OSUmetstud Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I'm just trolling...although the warm up is possible. We're 5 days or so out. Anything is possible, but I feel the 00z euro op is too wound up and the gfs may be too far ots. To see the euro op that much farther west of the ensembles is troubling. Ensembles are usually going to be se of the op anyways, but there is a pretty big difference and I don't like that. We'll see what 12z does, but I'm not ruling out the storm..just saying how it looks. I know how quick things can change. Adam (Am19PSU) was noting that the Euro operational is the 4th or 5th most amplified of it's 51 members. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Adam (Am19PSU) was noting that the Euro operational is the 4th or 5th most amplified of it's 51 members. Yeah I can gauge that looking at the spaghetti plots. It's really wound up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
COPO Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 I place all my faith in Brian Lappis. lol lol.. I should clarify. The amount I said was for today/ tonight.. The Sun/Mon storm they are not sure on.. But I know they are hoping for a OTS solution. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Right now you can't ask for more than this THE ECENS MEMBERS HAVE AVERAGED CLOSE TO THE DETERMINISTIC ECMWF...WITH MANY MEMBERS FOLLOWING IT EXACTLY. i have no idea what they are talking about Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 They are way se. ok...yeah that was my thought as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Without some positive posts today this thread is gonna be unreadable The warm up near NY should be good. Even your negativity today has been troubling :lol: literally laughed out loud. i love that i stumbled across eastern and you guys Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 lol.. I should clarify. The amount I said was for today/ tonight.. The Sun/Mon storm they are not sure on.. But I know they are hoping for a OTS solution. I knew you were referencing tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 We're going to need a new thread for today's model runs. Whose got the good Ju Ju? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Adam (Am19PSU) was noting that the Euro operational is the 4th or 5th most amplified of it's 51 members. Good news that means some even more wound up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 We're going to need a new thread for today's model runs. Whose got the good Ju Ju? Go for it, Bob. Seems like the SE crew's juju worked okay this week. Start it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx4cast Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Without some positive posts today this thread is gonna be unreadable How about a neutral one? Like Scooter said its too early to call anything at this point in time anything is possible from a crush, to a glance/minimal impacts to nada. Heck the only definite on tghis upcoming storm is that the models continue to slow down the onset of its arrival. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/5035-post-christmas-bomb/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 Good news that means some even more wound up I love it being wound up like it is.......as long as we can get it to come off the east coast further north, I'd be really excited., As noted, that's what I'm focusing on. I suspect the mets and the 98% of the board who know more than me are looking at something else to make this a big one. Anyone want to take guesses as to whether it gets pushed back even further in the 12z runs? I don't think we can take any more delays. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 22, 2010 Share Posted December 22, 2010 http://www.americanw...christmas-bomb/ Move on over. Time to La, la lock it up! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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