WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 special one-time offer ecmwf_tprecip_washdc_22.png All snow? EPIC Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtk Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Sorry. Guess my post was idiotic. I just thought not always but it was an often occurrence that the GFS would lose storms only to bring back it's solution from previous runs. Not all the time but I know it does happen. I normally just lurk and read post and now you know why. I'm not as good and knowledgeable as most on this forum.Don't be offended. I was just being obnoxious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 special one-time offer ecmwf_tprecip_washdc_22.png Would you be able to post the SE PA version in the Phila. forum? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Would you be able to post the SE PA version in the Phila. forum? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 it's a fun run. check this out: ecmwf_t2max_washdc_17.png Man. So close to a snow storm out here. Wish it was mid January. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Man. So close to a snow storm out here. Wish it was mid January. Dude you know someone will say that with this setup that even in mid January this is a rainstorm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Man. So close to a snow storm out here. Wish it was mid January. I'll go ahead and do it..... Ian, can you post an 850 map? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Dude you know someone will say that with this setup that even in mid January this is a rainstorm definitely some heavy heavy mixing imby at least Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Would you be able to post the SE PA version in the Phila. forum? Look up and to your right Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 special one-time offer ecmwf_tprecip_washdc_22.png That would be f'ing miserable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Let's pray for a track like that in January You need your own forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 You need your own forum. Good one. Funnnnnnnnyyyyyy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Violentweatherfan Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Look up and to your right Thanks, I didn't think of doing that. I ought to lurk here more often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 From LWX... WHETHER IT IS A MIX EARLY TUE MRNG W/ RAIN- SNOW OFF-AND-ON DURING THE DAY/NIGHT. TUE NIGHT INTO EARLY WED...DEPENDING ON THE STRENGTH OF THE CAA AND THE SYSTEM`S PROGRESS AND AMNT OF PRECIP - PERIODS OF SNOW MAY MIX W/ RAIN ACROSS THE SHEN VLY/BLUE RIDGE AND INTO THE FOOTHILLS. ATTM... STILL APPEARS THE I-95 CORRIDOR AND IMMEDIATE AREAS WILL BE ALL RAIN - ALBEIT A COLD RAIN - THOUGH UNCERTAINTY REMAINS FAIRLY HIGH FOR HOW FAR SE COLD AIR CAN/WILL MIX W/ FALLING PRECIP. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WEATHER53 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 It's very early but the low is looking like it wants to take a near perfect track. Even marginal cold air would work with that track. I am a lot more interested in this than one of those phase jobs. Lookks like frontal blast through in about 5 hours from now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 If at any point this storm has a period of snow falling near the cities I will consider it a major win. Parrs ridge stands a fair chance overall. My yard is a major underdog but I wouldn't be shocked to see some rain soaked mangled globs trying to make it to the ground before being incinerated in standing water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 18z GFS is gonna be huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted November 23, 2013 Author Share Posted November 23, 2013 That's the spirit Ian! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 I prefer the flooding 18z NAM with 60 degrees and torrential rains Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 I prefer the flooding 18z NAM with 60 degrees and torrential rains getting closer to some severe weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 getting closer to some severe weather nam_namer_084_500_vort_ht.gif Calling for tornadoes? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
PhineasC Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 A cold soaker in late November with snow nearby is a win considering the drumbeat for months has been the concern that there'd be no southern stream to work with. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 A cold soaker in late November with snow nearby is a win considering the drumbeat for months has been the concern that there'd be no southern stream to work with. Early and late season events often have a more robust southern stream....The issue is with the core of winter when we really need it.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Man, I thought the NAM was going to deliver on at least one fantasy run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Early and late season events often have a more robust southern stream....The issue is with the core of winter when we really need it.... This winter has a better chance of having ss influence from time to time than the last 2 years combined. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 This winter has a better chance of having ss influence from time to time than the last 2 years combined. hope so...we'll see...that isn't too tall a task....I don't really see how we get much of one in the heart of winter...we have no nino or nino hangover...but there are plenty of ways to get snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 hope so...we'll see...that isn't too tall a task....I don't really see how we get much of one in the heart of winter...we have no nino or nino hangover...but there are plenty of ways to get snow I was more than half joking but not totally. There are signs at least. Wolf creek pass in southern Colorado already has 100" this year. They typically only have big years and early seasons during nino's. I don't believe what's happening this year is a fluke. It could be a temporary pattern but it could also be a harbinger of a recurring pattern. Time can only solve the riddle. I'm excited for the first week or 2 of Dec and I'm not thinking about much beyond it. Let's get the monkey off our back already for goodness sakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 0z GFS is gonna be huge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 I was more than half joking but not totally. There are signs at least. Wolf creek pass in southern Colorado already has 100" this year. They typically only have big years and early seasons during nino's. I don't believe what's happening this year is a fluke. It could be a temporary pattern but it could also be a harbinger of a recurring pattern. Time can only solve the riddle. I'm excited for the first week or 2 of Dec and I'm not thinking about much beyond it. Let's get the monkey off our back already for goodness sakes. yes...in the end, it is guesswork...we don't really know...plus that faux nino last year might have awoken something (doubt it).......Let's get something over the next 2-3 weeks..agreed Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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