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Storm next weekend has better teleconnector support than this misery ever did


Typhoon Tip

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  On 12/22/2010 at 3:09 AM, CapeCodWeather.net said:

seeing that from the 84 hr nam makes me feel better that the euro is wrong. LOL.

Well there is only so much room for an amped up solution with the monster ridge being as far east as it is. It would take a perfect phase to get it west of the Euro...I would lean further east at this point.

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Further east like the GFS or like the GGEM?

  On 12/22/2010 at 3:11 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Well there is only so much room for an amped up solution with the monster ridge being as far east as it is. It would take a perfect phase to get it west of the Euro...I would lean further east at this point.

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  On 12/22/2010 at 3:11 AM, ORH_wxman said:

Well there is only so much room for an amped up solution with the monster ridge being as far east as it is. It would take a perfect phase to get it west of the Euro...I would lean further east at this point.

yeah. i agree given the current predicted upper air configuration...tough to see it going any further west than what the ec shows without the 5h pattern adjusting further.

i mentioned earlier today that the one "alarm" i have is seeing this modeled as such a remarkable bomb at this time frame. it's more anecdotal than anything but this is kind of one of those cases where i would actually pull the old "how often do we see this only to see it fail" kind of thinking.

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  On 12/22/2010 at 3:20 AM, CapeCodWeather.net said:

yeah. i agree given the current predicted upper air configuration...tough to see it going any further west than what the ec shows without the 5h pattern adjusting further.

i mentioned earlier today that the one "alarm" i have is seeing this modeled as such a remarkable bomb at this time frame. it's more anecdotal than anything but this is kind of one of those cases where i would actually pull the old "how often do we see this only to see it fail" kind of thinking.

Glad to see that I am not the only who feels uneasy about this.

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  On 12/22/2010 at 3:40 AM, messenger said:

Nothing says Christmas like shopping at target at 1040 and having to eat one of their frisbee pizzas for dinner.

Nam to me is certainly well east of Ec. Doesnt mean it's the gfs though.

I'm with Phil most of the time when we see curl bombs that bleed east they are phantoms

Yeah..just got a feeling this one trends east to become a scraper / OTS solution. I'd be more worried about something that fails to develop / OTS than a curled up bomb tucked inside Block Island.

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  On 12/22/2010 at 3:33 AM, Cold Miser said:

The introduction of Will on the radio show. He's from "New England, the place we love to hate"

WTF is that supposed to mean?

Over the years big feuds over snowstorms. Mention Climo in the main model thread you will be trolled, lambasted. They're simply jealous! :snowman:

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  On 12/22/2010 at 3:46 AM, CCPSUSuperstorm2010 said:

Yeah, I don't think this will be an inland track like the EURO shows, inland meaning that it goes to the southwest of Cape COd, MA. I think this takes a track just east of the B/M.

If it goes just east of the B/M that means the north shore coast won't mix right?

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  On 12/22/2010 at 3:46 AM, NorEastermass128 said:

Most said they would be happy not to see another KU for 10 years after their luck last winter.

This is true. Actually had a feel good for the folks. Fun Rev and Ray mixing the pot. Geo wars were fun....LOL

The model rollercoaster over the next day o two!

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