GaWx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Explain it to her in 1/10th inch increments. It'll sound more exciting. Lol, t would except her school is in the zero tenths/no accumulation area. I don't know how to make 0 tenths sound exciting.. I did tell she'll have a decent shot to see some in the air (flurries). However, that didn't excite her at all. She wants her Thanksgiving break extended by one day, period. At least she has only a 1/2 day tomorrow. I think that the "heat up the thermometer to make it seem like a fever trick" may now be warranted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaWx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 she must attend the only school in the state of GA that is open tomorrow. I know....it is a pretty sad situation. I feel for her. Are you saying no other private schools are open in the area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 The RAP seems to be really bullish on snow in Charlotte Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DaculaWeather Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I know,,,it is a pretty sad situation. I feel for her. Are you saying no other private schools are open in the area? Probably not. I work for Gwinnett County Schools and they are out all week this week .Well... at least the kids and teachers (my wife), I had to work yesterday and today, took a vacation day tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Just curious.....why no wwa's across the foothills and western piedmont for snow tomorrow? Even low impact events have a wwa posted. I see potential for a quick dusting to maybe a couple of inches based on some of the modeling and related disco here. We are within 24 hours so what gives? It's because the confidence is too low. AVL should be more than that. We have two snow makers: 1) synoptic deformation band with ULL and 2) upslope northwest flow snow. The combination of these two features should produce 1-3" in Asheville...the most snow since 2010. I wouldn't be surprised to see 2-4" either as the negative tilt on the southern stream will lend a little more favorably for a more organized deformation band. As folks have said, there may be some surprises tomorrow. I wouldn't be surprised if snow forecasts busted too low in many areas. On the other hand, I would be surprised if the Asheville airport picked up more than .5 but the mountains around it could see advisory criteria. Overall, I like the toss up on RaysWeather with 1-3 and dusting to 1 for Buncombe County. I wish you the best tho Asheville deserves some snow! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 One thing I've noticed from FFC over the years is that they can't mention or forecast snow without mentioning sleet. We could have -20 temperatures through the whole atmosphere and they would mention sleet. Tony must have some sway in their office. I wish No, it's that heat monster belching out heat ripples, that gets the stuff going back and forth from rain to all sorts of frozen. It's rare that all of Ga is cold enough through out the column. Somebody somewhere is going to get a pellet or two of sleet, lol. You've got to call it, or sleetophiles such as myself send angry letters. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
fountainguy97 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 sorry guys but you can forget your closed ull Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 It depends on what you consider "lucky" I guess but I think you will see some flakes in the morning if you are up early enough for sure. Considering that this is November, not too shabby. Actually, we have good luck with Ulls down here. It wouldn't surprise me to get back at all you that stole our extra rain, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Well, the FFC forecast of a possible inch may have put the hex on the chance for anything more than flurries here. Looks like the old upper low may be swinging a bit farther south with a slightly more positive tilt. The past two runs of the RPM, which was pretty bullish in north GA have backed off to only scattered flurries. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 And she's finally open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Snowing in Jackson, MS. http://mobile.mdottraffic.com/streamcam.aspx?cam=011108 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Can someone go ahead and squash any idea of snow for the Triangle tomorrow before Brick gets in here and sees comments like, "it's still closed off" and "needs to be monitored closely"? Let's nip this one in the bud, shall we? All I want is to see some snow fall. Just a little. Would be a lot better than this miserable rain we are having now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Snowing in Jackson, MS. http://mobile.mdottraffic.com/streamcam.aspx?cam=011108 Awesome ! I was wondering how long it was going to take.. Judging by radar would support snow fall in Central MS into AL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherNC Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Not much happening with the watch upstream as most of the rotating cells are offshore, nevertheless, tornado watch in effect until 4am. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTEDTORNADO WATCH NUMBER 578NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK950 PM EST TUE NOV 26 2013THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A* TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OFEASTERN NORTH CAROLINACOASTAL WATERS* EFFECTIVE THIS TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY MORNING FROM 950 PMUNTIL 400 AM EST.* PRIMARY THREATS INCLUDE...SEVERAL TORNADOES POSSIBLEA FEW DAMAGING WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH POSSIBLETHE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 55 STATUTEMILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 25 MILES SOUTHEAST OFJACKSONVILLE NORTH CAROLINA TO 90 MILES NORTHEAST OF NEW BERNNORTH CAROLINA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THEASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FORTORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCHAREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FORTHREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTSAND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.&&OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 576...WW 577...DISCUSSION...DEEP CONVECTION AND INITIALLY NIL TO MRGL SFC-BASEDBUOYANCY EACH IS FCST TO INCREASE GRADUALLY OVER NEXT FEWHOURS...AMIDST FAVORABLY LARGE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPHS AND DEEP SHEAR.ACTIVITY MAY INCLUDE SUPERCELLS AND SMALL BOWS...OFFERING BOTHTORNADO AND WIND-DAMAGE RISK. REF SPC MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2049 FORFURTHER/INITIAL NEAR-TERM DETAILS.AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAILSURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACEWIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 23035. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I think the snow in Jackson, Mississippi is a good indicator on what most will see here. Upper 30s with changeover to snow for about 30mins as precip ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I think the snow in Jackson, Mississippi is a good indicator on what most will see here. Upper 30s with changeover to snow for about 30mins as precip ends. Yes it is. Very nice ULL cold pocket strengthening on WV. http://www.goes.noaa.gov/GSSLOOPS/ecwv.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 The ULL has closed back up for now (time-sensitive image). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Well, the FFC forecast of a possible inch may have put the hex on the chance for anything more than flurries here. Looks like the old upper low may be swinging a bit farther south with a slightly more positive tilt. The past two runs of the RPM, which was pretty bullish in north GA have backed off to only scattered flurries.The RAP really doesn't show much for N GA either...but it seems to show a quick burst of snow for central AL early tomorrow morning. With it showing temps ranging through the 30s during precip I'd certainly be more optimistic for a cartopper kinda deal if I .we're in Birmingham vs. AtlantaEdit-Not the frame I intended to post, think it updated while I was looking at it and looks less impressive. Still seems like AL/W GA look to do "better" than this area though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bingcrosbyb Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 The RAP really doesn't show much for N GA either...but it seems to show a quick burst of snow for central AL early tomorrow morning. With it showing temps ranging through the 30s during precip I'd certainly be more optimistic for a cartopper kinda deal if I .we're in Birmingham vs. Atlanta HRRR backs up your idea.....maybe a burst of 1-2" near Birmingham. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 GSP says cold air is further away than expected..probably not what you want to hear if you are in Asheville. Near term /through Wednesday/...As for winter weather... we await the arrival of thecolder air...which remains farther off to the west than earlierthought as of 03z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bobbitt Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 the new gfs sends the 500 vort from central ga too central nc with a big burst of snow for the boarder tomorrow . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 HRRR suggests cold air will penetrate the valley around 1am. Might be the start of the action here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCCatawba Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Maybe half inch of snow foothills/western Piedmont if it's actually all snow...think some will be wasted as rain and or melt on wet surfaces. Then wind will likely blow it away. Blizzard conditions in the mountains may spill flakes into the foothills at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kvegas-wx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 WXII in house model and Lanie Pope agree with your 1/2 inch assessment across the Triad. Looks like token flakes or a snow shower is in order. If anything ends up white for more than 30 minutes I will consider that lucky for November in Carolina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LovingGulfLows Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 HRRR backs up your idea.....maybe a burst of 1-2" near Birmingham. Atlanta gets screwed again. Same thing for the past 2-3 years now. Seems like everyone to the west, north, and east gets more snow then the Atlanta area does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 ULL open. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 hrrr has a nice band from the "comma head" structure over charlotte and extending down to northern sc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Itunis Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 HRRR backs up your idea.....maybe a burst of 1-2" near Birmingham. ] BMXs update is not too optimistic, while I'm still showing <1" per point and click. Two offices, to different forecasts with probably very valid reasoning. Minor event even by southern standards, but it's helpful to take look at neighboring forecast offices' opinions in situations like this where it's a tricky forecast IMO. Either way looks like a lot of us will see snow falling--rare for November! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 Atlanta gets screwed again. Same thing for the past 2-3 years now. Seems like everyone to the west, north, and east gets more snow then the Atlanta area does. ATL has a really hard time getting snow in these setups because while a NW wind downslopes the hell out of them it does not downslope as severely or even at all for parts of AL/MS and obviously TN/SC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted November 27, 2013 Share Posted November 27, 2013 I'm up in chesterfield at the moment, hoping I can see a snow shower tomorrow as the precip band rolls through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.