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Potential Record Breaking Cold Sunday/Sunday Night---Late Nov Discussion

ORH_wxman

By ORH_wxman,
in New England

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
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What a weenie run d5 onward......made in my own basement.

 

I think we both had the feeling awhile ago that this year was going to be very different.  Gladly....that seems to be working out.

Burbank was saying he thinks it's the coldest temps he can remember in November....like he said this is crazy.

 

I'm not sure about you or I but I think a lot of the climo favored areas of NE are going to be putting up some good amounts of snow in early Dec.

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weathafella

weathafella

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I think we both had the feeling awhile ago that this year was going to be very different.  Gladly....that seems to be working out.

Burbank was saying he thinks it's the coldest temps he can remember in November....like he said this is crazy.

 

I'm not sure about you or I but I think a lot of the climo favored areas of NE are going to be putting up some good amounts of snow in early Dec.

This is late 1950s style. Crazy!

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

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This is late 1950s style. Crazy!

 

Just looking at the pattern .....I think we will potentially still have issues with warmer events, but at the very least sandwiched around real cold.  The Wednesday deal broke bad, but we need the QPF more than anything else right now and we go back into the icebox right after.   Should be a good period for ski areas etc.

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weathafella

weathafella

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Just looking at the pattern .....I think we will potentially still have issues with warmer events, but at the very least sandwiched around real cold.  The Wednesday deal broke bad, but we need the QPF more than anything else right now and we go back into the icebox right after.   Should be a good period for ski areas etc.

For my entire life, 11/27 has been too early.

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

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Nothing frustrates me more than a big rainstorm sandwiched around brutal cold... :axe:

 

It's really early.

 

For my entire life, 11/27 has been too early.

 

Yep.  Very rarely does it work out.  I would hope/like to see this work out for resorts/hills well N&W on Wednesday but the GGEM says no way, torcharoo. 

 

I love these types of patterns and I hope this is the type of winter that's setting up and this is not just the prelude.  it should provide us with ample opportunities from frontal passages like this evening, potentially OES (not RI ;) ) , storms,  warm frontal snows as the cold air moves out etc.   Volatile is probably the name of the game. 

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joey2002

joey2002

Posted
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It's really early.

 

 

Yep.  Very rarely does it work out.  I would hope/like to see this work out for resorts/hills well N&W on Wednesday but the GGEM says no way, torcharoo. 

 

I love these types of patterns and I hope this is the type of winter that's setting up and this is not just the prelude.  it should provide us with ample opportunities from frontal passages like this evening, potentially OES (not RI ;) ) , storms,  warm frontal snows as the cold air moves out etc.   Volatile is probably the name of the game. 

 

True... a nice squall actually moving through right now and whitening up the ground.

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Logan11

Logan11

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I can understand the obvious problems like the still warm ocean and amount of residual warmth down in the gulf region..makes it very hard so early. Your best shot in November is a northern stream disturbance that blows up and develops.

 

But I'm still trying to understand the extreme digging in the northern stream ...to the point of nearly closing off at 5H on the latest GGEM. It's not like it is coming up against a block and the ridging out near the west coast is not overly impressive.

It's really early.

 

 

Yep.  Very rarely does it work out.  I would hope/like to see this work out for resorts/hills well N&W on Wednesday but the GGEM says no way, torcharoo. 

 

I love these types of patterns and I hope this is the type of winter that's setting up and this is not just the prelude.  it should provide us with ample opportunities from frontal passages like this evening, potentially OES (not RI ;) ) , storms,  warm frontal snows as the cold air moves out etc.   Volatile is probably the name of the game. 

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

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I can understand the obvious problems like the still warm ocean and amount of residual warmth down in the gulf region..makes it very hard so early. Your best shot in November is a northern stream disturbance that blows up and develops.

But I'm still trying to understand the extreme digging in the northern stream ...to the point of nearly closing off at 5H on the latest GGEM. It's not like it is coming up against a block and the ridging out near the west coast is not overly impressive.

Nothing about this fall seems to be classic. Kind of fun. We flood and warm Wednesday. Thankfully it's short lived warmth and shouldn't do too much harm to the resorts.

I am just really happy to see a region wide soaker progged. It's badly needed

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Logan11

Logan11

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Its probably a good precedent to finally get something running up the coast....  dry as a bone here. Usually on this date it's a mud hell out there and I'm praying for the winter freeze up.

Nothing about this fall seems to be classic. Kind of fun. We flood and warm Wednesday. Thankfully it's short lived warmth and shouldn't do too much harm to the resorts.

I am just really happy to see a region wide soaker progged. It's badly needed

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ORH_wxman

ORH_wxman

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How does it look for my area if you dont mind? GGEM was fairly decent and the UKMET followed suite to what the GGEM/NAM have been depicting. 

 

 

Maybe 2-3"...you were on the western fringe of precip...it didn't go quite as far west as the GGEM.

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Snowstorms

Snowstorms

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Maybe 2-3"...you were on the western fringe of precip...it didn't go quite as far west as the GGEM.

 

Thanks and still intriguing. Amazing to see so much model mayhem for a storm thats less than 84 hours out. We had such a similar mayhem for the Dec 2009 storm that impacted the Mid Atlantic region. Guess we got the Pacific chaos to blame for this. 

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Clinch Leatherwood

Clinch Leatherwood

Posted
Posted

First one of the season I think for 1/4 SM:

KORH 240609Z AUTO 28023G39KT 1/4SM R11/2400VP6000FT +SN FZFG BKN017 BKN037 M07/M08 A2978 RMK AO2 PK WND 30039/0605 SNB0556 P0000 T10671083

Nice.

Rick can't double quote but it is what it is. I am confident we will be mostly cool to cold in this stretch but not confident yet that the storms will be white.

Either way we have all seen snow now, it's almost historic cold the next day or two and we are into a more active pattern. Leagues ahead of so many previous winters.

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