Tacoma Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 ... and their snow graphic shows .5 for Asheville. So, that graphic doesn't line up to the point and click. (which it never seems to) But, regardless, maybe we will get a few flakes tomorrow. just seeing it snow for a while tomorrow will be fun. wow this early in the season and there has been two potential storms. had we been a month later this storm may have been all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
oconeexman Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Back end snow showers are still in play tomorrow...my only hope. Meanwhile almost at 1.5" of water thus far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Heavy Snow and Strong Winds across the NC High Country Tuesday Night and Wednesday This map below will change in time: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I hope we get chances like this later in December, January, and February. But for now instead of snow or ice here in central NC, we have to lookout for severe storms tonight. Crazy weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tnweathernut Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 don't look now, but the 12z NAM reducing amounts of snow west of the mountains, but increasing them for areas in GA/SC/NC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 don't look now, but the 12z NAM reducing amounts of snow west of the mountains, but increasing them for areas in GA/SC/NC Yes. Hello! What do we have here on the RH chart? A nice comma head, perhaps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 26, 2013 Author Share Posted November 26, 2013 Talk about a nice Bump of snow.. Heavy Snow and Strong Winds across the NC High Country Tuesday Night and Wednesday This map below will change in time: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 don't look now, but the 12z NAM reducing amounts of snow west of the mountains, but increasing them for areas in GA/SC/NC What areas would that be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Heavy Snow and Strong Winds across the NC High Country Tuesday Night and Wednesday Talk about a nice Bump of snow.. Is App St and Western Carolina out for Thanksgiving already? If not a lot of students could be stuck at campus for Thanksgiving. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metwannabe Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 What areas would that be? I'd say western Piedmont but trends bear watching..... also the SREF even shows a brief change over to snow for upstate SC and most of NC before rapidly ending. I wouldn't give up on seeing some flakes just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Yes. Hello! What do we have here on the RH chart? A nice comma head, perhaps? Ive been noticing a slight trend in the models from the 0z . Keeps pushing the upper level trough axis slightly more to the east. Which would be a good thing since there wouldn't be such a downslope component as they were showing before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CLTwx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Yup..interesting NAM showing a phase tomorrow. We didn't want the phase today, but we will take it tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED TORNADO WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL 846 AM CST TUE NOV 26 2013 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN TALLAHASSEE HAS ISSUED A * TORNADO WARNING FOR... SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN FLORIDA... NORTHERN GULF COUNTY IN THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA... * UNTIL 915 AM CST/1015 AM EST/ * AT 844 AM CST...A DEVELOPING TORNADO HAS BEEN DETECTED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEAR OVERSTREET...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH. * OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO DALKEITH...HONEYVILLE...WEWAHITCHKA...CHIPOLA CUTOFF...RED HILL... WILMA...LEWIS AND KERN PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TAKE COVER NOW! LEAVE MOBILE HOMES AND VEHICLES FOR SAFER STRUCTURES. GET TO THE LOWEST FLOOR AND PUT AS MANY WALLS BETWEEN YOU AND THE TORNADO AS POSSIBLE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bsudweather Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Back end snow showers are still in play tomorrow...my only hope. Meanwhile almost at 1.5" of water thus far. Yea last night was only allowed to cool to 32.2. Just a miserable cold rain here, with 1.5" also. I'm hoping to see some backend flurries or snow showers but not so sure about that yet either! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 The WRF looks pretty good, but wonder what totals it's showing. I will have the hi-res NAM in the coming 20 mins or so, but I don't think anyone west of KTRI will like it....... lol I wonder if the severe activity along the gulf is going to rob moisture transport into the southern apps and this is what the NAM is picking up on?? Latest SREF looked similar to the NAM for the simulated radar.. It took away all of my rain today and left me with sprinkles Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 26, 2013 Author Share Posted November 26, 2013 I will take that bump of snow at HR 40.. ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FLweather Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 FWIW.. But its the rap model Its hard to guess and foolish aswell what it will do frame by frame after. But resmembles the nam to certain extent. But maybe slightly east with the phase and more pronounce back end band?! Does look like more engery trying to dive in than what the nam and gfs shows. More vigorous with the ULL Nam RAP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 12z NAM Hi-Res has a switch over to snow for Charlotte at hour 27 and goes into about hour 30...not a long window but comp. radar doesn't look bad. IF and a big IF the NAM verified based on radar I think we could see a dusting to an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 12z NAM Hi-Res has a switch over to snow for Charlotte at hour 27 and goes into about hour 30...not a long window but comp. radar doesn't look bad. IF and a big IF the NAM verified based on radar I think we could see a dusting to an inch. Does this "comma head" precip make it any further east? Sorry, can't look at models right now and the raleighwx site appears to no longer exist. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Does this "comma head" precip make it any further east? Sorry, can't look at models right now and the raleighwx site appears to no longer exist. It does. You're probably in the same boat as CLT...maybe do a little better. I've seen this game with the NAM before though so I would rely on RAP and HRRR models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
strongwxnc Posted November 26, 2013 Author Share Posted November 26, 2013 Any snow before 12/25 is bouns action in this area.. I would love to see a good heavy rate for an hour or so. 12z NAM Hi-Res has a switch over to snow for Charlotte at hour 27 and goes into about hour 30...not a long window but comp. radar doesn't look bad. IF and a big IF the NAM verified based on radar I think we could see a dusting to an inch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chapelhillwx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 It does. You're probably in the same boat as CLT...maybe do a little better. I've seen this game with the NAM before though so I would rely on RAP and HRRR models. Thanks. The WRF loop looks good, but it tends to get overexcited at times as well. Maybe we'll all see some flakes in the air at least; I got shafted both in Travelers Rest and CH for the last flurry "event." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hammer Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Yup..interesting NAM showing a phase tomorrow. We didn't want the phase today, but we will take it tomorrow Not being a smarta$$ (promise)... why don't we want a phase today, but we want it tomorrow? Does your answer change for me (I am located in N Central Ga)? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stovepipe Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 For TN people, I'd say the RAP is encouraging. It drys us out around 0z, then gets rather juicy again right around the expected change over time of 5z-7z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Big questions for triangle area today is how far west does the coastal front get. RAH just stated that Wake county may have a 15-20 degree temp range tonight. I seen that a few years back where it was in the low 50s in Raleigh but fell off to the 30s up where I live. RAH: THE CHALLENGE IS HOW FAR WEST THE WARM MOIST AIR WILL SPREAD INLAND. MODEL CONSENSUS TAKES THE COASTAL TROUGH/THERMAL MOISTURE BOUNDARY WELL PAST THE TRIANGLE AND STOPS IT JUST SHORT OF THE TRIAD. BASED ON RADAR TRENDS...STILL THINK THAT THIS WESTWARD MOVEMENT IS TOO FAR INLAND. HOWEVER...COULD SEE BOUNDARY MAKE TO NEAR RDU. THUS...HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS/DEWPOINTS TO SHOW WARM MOIST AIR SOLIDLY COVERING THE COASTAL PLAIN-SANDHILLS AND MAKING INROADS INTO THE EASTERN PIEDMONT. POTENTIAL TO SEE A 15- 20 DEGREE SPREAD ACROSS WAKE COUNTY WITH 40S TO AROUND 50 IN THE FAR WEST TO THE LOW-MID 60S IN THE FAR EAST BY LATE TONIGHT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 The gradient: Tuesday 8:00pm Image courtesy of WeatherBell and Dr Ryan Maue And a Frigid Thanksgiving Morning with single digit temperatures in the NC High Country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Big questions for triangle area today is how far west does the coastal front get. RAH just stated that Wake county may have a 15-20 degree temp range tonight. I seen that a few years back where it was in the low 50s in Raleigh but fell off to the 30s up where I live. RAH: THE CHALLENGE IS HOW FAR WEST THE WARM MOIST AIR WILL SPREAD INLAND. MODEL CONSENSUS TAKES THE COASTAL TROUGH/THERMAL MOISTURE BOUNDARY WELL PAST THE TRIANGLE AND STOPS IT JUST SHORT OF THE TRIAD. BASED ON RADAR TRENDS...STILL THINK THAT THIS WESTWARD MOVEMENT IS TOO FAR INLAND. HOWEVER...COULD SEE BOUNDARY MAKE TO NEAR RDU. THUS...HAVE ADJUSTED TEMPS/DEWPOINTS TO SHOW WARM MOIST AIR SOLIDLY COVERING THE COASTAL PLAIN-SANDHILLS AND MAKING INROADS INTO THE EASTERN PIEDMONT. POTENTIAL TO SEE A 15- 20 DEGREE SPREAD ACROSS WAKE COUNTY WITH 40S TO AROUND 50 IN THE FAR WEST TO THE LOW-MID 60S IN THE FAR EAST BY LATE TONIGHT. Looks like we could be right on the line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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