Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Dulles never gets above 36-37 for event. Winchester right around freezing till it tapers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 some hi res euro totals: Garrett cty 1.5 HGR 1.8 Dulles 2.0 DCA 1.9 Balt 1.8 2"+ more consistent SE of DC across SE VA into eastern MD/DE.. 3"+ right near the coast. I assume this is for precip not snow. Amounts seem more realistic than the 3 inch plus totals we saw yesterday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I wish I knew their snow algorithm.....it always seems overzealous. They don't include the 850 0c line. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Dulles never gets above 36-37 for event. Winchester right around freezing till it tapers. So something like MRB 32-33 IAD 36-37 DCA/BWI 40-41 for temps during our cold rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 I assume this is for precip not snow. Amounts seem more realistic than the 3 inch plus totals we saw yesterday. yes that's liquid precip. pretty uniform over most of us but generally higher east and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 They don't include the 850 0c line. It would be nice to have a graphic with the 850 temps and precip on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 So something like MRB 32-33 IAD 36-37 DCA/BWI 40-41 for temps during our cold rain? Still pushing warm air into DC/Balt corridor. Mid 50s or so overnight early morning. At 12z max 54 at Gaithersburg and 36 at Dulles. Think it's pushing in that warm air too hard still though. Not often you get a 20 degree temp jump in 6 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 It would be nice to have a graphic with the 850 temps and precip on it. Stormvista has those panels IIRC from last year. Wxbell shows more digital snow so I went that route this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Still pushing warm air into DC/Balt corridor. Mid 50s or so overnight early morning. At 12z max 54 at Gaithersburg and 36 at Dulles. Think it's pushing in that warm air too hard still though. Not often you get a 20 degree temp jump in 6 hours. Talk about a gradient... that's what, 30 miles? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
usedtobe Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Stormvista has those panels IIRC from last year. Wxbell shows more digital snow so I went that route this year. To be honest, I'm just happy to have euro precip and those nice dca/bwi box and whiskers diagrams for the ensemble members. I think those are nice displays. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Stormvista has those panels IIRC from last year. Wxbell shows more digital snow so I went that route this year. can ask about that. would think it should be avail. has it here but in 12 hr increments.. http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/ecmwf_east.php Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 To be honest, I'm just happy to have euro precip and those nice dca/bwi box and whiskers diagrams for the ensemble members. I think those are nice displays. the site is awesome but it could use a re-organization at this pt. i think he's basically been building it as he goes etc. i'm not sure i could go back to the pre using it days after doing so for a few months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Ian, how are my temps? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 12z euro lt blue line - 850, dark blue line - 32 12z - 27 18z - 27 0z -27 6z - 28 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Ian, how are my temps? a bit above freezing to start but you get on the warm side of the gradient so about 50 or so at peak.. then back to the 30s as it ends. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 can ask about that. would think it should be avail. has it here but in 12 hr increments.. http://models.weatherbell.com/ecmwf/ecmwf_east.php Wxbell has smoking graphics but I like good ole fashioned temp contours overlayed on a precip plot. 6 hour panels would be great there. SV having a straightforward 32 surface line, 850 lines, and precip panel was very useful and easy to interpret. Didn't look pretty but told the whole story at a quick glance. I also loved accwx euro text output. Having straight numeric precip, surface, 925s, and 850s was sweet. Soundings were great too. I hated the delay with accuwx pro though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 U seem to have some vested interest in GFS to defend it, it should be scrapped. Are you serious? Please tell me you are trolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Wxbell has smoking graphics but I like good ole fashioned temp contours overlayed on a precip plot. 6 hour panels would be great there. yeah--the basics are key. i think as graphic get prettier there might be a tendency to over-rely on them. whatever snow algorithm is in their maps does seem somewhat generous. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 yeah--the basics are key. i think as graphic get prettier there might be a tendency to over-rely on them. whatever snow algorithm is in their maps does seem somewhat generous. Any long range threats? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 No. I think DT has made a pretty good case that gfs is seriously flawed. Yeah, U trollin'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCAlexandria Posted November 24, 2013 Author Share Posted November 24, 2013 I really like dec 4-8 for our first snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 So maybe some light snow showers or flurries if we are lucky Wed evening per the maps Matt posted... guess its better than nothing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Any long range threats? rain...we need a -ao/-nao Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 So maybe some light snow showers or flurries if we are lucky Wed evening per the maps Matt posted... guess its better than nothing yeah...a short period of snow moving west to east from 2 - 5 or something like that.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Thanks, Ian Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Decent first guess by DT - http://mysite.verizon.net/vze1aqbof/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderpictures/1stguess.jpg Good thing we aren't in Section D Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fozz Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Decent first guess by DT - http://mysite.verizon.net/vze1aqbof/sitebuildercontent/sitebuilderpictures/1stguess.jpg Good thing we aren't in Section D Maybe it's just me, but I'm having a hard time thinking Mt. Vortmax is getting 4-6" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 MECL'ol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 Errrrrrrrrrrro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HM Posted November 24, 2013 Share Posted November 24, 2013 rain...we need a -ao/-nao Couldn't agree more. This pattern is zzzzz.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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