Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2013 Author Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 8:27 PM, usedtobe said: I noticed that. Hopefully it's ens mean will continue to look like last night's. I didn't see last nights up close but 12z looks ok. PV centered south of baffin and east of hudson. Decent ridging pusing into gl from the east. Improved look or a step back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 9:02 PM, Bob Chill said: I didn't see last nights up close but 12z looks ok. PV centered south of baffin and east of hudson. Decent ridging pusing into gl from the east. Improved look or a step back? improved from last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2013 Author Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 9:08 PM, snow. said: improved from last night Ah, this is good. I thought today's looked pretty good all things considered. But if it was worse than last night I would have been let down a little. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 9:12 PM, Bob Chill said: Ah, this is good. I thought today's looked pretty good all things considered. But if it was worse than last night I would have been let down a little. I'd say the ens mean is slightly improved as well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 DT thinks it won't be warm in January apparently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 cfs agrees with the TWC http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/monthly/images/CFSv2.NaT2m.20131223.201401.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 10:02 PM, Ji said: cfs agrees with the TWC http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/people/mchen/CFSv2FCST/monthly/images/CFSv2.NaT2m.20131223.201401.gif LOL you post those maps every other day, which is about how often they flip. Useless model. Its run just to justify its existence. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 9:47 PM, Ian said: DT thinks it won't be warm in January apparently TWC has no actual mets. Thats the WSI forecast.. I guess its a partner of TWC. Warmth is based on an EPO flip. No mention of the AO or NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 9:47 PM, Ian said: DT thinks it won't be warm in January apparently I think he did pretty well in December, though his map is confusing to read Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bob Chill Posted December 23, 2013 Author Share Posted December 23, 2013 I'm pretty unconvinced that the nice pattern we seem to be moving into will last more than 1-2 weeks. We could easily flip warm and break all time Jan records too. I almost expect it. We torch when a frog farts but can't accumulate snow even when it falls from the sky for 6 hours. It's how we roll. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 this is killing me not be able to track anything...so boring. Everytime i see a model run...total qpf for the run is like 0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 10:16 PM, Bob Chill said: I'm pretty unconvinced that the nice pattern we seem to be moving into will last more than 1-2 weeks. We could easily flip warm and break all time Jan records too. I almost expect it. We torch when a frog farts but can't accumulate snow even when it falls from the sky for 6 hours. It's how we roll. LOL. True...and if we cant get any sustained blocking to develop then odds are a relaxation in the EPO and the AO returning to positive will occur down the road, and we warm. Still have doubts about how cold we actually get here for the first part of Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 10:20 PM, Ji said: this is killing me not be able to track anything...so boring. Everytime i see a model run...total qpf for the run is like 0.00 I guess you never looked at the 12z GFS today which gives us 2 snowstorms? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CAPE Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 10:24 PM, snow. said: I guess you never looked at the 12z GFS today which gives us 2 snowstorms? Too far out. He needs instant gratification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow. Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 GFS fairly epic snow to ice event on day 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 10:24 PM, snow. said: I guess you never looked at the 12z GFS today which gives us 2 snowstorms? I don't count any storm post truncation Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 10:11 PM, snow. said: I think he did pretty well in December, though his map is confusing to readI'm not sure I've seen his outlook. I do know he thought you were in big trouble for Dec near the start of the month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 On 12/23/2013 at 11:04 PM, Ji said: I don't count any storm post truncationFacebook fame ruined you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted December 23, 2013 Share Posted December 23, 2013 BTW this thread is really long... someone should probably start a January one and move any Jan talk there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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