clskinsfan Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 10:41 PM, mitchnick said: it really is a classic surface low track for us to get snow, that's really the only thing I find painful about it at this point It is. Especially for the cities. It's amazing how the cold air relaxes just enough on the models for it to be a rain storm. If that 114 panel was in February we would all be going nuts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:03 PM, Bob Chill said: Yea, nov climo is awful tough to overcome. Just not all the pieces in place. But it is what it is. I never once thought this storm would bring even a half inch of snow on the ground so it's not hurting my feelings much. ETA: the next one is ALL OURS though DEC5TH!!!111!!.JPG lol.. was going to respond with Dec 5 something then saw the file name. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:25 PM, mapgirl said: Oh really? What's the timing for my ice storm of doom? It would be Tu Afternoon though Wed Morn. but you know that it will likely be rain instead of ZR anyway. On 11/22/2013 at 11:11 PM, mitchnick said: after fighting the bl during the past 3 winters like I've never seen in my life, I'll take an ice storm if I can't have snow Yea, but I have a flight out of BWI right at that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:41 PM, wxmeddler said: It would be Tu Afternoon though Wed Morn. but you know that it will likely be rain instead of ZR anyway. True, but I guess I'll keep my eye on it. Would be a pain to leave work in rain to drive home to ice on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WinterWxLuvr Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:09 PM, clskinsfan said: I agree. But I think south of us is better off at this point. Way too far off, but it isn't ridiculous to think we could snow out of this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattie g Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 10:54 PM, Yeoman said: Leesberg could use the rain Oy vey! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 22, 2013 Share Posted November 22, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 10:54 PM, Yeoman said: Leesberg could use the rain Let it rain up in hurr!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxUSAF Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:03 PM, Bob Chill said: Yea, nov climo is awful tough to overcome. Just not all the pieces in place. But it is what it is. I never once thought this storm would bring even a half inch of snow on the ground so it's not hurting my feelings much. ETA: the next one is ALL OURS though DEC5TH!!!111!!.JPG For realziez, that's the one I'm putting all of my hopes and dreams into. Never been so all in in my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clueless Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Well, we didn't make it to Miami this Thanksgiving. This may be fun. Rain is good. We always want rain in da 'Burg. Low to no expectations is a good way to start the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 I'll be in CT for the weekend. I'll consider 1" a victory for Frederick and 2" a victory for SW CT. That's assuming someone 10 miles to my northwest doesn't get 12" more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Too bad its weenie range on the NAM, but thats a potent northern stream s/w at hr 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BristowWx Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 2:51 AM, yoda said: Too bad its weenie range on the NAM, but thats a potent northern stream s/w at hr 84 Saw that and had to look away...started making me think about what could be Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Avdave Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/22/2013 at 11:44 PM, mapgirl said: True, but I guess I'll keep my eye on it. Would be a pain to leave work in rain to drive home to ice on Tuesday. You'll be ok. Unless you were living in one of the hollows or valleys there then maybe some ZR where it would stay colder. But if you are higher up on the hills then you should be ok Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 lol, like Matt said, it's coming....the NAM looks like the second coming of '96 about to happen. I hate that s-tease. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 When you compare the h5 charts at hr 51 on the NAM and GFS tonight, both have potent s/w in the northern stream... and the GFS appears to be slightly faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 GFS back to being SE and strung out low. Back and forth with this model. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 4:06 AM, EasternUSWX said: GFS back to being SE and strung out low. Back and forth with this model. It's like a pendulum. Swings back and forth from rain to rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 4:31 AM, snow. said: It's like a pendulum. Swings back and forth from rain to rain Lol I would prefer heavy chilly rain to light chilly rain. Hopefully the euro continues to satisfy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtracker Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 4:31 AM, snow. said: It's like a pendulum. Swings back and forth from rain to rain Pretty much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 4:31 AM, snow. said: It's like a pendulum. Swings back and forth from lighter rain to somewhat heavier rain Ha!! Well, made a slight correction... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 CMC with a 997 near Baltimore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 4:59 AM, EasternUSWX said: CMC with a 997 near Baltimore. Enjoy that rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 5:03 AM, yoda said: Enjoy that rain Ok, I will. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 lol rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EasternUSWX Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 People act like it doesn't need to rain anymore or something. Fact is last 30 days have been very dry. We need any precipitation we can get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scarlet Pimpernel Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 5:07 AM, EasternUSWX said: People act like it doesn't need to rain anymore or something. Fact is last 30 days have been very dry. We need any precipitation we can get. Actually, this is true and a good point. I've been thinking for awhile now that since the heavy rains we got in early October it's been really quite dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 GEFS laughs at the OP and says you will enjoy 1-2" of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
aldie 22 Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 Probably not wise to ignore the gfs OTS solution even if it is on its own for now....two runs in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
North Balti Zen Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 On 11/23/2013 at 11:07 AM, leesburg 04 said: Probably not wise to ignore the gfs OTS solution even if it is on its own for now....two runs in a row Agree. Is it so far-fetched that this plunge of arctic air might drive the system off-shore in the face of that push? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nw baltimore wx Posted November 23, 2013 Share Posted November 23, 2013 It's been so long that it's hard to believe we'll get a southern soaker until we actually get one. Can anyone chime in on what the euro overnight run suggests? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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