snow. Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Gonna be a cold one...maybe we can make a run at the low max Some stats for the 1980-2012 period Average Max - 53.4 Median - 52.0 Earliest Date - November 22nd (1984, 1990, 2001, 2007, 2012) Latest Date - November 28th (1985, 1991, 1996, 2002) Snowfall - 11/23/89 - 1.9" (storm total - 3.5") Coldest Max - 35 (11/23/1989, 11/28/1996) Warmest Max - 77 (11/22/2007) Maxes in 30s - 3 Maxes in 40s - 10 Maxes in 50s - 8 Maxes in 60s - 10 Maxes in 70s - 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Current GFS MEX is 47 on TGiving. 35 the day after. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Nice info. Nice median there in the 50s, which seems about right for that time of year for a high temp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Current GFS MEX is 47 on TGiving. 35 the day after. It seems too high based on model output...but would be hard to go too low from this far out... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 Nice info. Nice median there in the 50s, which seems about right for that time of year for a high temp it is pretty much right at our norm...not much smoothing going on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Current GFS MEX is 47 on TGiving. 35 the day after. Midnight high? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
EastCoast NPZ Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Gonna be a cold one...maybe we can make a run at the low max Some stats for the 1980-2012 period Average Max - 53.4 Median - 52.0 Earliest Date - November 22nd (1984, 1990, 2001, 2007, 2012) Latest Date - November 28th (1985, 1991, 1996, 2002) Snowfall - 11/23/89 - 1.9" (storm total - 3.5") Coldest Max - 35 (11/23/1989, 11/28/1996) Warmest Max - 77 (11/22/2007) Maxes in 30s - 3 Maxes in 40s - 10 Maxes in 50s - 8 Maxes in 60s - 10 Maxes in 70s - 2 Intersting in that the mean and the median are in the 50s; yet, the 40s and 60s have greater # of occurrences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 It seems too high based on model output...but would be hard to go too low from this far out... hadnt looked at the model.. does seem oddly warm even tho raw is often too cold at range maybe a late night high tho even that seems a bit off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 hadnt looked at the model.. does seem oddly warm even tho raw is often too cold at range maybe a late night high tho even that seems a bit off gfs_t2max_washdc_59.png Does the algorithm for mex mos blend in climo and model bias? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Does the algorithm for mex mos blend in climo and model bias? climo definitely.. not sure on anything else. it's possible it's showing an early high.. not sure. 35 for next friday on MEX is pretty sick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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