WinterWxLuvr Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Surprisingly, the GEFS shifted east.. A part of that is timing though. If you look at members several have slowed the precip here some. Going by the ind members, the chances for snow in this area have actually increased. Not heavy precip, but better cold with reasonable precip. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 It really is quite painful to see the cold and the storm track, only to have it happen in November. If only this were to happen about ten days later...we'd probably get even colder rain. Lol. So true. At least it is rain rather than cold/dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 About a half hour till we're reminded THE EURO IS A FRICKEN GOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yorkpa25 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Sorry. Guess my post was idiotic. I just thought not always but it was an often occurrence that the GFS would lose storms only to bring back it's solution from previous runs. Not all the time but I know it does happen. I normally just lurk and read post and now you know why. I'm not as good and knowledgeable as most on this forum. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 I have yet to see a run that shows more than a coating of snow for this area. So, this talk of uncertainty is mostly about how much rain we get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 About a half hour till we're reminded THE EURO IS A FRICKEN GOD. I suppose you are clowning around (I think I know the hidden meaning). My bet is that it is slightly drier but colder. About halfway between the GFS and previous Euros would be about the best we could do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 About a half hour till we're reminded THE EURO IS A FRICKEN GOD. You're trying too hard Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 I suppose you are clowning around (I think I know the hidden meaning). My bet is that it is slightly drier but colder. About halfway between the GFS and previous Euros would be about the best we could do. Sort of, though in this case I suspect the Euro is closer to right than the GFS. Then again about 24-36 hours ago I probably would have said the opposite. A middle ground is always a good bet though. Assuming the GFS has stabilized which is unknown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 About a half hour till we're reminded THE EURO IS A FRICKEN GOD. 'Tis. And then it says NO snow for DCA. Then we bow our heads in silence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 'Tis. And then it says NO snow for DCA. Then we bow our heads in silence. If it dries up like a prune then it gets it's second bit*h slapping of the month from the GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 If it dries up like a prune then it gets it's second bit*h slapping of the month from the GFS. Nice test case early in the season. I am so tired of the fire hazard. Let's get some rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clskinsfan Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 It amazes me how the Euro and GFS almost always seem to have different solutions. Makes for some fun reading on this board. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Euro Apps runner? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Euro, pummeling rain... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Thru 78 it looks like it will be a decent hit on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 2"+ for everyone east of the apps.. 1.5" way back into WV. 3"+ over central VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 2"+ for everyone east of the apps.. 1.5" way back into WV. 3"+ over central VA Actually a little 3"+ bullseye near DC thru 108 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Low tracks from New Orleans to N GA to just east of DC to western Mass. Maybe ending snow here? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Kinda cool there's so many solutions still on the table this close. What's the time frame on the Euro? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Main snow area is over the mtns. WV back through OH. Bullseye area from about northern PA through western NW. SNE drenching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Low tracks from New Orleans to N GA to just east of DC to western Mass. Maybe ending snow here? Let's pray for a track like that in January Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Kinda cool there's so many solutions still on the table this close. What's the time frame on the Euro? Pushes in by late morning probably on Tuesday.. low makes closest pass around 12z Wed. Precip prob cuts off during afternoon Wed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Wow, didn't expect that big of a one run jump. Same northern stream behavior 12/26/2010, a shortwave digs into the western end of the troff and allows it to capture the southern stream. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 special one-time offer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 special one-time offer ecmwf_tprecip_washdc_22.png Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Main snow area is over the mtns. WV back through OH. Bullseye area from about northern PA through western NW. SNE drenching. Western New Washington. We should chase there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Wow. it's a fun run. check this out: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mitchnick Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 GFS was right with the last storm by being more progressive so I'm still hedging my bet that the storm will be east of where Euro is showing it (not that it will make a diff in the sensible wx this time of the year) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 it's a fun run. check this out: ecmwf_t2max_washdc_17.png Wow... SE FFX could be pressing 60 while NW FFX is near 40... hell of a gradient Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 it's a fun run. check this out: ecmwf_t2max_washdc_17.png Sweet pic...my rain is colder than your rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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