Storm next weekend has better teleconnector support than this misery ever did

[40/70 Benchmark]

it's close

Yea, I orginally qualified it as a "near" miss...agreed.

Doesn't matter, anyway.....I like what I see.

[ORH_wxman]

it's close

QPF on wsi actually gives up to about the MA pike a warning criteria event, and up to S NH advisory criteria. It hits CT/RI hard.Not that any of that matters on a GGEM solution at 168 hours.

[CT Rain]

Yea, I orginally qualified it as a "near" miss...agreed.

Doesn't matter, anyway.....I like what I see.

Ever since Kevin said unequivocally that the Xmas/26th storm was a miss I've felt good about it.

[40/70 Benchmark]

QPF on wsi actually gives up to about the MA pike a warning criteria event, and up to S NH advisory criteria. It hits CT/RI hard.Not that any of that matters on a GGEM solution at 168 hours.

Ok, thanks....tough to discern that from those primative charts.

[Logan11]

I really thought position of the closed 500 mb low at 144 hours was positive for a major hit. At 6 days out I'm content with that - not too worried about its exact surface track.

Whiff confirmed; thanks.

[CoastalWx]

Euro looks like the Canadian so far.

[CT Rain]

Euro looks like the Canadian so far.

I think Euro may be flat... may miss?

[CT Rain]

I think Euro may be flat... may miss?

or not lol

[CoastalWx]

or not lol

I love when storms hug the se like that...usually they become bombs.

[dendrite]

996 over Hatteras at 150...nice

[CT Rain]

I love when storms hug the se like that...usually they become bombs.

Yeah not much confluence up north lets it come north. May hurt us in the end but who knows.

[ORH_wxman]

Euro trough looks like a huge hit coming.

[Logan11]

Come on HAT to PYM to CAR. LOL ..but probably be HAT to 38/70 or something

996 over Hatteras at 150...nice

[dendrite]

Come on HAT to PYM to CAR. LOL ..but probably be HAT to 38/70 or something

Over S NJ...988

[CT Rain]

Euro trough looks like a huge hit coming.

Looks too far west for CP... but inland gets crushed

[Logan11]

Oh Plz not a HV track

Over S NJ...988

[dendrite]

Captured E of NJ at 162...snowing throughout most of New England at that time. ~984

[ORH_wxman]

Looks too far west for CP... but inland gets crushed

Immediate shore might have BL issues...but anyone just off the water gets hammered.

[Logan11]

Where will it be on the next run SYR? LOL

Looks too far west for CP... but inland gets crushed

[CT Rain]

Captured E of NJ at 162...snowing throughout most of New England at that time. ~984

Perfect run for SNE.... probably pingers in SE areas.

[dendrite]

Damn...bomb at 168.

[CT Rain]

Immediate shore might have BL issues...but anyone just off the water gets hammered.

yup looks good.

[CoastalWx]

Big hit for those from NJ-NYC and areas just west of BOS.

[CT Rain]

Perfect run for SNE!

[dendrite]

Perfect run for SNE!

idk what the WSI maps show, but I have 1"+ QPF for most of SNE, S NH, and S ME. Huge hit. Not that QPF matters much at this point.

[Logan11]

So a white Boxing Day... though I should squeek through here with a white xmas - barely.

Perfect run for SNE!

[ORH_wxman]

idk what the WSI maps show, but I have 1"+ QPF for most of SNE, S NH, and S ME. Huge hit. Not that QPF matters much at this point.

Sounds about right...its a huge hit for everyone save maybe the south coast and possibly right on the water as a CF might try to set up, but even that doesn't get that far NW...BOS stays around 32F...the storm tries to redevelop northeastward which probably helps the ageostrophic drain.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Sorry about OTing the other thread, Will......late and didn't even notice.

I think the best nanding would def. be well west of here given that soloution, but no sense bothering w detes.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Sounds about right...its a huge hit for everyone save maybe the south coast and possibly right on the water as a CF might try to set up, but even that doesn't get that far NW...BOS stays around 32F...the storm tries to redevelop northeastward which probably helps the ageostrophic drain.

Seriously, that run threw me for loops....looked like a whiff\scraper, then hooked due N and looked to pull a Jan 2000, but veered ene as though it considered my last minute prayers.

[CT Rain]

Sounds about right...its a huge hit for everyone save maybe the south coast and possibly right on the water as a CF might try to set up, but even that doesn't get that far NW...BOS stays around 32F...the storm tries to redevelop northeastward which probably helps the ageostrophic drain.

Maybe a sneaky mid level warm layer in SE areas?