Storm next weekend has better teleconnector support than this misery ever did

[moneypitmike]

good way to know we have a major storm threat around the holiday.

Online At Once Record1,059

A minute ago

I also just took a look at top posters. SNE has the market cornered. I can't believe I'm in 15th place--way too much time on here. BTW--you're right ahead of me.

[Logan11]

They said the track was 50 miles east of CHH and that could be good right back to here if it has bombed soon enough. If it bombs at the last minute then forget it... The benchmark for any particular storm varies based upon the size and structure of the storm.

Let's be reasonable Mike. There are plenty of possible solutions in between those extremes. LOL

I like the sounds of a track between Hyanis and Boston.

Regardless, we are still 6 days out but at least a sizeable storm is showing up with some model consistency.

[snowNH]

Keep it!

…wind damage to sky scrapers, roofs blown off some structures and power outages for everyone –

Frankly, that’s too much for me kids. I hate it when the power goes out. Not fun. The novelty of it wears off in about 2 minutes when you realize that every amenity known to modern living depends on electricity. F that! I’ll take a 35mph blizzard and white-out as fine; I don’t need hurricane force wind gust in any snow fall, and if you are stupid enough to wish that on you get what you deserve.

no way, do I want to that bs. just keep it.

Tip, can you try to explain the factors in play here?

[40/70 Benchmark]

Keep it!

…wind damage to sky scrapers, roofs blown off some structures and power outages for everyone –

Frankly, that’s too much for me kids. I hate it when the power goes out. Not fun. The novelty of it wears off in about 2 minutes when you realize that every amenity known to modern living depends on electricity. F that! I’ll take a 35mph blizzard and white-out as fine; I don’t need hurricane force wind gust in any snow fall, and if you are stupid enough to wish that on you get what you deserve.

no way, do I want to that bs. just keep it.

[CTWeatherFreak]

Is it concerning at all that the Euro is about 18hrs slower than the GFS? Opinions anyone?

Is it really? at 168, the two models locate the surface low in very close proximity to one another.

[Logan11]

I'll take it off your hands if you don't want it.

Keep it!

…wind damage to sky scrapers, roofs blown off some structures and power outages for everyone –

Frankly, that’s too much for me kids. I hate it when the power goes out. Not fun. The novelty of it wears off in about 2 minutes when you realize that every amenity known to modern living depends on electricity. F that! I’ll take a 35mph blizzard and white-out as fine; I don’t need hurricane force wind gust in any snow fall, and if you are stupid enough to wish that on you get what you deserve.

no way, do I want to that bs. just keep it.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I would rather a good 'ole 985mb low that wasn't so progressive, though.

[Damage In Tolland]

Keep it!

…wind damage to sky scrapers, roofs blown off some structures and power outages for everyone –

Frankly, that’s too much for me kids. I hate it when the power goes out. Not fun. The novelty of it wears off in about 2 minutes when you realize that every amenity known to modern living depends on electricity. F that! I’ll take a 35mph blizzard and white-out as fine; I don’t need hurricane force wind gust in any snow fall, and if you are stupid enough to wish that on you get what you deserve.

no way, do I want to that bs. just keep it.

What in the sam hell are you talking about?

[Mr. Windcredible!]

Well it's going to be another long week of model watching...and God help us all if this storm doesn't deliver. The good news though is that this is what, at least the 4th run in a row that the Euro has had some sort of solution that has brought snow to SNE one way or another? Its good to have Dr. No onboard early. Increases confidence of an impact in SNE...but my early concern is that this one poses more of a mixing thread to coastal areas. But plenty of time to iron out the details as the week goes on.

[Organizing Low]

They said the track was 50 miles east of CHH and that could be good right back to here if it has bombed soon enough. If it bombs at the last minute then forget it... The benchmark for any particular storm varies based upon the size and structure of the storm.

looks to me you get about 0.4 or so rough estimate, similar to me

late bomb for sure

[dendrite]

I would rather a good 'ole 985mb low that wasn't so progressive, though.

I will take progressive over a snow bomb in the Mid Atl that doesn't drop a flake for New England.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I will take progressive over a snow bomb in the Mid Atl that doesn't drop a flake for New England.

Absolutely....I wasn't whining...just saying.

[Typhoon Tip]

Ray, you're an idiot

SnowNH, ...on the surface that looks like a an intense tropospheric fold would need take place; those are typically accompanied by Ray and tree parts flying through the air.

[moneypitmike]

What in the sam hell are you talking about?

Lol. I usually read/re-read John's posts. I pick up so much from them.

I spent 20 seconds reading this one. (j/k, John), but I disagree. Especially now that I have a generator.

[Typhoon Tip]

What in the sam hell are you talking about?

Yes, it's extremely complicated: I don't want the power to go out.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Ray, you're an idiot

SnowNH, ...on the surface that looks like a an intense tropospheric fold would need take place; those are typically accompanied by Ray and tree parts flying through the air.

:weenie:

[Damage In Tolland]

Yes, it's extremely complicated: I don't want the power to go out.

I hope we lose it for a week or more

[Go Kart Mozart]

Without high pressure up in Quebec there won't be much isentropic lift ahead of the storm. If you look at 144hrs the surface low is over HAT, but the snow is just beginning in Cape May. The snow might not begin in SNE until the low is near or above Ocean City. Gotta get into that CCB!

[moneypitmike]

looks to me you get about 0.4 or so rough estimate, similar to me

late bomb for sure

We need an explosion 75 miles sooner. Any later, a whole buch of us get the old 2010 screwgy.

[40/70 Benchmark]

I hope we lose it for a week or more

I think John needs to find a "hornet's nest" to poke ASAP.

[SnowMan]

Yes, it's extremely complicated: I don't want the power to go out.

[Cold Miser]

Lol. I usually read/re-read John's posts. I pick up so much from them.

I spent 20 seconds reading this one. (j/k, John), but I disagree. Especially now that I have a generator.

Yup, Generator on hand, and plenty of conditioned gasoline as well. Just enough power to keep the essentials going.

[Typhoon Tip]

Winter Storm Warning just wen up on the Cape and special issued for poopy Ray's backyard

[moneypitmike]

Yup, Generator on hand, and plenty of conditioned gasoline as well. Just enough power to keep the essentials going.

Refrigerator: check

Furnace: check

Well-pump: check

Hot water: check

Stove: check

Microwave: check

Few lights: check

TV/BR player: Check

Think I'm covered.

[moneypitmike]

Winter Storm Warning just wen up on the Cape and special issued for poopy Ray's backyard

Awesome---congrats!!!

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I hope we lose it for a week or more

Clearly you've never been w/o for that long.

I found 3 days painful last spring after the severe.

Nice thing from me out to Logan 11 is that a hurricane like bomb E. of CC gives us snow but 1/2 the wind.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Winter Storm Warning just wen up on the Cape and special issued for poopy Ray's backyard

[Typhoon Tip]

Clearly you've never been w/o for that long.

I found 3 days painful last spring after the severe.

Nice thing from me out to Logan 11 is that a hurricane like bomb E. of CC gives us snow but 1/2 the wind.

If you are basing that on tropical met guess again. The highest winds will be in the NW quadrant with extratropical lows that abutt higher pressure as they rise up the coast. PGF as well as isollobaric wind response from bombogen ...may as well be a P-wave off a morter bomb blast

[OKpowdah]

Euro looks pretty schweet. Huge bomb. Like Ray has been whining about, too bad it's pretty progressive, but oh well. I'm starting to become more confident that this will not be an OTS, and likely more than a scraper.

Weenie question: Is the Euro close to a triple phaser?

Congrats on the WSW Cape people!

Radio show? Lol

SHUT THE F*** UP!

[Typhoon Tip]

Did you guys get a load of the unga bunga 12z UKMET ?