CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Well if I had to guess, the Dec pattern has the potential to make Ray happy. Lets hope the ridge remains steadfast and lows don't ride up our fannies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Nice Pickles. My sense is in a few weeks that area won't consider a small snow cover deep winter ...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
40/70 Benchmark Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Beautiful, picturesque view of a rural winter landscape....where is that? Looks like someone's new avatar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Well if I had to guess, the Dec pattern has the potential to make Ray happy. Lets hope the ridge remains steadfast and lows don't ride up our fannies. After about Dec 8-10th or so the pattern certainly does look like it could feature some decent potential. Looks like perhaps a gradient type pattern will develop here in the Northeast so hopefully we could at least stay on the right side of that and the northern stream looks rather active as well. May end up seeing some clippers working through in the northern stream then blossoming right off the coast. Anyways though it's good to see that the potential pattern at least holds more potential to be active here, unlike what we've been dealing with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 It's in Randolph,VT . The design of the trees, is call'd an Alle (French). Looks better w snow on trees. It is fukin frigid here w wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 GFS wants nothing to do with a coastal, just that inv trough feature offshore at hr 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 GFS wants nothing to do with a coastal, just that inv trough feature offshore at hr 90. I always thought the coastal sort of came out of nowhere. Probabably ground truth is a minor to low end moderate qpf (some frozen) in the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 That rollover is really helping to thwart the warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 I always thought the coastal sort of came out of nowhere. Probabably ground truth is a minor to low end moderate qpf (some frozen) in the end. Well it was modeled offshore for a while, but then came west and helped cool us off next week. I don't really have confidence in that storm materializing..maybe just some precip Sunday Night which also isn't a high prob forecast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Well it was modeled offshore for a while, but then came west and helped cool us off next week. I don't really have confidence in that storm materializing..maybe just some precip Sunday Night which also isn't a high prob forecast. Cool to cold week full of meh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 GFS has snowfall Sunday, about as far as its useful for Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 GFS has snowfall Sunday, about as far as its useful for Probably rain or a little ZR verbatim given 950 temps. It does try to develop a mini low just east of the Cape SUnday night, but temps look marginal at best in ern areas. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Cool to cold week full of meh. Think we mild up towards the end. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Probably rain or a little ZR verbatim given 950 temps. It does try to develop a mini low just east of the Cape SUnday night, but temps look marginal at best in ern areas. It also does develop a rather weak 850mb circulation which goes through RI and SE MA and does increase convergence, albeit slightly across the Cape area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Think we mild up towards the end. Yeah I think we enter a period of a rather brief mild up, however, that's not the worst thing in the world as once that ridge slides off-shore that's when we may enter a pattern which looks a bit more promising and holds potential. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 GFS wants nothing to do with a coastal, just that inv trough feature offshore at hr 90. Euro ensembles seem to throw back some modest QPF from the Sunday inverted trough deal but they don't really want anything to do with the fantasy coastal on Tuesday that the Euro's been spinning up. No support in the GEFS either for Tuesday. I think this upcoming week will generally be pretty boring - but once we get to next weekend we can hope for some excitement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Probably rain or a little ZR verbatim given 950 temps. It does try to develop a mini low just east of the Cape SUnday night, but temps look marginal at best in ern areas. Yeah looks mild all around on Sunday. NAM too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Euro ensembles seem to throw back some modest QPF from the Sunday inverted trough deal but they don't really want anything to do with the fantasy coastal on Tuesday that the Euro's been spinning up. No support in the GEFS either for Tuesday. I think this upcoming week will generally be pretty boring - but once we get to next weekend we can hope for some excitement. Yeah agreed. It may start out cooler than we thought, but has the chance to be rather dull. Feel good about a mild return later next week and weekend, before the pattern tries to establish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Yeah agreed. It may start out cooler than we thought, but has the chance to be rather dull. Feel good about a mild return later next week and weekend, before the pattern tries to establish. We'll have to listen to 100 posts from you know who about 1-3" which is really just a few snow grains then a boring stretch with a mild up. Maybe wet next weekend before the fun stuff moves in? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 We'll have to listen to 100 posts from you know who about 1-3" which is really just a few snow grains then a boring stretch with a mild up. Maybe wet next weekend before the fun stuff moves in? This is dangerous to say, but the 12z GFS kind of shows you what kind of stuff we may be dealing with heading past week 1 in December. Anything from overrunning to perhaps a more significant storm on the East Coast and kind of cold in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Euro gives us some mood snow 12/1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2013 Author Share Posted November 28, 2013 1-2 from Euro on Sunday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 1-2 from Euro on Sunday Yeah - looks like you manage about 0.02" of QPF. Congrats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Euro is pretty mild just aloft SUnday. That would be a cold rain south of the Pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 28, 2013 Author Share Posted November 28, 2013 Yeah - looks like you manage about 0.02" of QPF. Congrats.Sorry you're not getting any snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Euro still with a messy looking cstl next week although a bit east of 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Euro gives us some mood snow 12/1 Dec 2012 redux. Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Big cutter on the Euro next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Big cutter on the Euro next weekend. Yes but didn't you see how the model wrestled with our surface trying to keep some cad? I was amazed at the final solution considering the d7-8 look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 28, 2013 Share Posted November 28, 2013 Big cutter on the Euro next weekend. Yup, not good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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