mitchnick Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I was surprised by how cold RNK's soundings were at 7pm tonight (wet bulb in particular) http://weather.unisys.com/upper_air/skew/skew_KRNK.txt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
peribonca Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Accuweather weenie radar looking good! www.accuweather.com/en/us/southeast-region/weather-radar?play=1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 I was surprised by how cold RNK's soundings were at 7pm tonight (wet bulb in particular) http://weather.unisys.com/upper_air/skew/skew_KRNK.txt SNOW FOR ME! That's always a bit tricky-- because it warms as the moisture gets closer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DDweatherman Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Still judging by the set-up and soundings things look a bit too warm for us. West of the Baltimore beltway up toward I-270 and 81 look okay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Disc Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 SNOW FOR ME! That's always a bit tricky-- because it warms as the moisture gets closer. Not feeling too confident ROA sees much on the front end. We normally don't do very well in these events, but who knows. Had a few surprises from the late winter/early spring storms last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 SNOW FOR ME! That's always a bit tricky-- because it warms as the moisture gets closer. Yes, once it 'fights' through that 830-870 dryness. The doughnut-hole on Floyd radar is getting smaller, so that is good news. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Not sticking to roads, but ground white in Norton/Wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 OPM you've got to be f n kidding me. Shameful. Just shameful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 OPM you've got to be f n kidding me. Shameful. Just shameful. A day home? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 A day home? Unscheduled leave/telework. Ridiculous, but I suppose there has to be a first overreaction every winter. Get it in now during high travel season, then be less conservative later in the winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 And even though I'll be able to work from home, I have to get stuff done in the office tomorrow. Boo. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Huffwx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Not feeling too confident ROA sees much on the front end. We normally don't do very well in these events, but who knows. Had a few surprises from the late winter/early spring storms last year. Yeah, I think we get the 20 minute burst of sleet and then some ZR-- ZR change over between 10am and noon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 nam 4k still super wet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 gfs is kinda meh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 nam 4k still super wet hires_t_precip_washdc_20.png Wow, squeezing out 6+ in Nelson and Amherst counties. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 gfs is kinda meh gfs_tprecip_washdc_17.png Huge outlier Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 The 00z RGEM might be the wettest model run yet, 12 hour totals Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Boom Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 who will win the gradient game? might be the most interesting aspect of the storm locally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lsukev Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 who will win the gradient game? might be the most interesting aspect of the storm locally. It's insane. DCA in the low 40's. Go five miles across the river into Maryland, 60's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 who will win the gradient game? might be the most interesting aspect of the storm locally. hires_t2m_max_washdc_10.png gfs_t2max_washdc_13.png Fascinating. GFS just seems too warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 gfs is kinda meh gfs_tprecip_washdc_17.png The precip distribution and evolution looks really weird....at 24 the max is along and west of the front then at 30 hours it jumps to the east side like the convective scheme kicked in and there hardly and precip near the front. Only way west of it or east of it in what looks like a feeder band. I'm with it probably being an outlier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Fascinating. GFS just seems too warm.Think the regular nam backs it a bit further west than the 4k but the nam often wins the temp battle in shorter range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Think the regular nam backs it a bit further west than the 4k but the nam often wins the temp battle in shorter range. The lack of precip probably is also playing a role in the warmer GFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 The lack of precip probably is also playing a role in the warmer GFS. yeah that's true. i agree with your other assessment.. seemed like the precip skipped around us. if you fill in the hole it looks like the other guidance. in other news leesburg stays in the pink cloud.. but the blie ridge is looking a bit better Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmericanWxFreak Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 yeah that's true. i agree with your other assessment.. seemed like the precip skipped around us. if you fill in the hole it looks like the other guidance. in other news leesburg stays in the pink cloud.. but the blie ridge is looking a bit better (DT GRAPHIC) Does he not even check his FINAL CALL maps for spelling mistakes and such? The C zone explanation is funny too, I am sure he meant "closer to the B zone" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowfan Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 Am thinking the western zones will get slightly more ice/snow than anticipated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NoVaWx Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 It's already snowing on top of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jebman Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 seems like there are radar returns developing over central virginia http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php then again, I'm probably hallucinating and hoping for flurries like a weenie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxdude64 Posted November 26, 2013 Share Posted November 26, 2013 seems like there are radar returns developing over central virginia http://radar.weather.gov/Conus/full_loop.php then again, I'm probably hallucinating and hoping for flurries like a weenie All upstairs. Had a 20-25 dbz run overhead earlier...nothing, just too dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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