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Potential Record Breaking Cold Sunday/Sunday Night---Late Nov Discussion


ORH_wxman

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Man... the 12z NAM at the end of its run is about to become a full-fledged cutter. This would go right up the Apps. Thankfully its the NAM at 84, lol.

I mean that's a rainstorm to Buffalo.

f84.gif

The NAM is always too amplified in the end of its range. It would have been worrisome to see it look like the GFS.
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hopefully this verifies for Wednesday just to make us irate. ggem would probably be even warmer. 

 

attachicon.giftolland_disaster.jpg

 

What model's that from?  I get a nice 35* rain from that one.

33.1 and windy currently. Going out to wash the truck in full winter gear.

 

 

No winter gear needed for the car wash.  Enjoyed the DD coffee going through it this morning.  No fuss, no muss.

 

We were discussing that last night. Where do those moths go when we are 15F like the other morning?

 

They hibernate/become dormant in nooks and crannies/leaves/etc.

The NAM is always too amplified in the end of its range. It would have been worrisome to see it look like the GFS.

 

Can we add this to the "most liked/hated winter phrases"?  :)

 

33.4/23

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Here comes winter! In my years I don't recall a deep stab of winter prior to December that produced a snowstorm.

We've had a few...heck I remember skating on ponds thanksgiving weekend in the late 50s/early 60s one year. But decent snow this early almost always comes via different mechanism.

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But a inland runner can't happen in the fast flow. Only focus on the what-ifs rather than what is becoming reality.

Highly anomalous cold shot for sure. Just does not looks like the bottom drops out for me unless the winds subside.

its CAA winds will not matter, would like to see the Euro Ens LL map for the same time Phil posted

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Well at age 6 I didn't grasp the mechanism, but we had 20" on Thanksgiving 1971 in Upstate NY. That was a Nor'easter.

Here comes winter! In my years I don't recall a deep stab of winter prior to December that produced a snowstorm.


We've had a few...heck I remember skating on ponds thanksgiving weekend in the late 50s/early 60s one year. But decent snow this early almost always comes via different mechanism.

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Yea tomorrow will be a special day in the annals of Nov weather history

 

Hmmm - I don't know about that one.

 

It will be cold and it will break records for 11/24 but I hardly would describe a one day cold shot as "a special day in the annals of Nov Wx history" 

 

Look at the record low maxes for the Hartford area (anything before 1954 was downtown HFD)

 

11/22 27 in 1978 29 in 2008 31 in 1972 11/23 27 in 1989 32 in 1978 32 in 1956 11/24 31 in 1936 32 in 1971 32 in 1938 11/25 25 in 1938 27 in 1917 32 in 2005+ 11/26 23 in 1938 26 in 1928 28 in 1974+ 11/27 24 in 1978 25 in 1949 28 in 1936+
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Well at age 6 I didn't grasp the mechanism, but we had 20" on Thanksgiving 1971 in Upstate NY. That was a Nor'easter.

Here comes winter! In my years I don't recall a deep stab of winter prior to December that produced a snowstorm.

We've had a few...heck I remember skating on ponds thanksgiving weekend in the late 50s/early 60s one year. But decent snow this early almost always comes via different mechanism.

Identical to now. Sne rained. You make my point Rick.

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If you buy that then ORH gusts to 60.. will HWW go up?

 

I guess advisory.

 

My wind readings always under perform due to being only 8'.  I'll be recording high 20's and others wil be reporting 40+.  Maybe I'll report my wind speeds in decibels and pitch.  Steady whistle the last half hour.

 

Temps struggling so far with dp continuing to drop.

 

33.5/21, top gust sill sitting at 25mph.

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