Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Well, to quote Ian, the 00Z GFS is going to be epic. It's mostly in mocking of old Randy. But, yeah.. it's gonna be huge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Well, to quote Ian, the 00Z GFS is going to be epic. Seriously.. no way the Euro is losing this battle, right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Seriously.. no way the Euro is losing this battle, right? 12z UKmet was close to GFS fwiw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Seriously.. no way the Euro is losing this battle, right? I agree, I don't see it losing. The euro has support from it's own babies and all the other operational models but I guess the ukmet. The GFS has only itself and a few of it's ens brethren. A GFS win would be a huge upset and would be epic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 The nam is like 2 frames from a phased neg tilt bomb. I think it's too amped up. Well one crazy uncle ARW6 looks like a Cleveland Superbomb. Also SRef all over the place meaning 00z might not answer any questions. Accept ones we already know like it isn't going to snow. This thing is juiced so there is a potential for a lot of rain! Fast mover isn't going to matter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I agree, I don't see it losing. The euro has support from it's own babies and all the other operational models but I guess the ukmet. The GFS has only itself and a few of it's ens brethren. A GFS win would be a huge upset and would be epic. Rain or no rain and rain and stuff....it's dang fun having a ss storm to track. And an arctic front to boot. It's like an NFL preseason game that keeps you from changing the channels all 4 quarters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 It's mostly in mocking of old Randy. But, yeah.. it's gonna be huge. I was gonna say...Wes is giving you credit for my weenie line. But if there ever was a time: 0z GFS will be telling Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Still some snow left on my car, 32F exactly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 gfs caves...King Euro retains his crown Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nj2va Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 gfs caves...King Euro retains his crown What site do you use? NCEP only out to 69. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 What site do you use? NCEP only out to 69. pay site....just under 2" for DCA/BWI Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 gfs caves...King Euro retains his crown Wouldn't say it caved. Still a hell of a ton colder. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Wouldn't say it caved. Still a hell of a ton colder. {img snipped} I will enjoy my 40 and rain... and MRB will enjoy the RAIN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 gfs caves...King Euro retains his crown I'd say we're tied this season. Now I guess it's fine tuning the details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Wouldn't say it caved. Still a hell of a ton colder. it went from a whiff to a pummeling in 6 hours....it caved...we get clocked Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 It caved. It will continue until it's all wrapped up like the Euro/NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I will enjoy my 40 and rain... and MRB will enjoy the RAIN LOL, and you're certain of this? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I'd say we're tied this season. Now I guess it's fine tuning the details. congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 LOL, and you're certain of this? He keeps basing his SNOW SNOW SNOW off of the 850s being below 0. It doesnt work that way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 It caved. It will continue until it's all wrapped up like the Euro/NAM. Probably so. It caved. Wonder why? Was its data and/or modeling of the ns simply that bad? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Will be fun to see what the real solution will be in 3-4 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 He keeps basing his SNOW SNOW SNOW off of the 850s being below 0. It doesnt work that way Yeah, but..... 2m temps are at or below freezing at about the same time (6z wed morning). Kinda silly arguing this. Long way out there still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Yeah, but..... 2m temps are at or below freezing at about the same time (6z wed morning). Kinda silly arguing this. Long way out there still. Well then it would be a wet wet heavy snow? But yeah it is... its at least nice to see the GFS finally coming to its senses Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 congrats gfs_6hr_snow_acc_washdc_39.png Even I have learned not to pay attention to those things. you're like a gun slinger with those maps. Lightning quick! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Well then it would be a wet wet heavy snow? But yeah it is... its at least nice to see the GFS finally coming to its senses Idk yoda. You'd think there would be snow in that situation but who knows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I could see this one trending colder as we close. Not much help for me but maybe someone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I could see this one trending colder as we close. Not much help for me but maybe someone. This storm better not be one where Dave is playing in the wet snow while we are crying in the cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Probably so. It caved. Wonder why? Was its data and/or modeling of the ns simply that bad? It's still 72 hours out...sometimes they lock in, but the models aren't always that great 3-4 days out..we know that...this is a progressive pattern.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I could see this one trending colder as we close. Not much help for me but maybe someone. It will still shift some I'm sure...what do you think?....I have no idea, but I could see the current modeled solution being close to correct Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 It will still shift some I'm sure...what do you think?....I have no idea, but I could see the current modeled solution being close to correct Think we are coming toward a solution. I could see things maybe de-amplifying a bit (or at least per last euro) and the cold trying to press a bit harder. The air mass moderates out ahead of it but not anything major and then there's another cold high pressing in on the storm. I kinda doubt we'll get 3" of rain but maybe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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