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Storm next weekend has better teleconnector support than this misery ever did

Typhoon Tip

By Typhoon Tip,
in New England

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Typhoon Tip

Typhoon Tip

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  On 12/20/2010 at 3:53 PM, OSUmetstud said:

That energy coming into the southwest in 72 hours is so much better than that ***** shortwave we were looking at for this past fail.

yea no comparison at all. in fact, this last one really was a feed-back scenario. there really wasn't initially any S/W of consequence, but a subtel tendency to shorten the L/W length locally allowed a small amount of wind max dynamics to generate more DPVA east of 90W

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OKpowdah

OKpowdah

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  On 12/20/2010 at 4:06 PM, Typhoon Tip said:

yea no comparison at all. in fact, this last one really was a feed-back scenario. there really wasn't initially any S/W of consequence, but a subtel tendency to shorten the L/W length locally allowed a small amount of wind max dynamics to generate more DPVA east of 90W

That's an excellent explanation of what the model guidance was trying to key in on.

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HIPPYVALLEY

HIPPYVALLEY

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  On 12/20/2010 at 3:56 PM, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I'm sure there are others on this board in that bloat.

Yeah, heading on almost 3 years w/o a storm over 9".

I know that parts of the Valley south of here have issues with good snows but Greenfield averages 55" according to over 40 years of DPW records and we have not come near that since 07/08.

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moneypitmike

moneypitmike

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  On 12/20/2010 at 4:37 PM, Logan11 said:

A big snowstorm for NE despite the GFS looking less than stellar at 5H.... it pulled it out at the last minute with a hail mary pass. LOL. If it get's it act together it may look more like the 0Z Euro.

If we can get the Euro and GFS to agree on something 6 days out, I won't know whether to celebrate or cringe.

Let's see how the UK and GGem treat us.

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mattb65

mattb65

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That 12z run was so close to being suppressed OTS, would it be an IDEAL run for SNE... Mid Atl gets a glancing blow while SNE gets pasted? Looks pretty cold for the storm overall too. Given that this threat is less complex than the current one, do you mets put more confidence in what the models spit out as we get into better time range?

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