Potential Record Breaking Cold Sunday/Sunday Night---Late Nov Discussion

[moneypitmike]

I think people really don't know how cold it's going to feel tomorrow.

 

 

I think it's going to feel like winter.  Nothing extraordinary if this were six weeks later--it would be cold, but not extraordinary.

 

My take anyway.

[Tropopause_Fold]

nam and gfs really have hours of wind gusting >40 mph...with potential for 50...for a lot of SNE from late afternoon into the evening hours. the core of the wind actually remains inland a bit. 

[dendrite]

Euro ensembles torch as well for Wednesday.

Yeah...for all of New England too. PF will at least get some upslope on the backside.

[Tropopause_Fold]

I think it's going to feel like winter.  Nothing extraordinary if this were six weeks later--it would be cold, but not extraordinary.

 

My take anyway.

i think even in late december...this would be a fairly impressive air mass coming in. not off-the-charts obviously but a pretty mean cold shot.

[CoastalWx]

I think it's going to feel like winter.  Nothing extraordinary if this were six weeks later--it would be cold, but not extraordinary.

 

My take anyway.

 

I mean the general public. Tomorrow will be the day where the top story will probably be the cold and they'll do one of those things where they cut to the OCM for them to talk about it. You know, one of those segments where they will interview windblown people chilled to the bone in order for them to complain. I love those days....the more people complaining the better.

[CoastalWx]

i think even in late december...this would be a fairly impressive air mass coming in. not off-the-charts obviously but a pretty mean cold shot.

 

Agreed.

[LakeEffectKing]

LOL, Chuck on top of the mountain of ice, Forky waist deep. I am going to the Bills game on the 21st, hey maybe I luck out. I am game for a chase though. Lake Effect King George I am sure would point us to a bar with a hotel where we could get somewhat blitzed in a blizzard

Sure would! I'm currently at Disney so I'm already missing some decent potentials for my area through Thanksgiving .

[weatherwiz]

nam and gfs really have hours of wind gusting >40 mph...with potential for 50...for a lot of SNE from late afternoon into the evening hours. the core of the wind actually remains inland a bit. 

 

Holy crap you're not kidding.  Was just looking at 12z GFS bufkit for BDL and it has potential for 50kt gusts mixing down.  Pretty steep low level lapase rates tomorrow too

[dendrite]

nam and gfs really have hours of wind gusting >40 mph...with potential for 50...for a lot of SNE from late afternoon into the evening hours. the core of the wind actually remains inland a bit.

12z MAV has 27kt at 18z tomorrow for CON and pukes out an 88kt for MWN. That is damn high for MOS.

[Bostonseminole]

38.4 and dropping

[wx2fish]

I mean the general public. Tomorrow will be the day where the top story will probably be the cold and they'll do one of those things where they cut to the OCM for them to talk about it. You know, one of those segments where they will interview windblown people chilled to the bone in order for them to complain. I love those days....the more people complaining the better.

 

Completely agree. 

[CoastalWx]

PVC should have a hell of a windchill with that mixing off of 50F SSTs.

[Tropopause_Fold]

PVC should have a hell of a windchill with that mixing off of 50F SSTs.

yeah this is one of those cases where they will stay sustained at 25-30 knots into midday monday i bet. it will howl out there

[CoastalWx]

yeah this is one of those cases where they will stay sustained at 25-30 knots into midday monday i bet. it will howl out there

 

The soundings in most areas are going to mix 45kts+ it seems.

[weatherwiz]

The soundings in most areas are going to mix 45kts+ it seems.

 

might need to hoist some wind advisories at least

[Damage In Tolland]

The soundings in most areas are going to mix 45kts+ it seems.

You think we'll see some some 60 gusts?

[weatherwiz]

You think we'll see some some 60 gusts?

 

the max I see potentially being transferred down on BDL was 52 knots so it is a possibility I think for someone

[Damage In Tolland]

the max I see potentially being transferred down on BDL was 52 knots so it is a possibility I think for someone

Yeah and in that's that pit in the valley. Think a lot of folks are going to be sitting in some dark, cold houses tomorrow afternoon and night...and most in the public are not aware

[CT Rain]

Yeah and in that's that pit in the valley. Think a lot of folks are going to be sitting in some dark, cold houses tomorrow afternoon and night...and most in the public are not aware

BDL generally does well with gusts on a NW flow. Not sure what you're talking about.

[CoastalWx]

You think we'll see some some 60 gusts?

 

MPH? I think it may be like 50-55 perhaps for most.

[dendrite]

Yeah and in that's that pit in the valley. Think a lot of folks are going to be sitting in some dark, cold houses tomorrow afternoon and night...and most in the public are not aware

Eh...dry and freezing ground combined with NW winds don't exactly scare me wrt widespread outages. I'm sure there will be some, but idk about "a lot". You lose power from blue jay flatulence though.

[Brian5671]

Red flag warnings in November!  Wow.   Plus a wind advisory.   Going to be alot of flying leaves tomorrow...

[weatherwiz]

Yeah and in that's that pit in the valley. Think a lot of folks are going to be sitting in some dark, cold houses tomorrow afternoon and night...and most in the public are not aware

 

 

Eh...dry and freezing ground combined with NW winds don't exactly scare me wrt widespread outages. I'm sure there will be some, but idk about "a lot". You lose power from blue jay flatulence though.

 

Power outages shouldn't be a major issue tomorrow...agreed.  There will be some but nothing significant I don't think

[Damage In Tolland]

Red flag warnings in November! Wow. Plus a wind advisory. Going to be alot of flying leaves tomorrow...

From where ? Ground blizzards? Trees are bare

[Tropopause_Fold]

euro ens show a little relaxation maybe around day 10 but otherwise look cold. 

[moneypitmike]

I mean the general public. Tomorrow will be the day where the top story will probably be the cold and they'll do one of those things where they cut to the OCM for them to talk about it. You know, one of those segments where they will interview windblown people chilled to the bone in order for them to complain. I love those days....the more people complaining the better.

 

Hype it up!

 

The soundings in most areas are going to mix 45kts+ it seems.

 

 

Yeah and in that's that pit in the valley. Think a lot of folks are going to be sitting in some dark, cold houses tomorrow afternoon and night...and most in the public are not aware

 

That sounds impressive.  Not sure about being in the dark.....tough to bring things down without leaves on the trees.  Of course, heavy gusts on the right trees can get the job done.

 

Pickle's clouds  are rapidly approaching...nearly overhead.  If I'm going to see flakes I imainge it'll be pretty soon.  We'll see if they can hold it together across the ridge.  Most will be wrung out I think.   It would be nice to have some before dark, though.

 

31.9/17

[Ginx snewx]

Brian whats up with the Ads?

[CoastalWx]

euro ens show a little relaxation maybe around day 10 but otherwise look cold. 

 

Yeah overall a good look. No complaints here.

[weatherwiz]

Damaging Times

[Brian5671]

From where ? Ground blizzards? Trees are bare

Yep...those who didnt get their leaves up are in good shape, they'll be gone tomorrow...lol  Leaves 95% off trees here, pears and a few sweetgums holding on.