the euro are near and above 0C all the way to the east slopes of the Berks and NW CT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 29, 2013 Author Share Posted November 29, 2013 Eh, that's pushing it..lol. In the longer range, the euro ensembles may try to warm us up mid month if it's right with lower heights south of AK, but the other guidance not so on board. All models still with a rather strong Aleutian ridge. Looks like we can't avoid a disaster next Fri/Sat..although if you stetched it..you could see how it could start as ice and maybe seconadary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 Looks like we can't avoid a disaster next Fri/Sat..although if you stetched it..you could see how it could start as ice and maybe seconadary It could start out as a mix, but we'll probably furnace. After that we may have a little fun, but I'm a little concerned about mid month. Some hints it may turn milder on the east Coast..but obviously we don't know how far north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 29, 2013 Share Posted November 29, 2013 Lots of precip in the one next weekend? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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