Ian Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 my first x-mas in ct since i left -- so 05. lookin' good... man the 18z gfs makes me feel like a sne weenie again Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 GFS still looks about 18 hours faster than the Euro...Euro reaches the benchmark at 00z on the 27th...GFS is around 06z on the 26th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 my first x-mas in ct since i left -- so 05. lookin' good... man the 18z gfs makes me feel like a sne weenie again Man Oman if we get burned again LOL GFS has this for a lot of us with high ratios Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 my first x-mas in ct since i left -- so 05. lookin' good... man the 18z gfs makes me feel like a sne weenie again Will you bring your MA snow magnet this time? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Man Oman if we get burned again LOL GFS has this for a lot of us with high ratios looks like there is decent support for something... im torn i guess because things have been sorta progressive so far this yr but there has been a tendency for bombing with latitude and this looks like a climo favored storm. i think some snow will fall at least! fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Will you bring your MA snow magnet this time? ha well this could be my storm of the winter so i'll see what i can do Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Let's get this in here sooner like X-mas day rather than slower like the Euro has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 A Christmas storm will go over well with the family... "Why do you keep looking at the computer... we have company!" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 looks like there is decent support for something... im torn i guess because things have been sorta progressive so far this yr but there has been a tendency for bombing with latitude and this looks like a climo favored storm. i think some snow will fall at least! fingers crossed. HM last night said couple more Euro runs, then lock it, well one down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Let's get this in here sooner like X-mas day rather than slower like the Euro has later is better for a bigger storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 later is better for a bigger storm Don't really agree. later it comes less chance it has to slow down and dump as the NAO relaxes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Let's get this in here sooner like X-mas day rather than slower like the Euro has Christmas week so the kids will love it. Slower means less chance of coastal issues and more snow for everyone . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Don't really agree. later it comes less chance it has to slow down and dump as the NAO relaxes The northern shortwave can't phase if that southern shortwave is too fast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 A Christmas storm will go over well with the family... "Why do you keep looking at the computer... we have company!" I was reprimanded recently for checking in on the droid during a family get together. Oops. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Don't really agree. later it comes less chance it has to slow down and dump as the NAO relaxes Dude HM and DT both explained why slower is better for US and just for the reason you stated. Archambault! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Enjoy whatever happens weenies. Looks like sunny upper 50s in Orlando for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I'm still kinda surprised at the relatively low QPF advertised by the GFS, given the strength of the storm and what would appear to be a pretty good connection to the GOM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I was reprimanded recently for checking in on the droid during a family get together. Oops. Remind them what happened to Luke Skywalker when he forgot to check on his droid... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I was reprimanded recently for checking in on the droid during a family get together. Oops. I get reprimanded everyday because of my sickness and my girlfriend the IPAD but two minutes later it's , hey babe when are we going to get some snow, I want to wear my new snow pants and go snowshoeing, eh could be worse could be bar hopping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Christmas week so the kids will love it. Slower means less chance of coastal issues and more snow for everyone . It really would be a Christmas miracle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I'm still kinda surprised at the relatively low QPF advertised by the GFS, given the strength of the storm and what would appear to be a pretty good connection to the GOM For you maybe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OSUmetstud Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 For you maybe 1" qpf for you for that type of storm seems kinda low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Remind them what happened to Luke Skywalker when he forgot to check on his droid... I was just scanning through the thread really fast, and I had a really delayed double take with this post Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 I get reprimanded everyday because of my sickness and my girlfriend the IPAD but two minutes later it's , hey babe when are we going to get some snow, I want to wear my new snow pants and go snowshoeing, eh could be worse could be bar hopping. I'm trying to not get too overboard lately. I can be obsessive about it. The last few storms have been anti-climatic so I'm glad I didn't get completely invested. I am, however, getting more and more intrigued by the weekend event. Would really love to have it happen as we'll have lots of guests and it will be fun to have a raging N'or Easter piling the snow up. Ice is thick enough here for snowmobiles now, I saw two guys ice fishing and running gear out by machine this afternoon. We just need to bolster the fairly meager snowpack. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 HM last night said couple more Euro runs, then lock it, well one down. He may be honking like a stuck pig. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKpowdah Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 For you maybe For anybody. Just because you may be "content" with what you see, doesn't mean you just accept it for what it is. I'm looking at beautiful cyclogenesis just south of the region, very well timed for intense dynamics over SNE, along with excellent moisture transport northward, as can be shown by the 850mb and 700mb RH fields. I know it's a relatively progressive system, but I'm not looking at the totals, I'm looking at the 6hr QPF periods, and thinking there would likely be a larger swath of .25" to .5" with a decent stripe of .5" to .75" ... in contrast to what is shown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 18z GFS Ensm. are looking schweet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ski MRG Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 For anybody. Just because you may be "content" with what you see, doesn't mean you just accept it for what it is. I'm looking at beautiful cyclogenesis just south of the region, very well timed for intense dynamics over SNE, along with excellent moisture transport northward, as can be shown by the 850mb and 700mb RH fields. I know it's a relatively progressive system, but I'm not looking at the totals, I'm looking at the 6hr QPF periods, and thinking there would likely be a larger swath of .25" to .5" with a decent stripe of .5" to .75" ... in contrast to what is shown. Isn't focusing on QPF output at this stagfe of the game putting the cart before the ox? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted December 20, 2010 Share Posted December 20, 2010 Isn't focusing on QPF output at this stagfe of the game putting the cart before the ox? I don't care what the QPF shows at this timeframe, except for morbid curiosity. I'd be more concerned about synoptics, phasing, track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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