Storm next weekend has better teleconnector support than this misery ever did

[40/70 Benchmark]

Take what you can get these days.

Well, I can always still do Weenie Fitness.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Yeah, I've been trying, but it's tough, especially when we've been in a bit of a SECS drought. I get even more excited about upcoming prospects, even if it does go against principle

I'm sure there are others on this board in that bloat.

[CoastalWx]

Well, I can always still do Weenie Fitness.

[OKpowdah]

Wow just read Taunton's long range disco. Obviously remaining cautious, but pretty bullish on the potential.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Wow just read Taunton's long range disco. Obviously remaining cautious, but pretty bullish on the potential.

Yea.

[Typhoon Tip]

That energy coming into the southwest in 72 hours is so much better than that ***** shortwave we were looking at for this past fail.

yea no comparison at all. in fact, this last one really was a feed-back scenario. there really wasn't initially any S/W of consequence, but a subtel tendency to shorten the L/W length locally allowed a small amount of wind max dynamics to generate more DPVA east of 90W

[OKpowdah]

yea no comparison at all. in fact, this last one really was a feed-back scenario. there really wasn't initially any S/W of consequence, but a subtel tendency to shorten the L/W length locally allowed a small amount of wind max dynamics to generate more DPVA east of 90W

That's an excellent explanation of what the model guidance was trying to key in on.

[HIPPYVALLEY]

I'm sure there are others on this board in that bloat.

Yeah, heading on almost 3 years w/o a storm over 9".

I know that parts of the Valley south of here have issues with good snows but Greenfield averages 55" according to over 40 years of DPW records and we have not come near that since 07/08.

[Typhoon Tip]

the 12z GFS is trying really, really desperately hard to f*** this thing up

[CoastalWx]

the 12z GFS is trying really, really desperately hard to f*** this thing up

It's a blizzard.

[dryslot]

It's a blizzard.

A weenie dream run........

[Damage In Tolland]

What is Tip talking about?

[Typhoon Tip]

It's a blizzard.

yea it's just that i could see this thing entering into the inevitable GFS droppage due to re-entry

500mb at 120 hours looks unraveled some over prior runs -

[dryslot]

What is Tip talking about?

I don't know, But there would be a lot of people getting crushed on this run if it verified......

[CoastalWx]

yea it's just that i could see this thing entering into the inevitable GFS droppage due to re-entry

500mb at 120 hours looks unraveled some over prior runs -

Check out after hr 126. It goes to town and that nrn stream really digs the trough.

[40/70 Benchmark]

Check out after hr 126. It goes to town and that nrn stream really digs the trough.

Scott is trying to conserve rope and chair supplies in a tough economy. lol

[SnowMan]

It's a blizzard.

Here we go again!

[Logan11]

A big snowstorm for NE despite the GFS looking less than stellar at 5H.... it pulled it out at the last minute with a hail mary pass. LOL. If it get's it act together it may look more like the 0Z Euro.

It's a blizzard.

[moneypitmike]

Nice run. I'll take my place in the .5" depiction 6 days out.

Too bad we're all too gun-shy after last week to shout it out publicly!

[OKpowdah]

If it wouldn't be for the northern stream, it'd be OTS this run; but as a whole, looks awesome

[moneypitmike]

A big snowstorm for NE despite the GFS looking less than stellar at 5H.... it pulled it out at the last minute with a hail mary pass. LOL. If it get's it act together it may look more like the 0Z Euro.

If we can get the Euro and GFS to agree on something 6 days out, I won't know whether to celebrate or cringe.

Let's see how the UK and GGem treat us.

[SnowMan]

Can anyone post the maps?

[mattb65]

That 12z run was so close to being suppressed OTS, would it be an IDEAL run for SNE... Mid Atl gets a glancing blow while SNE gets pasted? Looks pretty cold for the storm overall too. Given that this threat is less complex than the current one, do you mets put more confidence in what the models spit out as we get into better time range?

[mattb65]

Weenie map...

[40/70 Benchmark]

972mb low and a 1032mb high...have some wind.

[leesun]

More model porn. Question is, is this going to be just another movie or will it be something that we can actually experience and engage in?

Here we go again!

[40/70 Benchmark]

Keep in mind that though qpf is not overly prolific due to the progessive nature of the event, that soloution would result in greater than 10:1 ratios.

[alex]

Keep in mind that though qpf is not overly prolific due to the progessive nature of the event, that soloution would result in greater than 10:1 ratios.

I'd take 1.0" qpf even at 1:10

[SnowMan]

Keep in mind that though qpf is not overly prolific due to the progessive nature of the event, that soloution would result in greater than 10:1 ratios.

What do you mean by the progressive nature of the event?

[CoastalWx]

Keep in mind that though qpf is not overly prolific due to the progessive nature of the event, that soloution would result in greater than 10:1 ratios.

It's a cold storm. This would be a big hit verbatim.