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Storm next weekend has better teleconnector support than this misery ever did

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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Mr. Windcredible!

Mr. Windcredible!

Posted
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In terms of time frame...assuming the Euro is a bit too slow with the evolution of the system, we really may only be about 5 days out from snow breaking out in coastal regions. I think there's a lot of reason to be optimistic for at least a MECS at this point. I think we're still a couple days away from knowing if the signals for something greater are legit.

Also, here's to hoping the next couple days break the radio show curse for SNE drunk.gif

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Wx4cast

Wx4cast

Posted
Posted

Not according to Andy. He has sleet going clear to the NY border.

I said its possible. BAsed purely on both pattern recognition and prior experience with deep storms tucked in west of the BM.

He's the only one saying that..not likely

See above. When you're pinging or snow and sleet mixed then you can spin

I sure hope not!

What's your take on surface winds on the EC? Just for sh*ts and giggles.

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CT Rain

CT Rain

Posted
Posted

I said its possible. BAsed purely on both pattern recognition and prior experience with deep storms tucked in west of the BM.

See above. When you're pinging or snow and sleet mixed then you can spin

Yeah if the storm tracks like the Euro is showing I expect boundary layer and pinging problems for many... probably including ORH, TOL, and HFD.

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
Posted

Yeah if the storm tracks like the Euro is showing I expect boundary layer and pinging problems for many... probably including ORH, TOL, and HFD.

I remember in '93 I was living in Stamford. What a disappointment when the sleet moved in. I guess the same was true for '96. I'm so glad I've moved away from coastal influences. Even in ME it screwed me. Of course, I was still averaging 80"+ in spite of that screwing up there

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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18z DGEX OTS

yep, swooped in to save the day with this post :thumbsup:

j/k, yeah, that model is based off the GFS input and since the 06z was unraveling it makes a lot of sense that it's lost it.

frankly, it's a frankenmodel and shouldn't be taken too seriously. it's either the NAM grid in the GFS, or the other way around, and that's like sewing Will's head on Kevin's body and asking it to draw a weather map -

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CT Rain

CT Rain

Posted
Posted

I remember in '93 I was living in Stamford. What a disappointment when the sleet moved in. I guess the same was true for '96. I'm so glad I've moved away from coastal influences. Even in ME it screwed me. Of course, I was still averaging 80"+ in spite of that screwing up there

You didn't sleet in 96 I don't think.

93 I thought was an awesome storm. Had about 10" in Branford with sleet on top. It was pretty wild... especially with the wind.

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Gibbsfreeenergy

Gibbsfreeenergy

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Posted

Welcome to the web page of the NCEP Downscaled GFS by NAM Extension (DGEX) forecast. The DGEX is initialized by interpolating the 78-h operational NAM forecast to a smaller 12-km domain. A 78-h to 192-h forecast of the WRF-NMM is made (same version that is running in the NAM), using the previous 6-h old GFS forecast for lateral boundary conditions. Click here to see the computational domain of the DGEX runs over the CONUS and Alaska

http://www.emc.ncep.noaa.gov/mmb/mmbpll/dgexhome.ops/

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

Posted
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You didn't sleet in 96 I don't think.

93 I thought was an awesome storm. Had about 10" in Branford with sleet on top. It was pretty wild... especially with the wind.

You're probably right about 96. Those were back in my days of "on street parking" which of course translated to "on street shoveling". Ugh.

Are you from Branford? One of my early girlfriends was from there. Why a NL boy was going to Branford is a bit of amyster. Probably because that was the only place I was getting anywhere. lol

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