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Weekend winter storm


OKpowdah

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We have mostly snow falling here on the north side of Oklahoma City right now. I haven't measured but I would estimate a half inch of accumulated snow and sleet, and it has accumulated on ALL surfaces. I have yet to venture beyond by driveway in the car, but all roads that I can see are snow/ice covered and VERY slick. I spent the first 47 years of my life (up until 6 months ago) in New Jersey so I know dangerous roads when I see 'em, and, right now, the roads around here are as icy as roads can get. Be careful out there, folks.

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We have mostly snow falling here on the north side of Oklahoma City right now. I haven't measured but I would estimate a half inch of accumulated snow and sleet, and it has accumulated on ALL surfaces. I have yet to venture beyond by driveway in the car, but all roads that I can see are snow/ice covered and VERY slick. I spent the first 47 years of my life (up until 6 months ago) in New Jersey so I know dangerous roads when I see 'em, and, right now, the roads around here are as icy as roads can get. Be careful out there, folks.

It has been a nice big sleet fest here in Norman so far, though it is accumulating and things look very icy outside.

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Almost entirely PL through the brunt of the event here, and now significant ZR mixing in (my windshield will be in need of its third scraping of the past few days). 12z OUN RAOB was never warmer than 0.5 C, and wet bulbs were well below freezing through the column. I've always said PL is our default winter precip, and this is just another example to tack on the long list.

 

Some very impressive totals from SW OK, though, as they've been in a snow drought for quite a few years. Bullseye of 10-14" around Harmon/Greer Co. well exceeds most model QPF in that area; funny the NAM was correct in its QPF maximum (not necessarily location) early on, but backed off yesterday.

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THE WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER

COLLEGE PARK, MD

STORM SUMMARY MESSAGE

STORM SUMMARY NUMBER 09 FOR SOUTHWEST U.S. TO SOUTHERN PLAINS

WINTER STORM

NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD

300 AM CST MON NOV 25 2013

...SNOW CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES... WITH LIGHT

TO MODERATE RAIN OR FREEZING RAIN FALLING ACROSS EAST TEXAS AND

INTO THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

WINTER WEATHER ADVISORIES ARE STILL IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF THE

SOUTHERN PLAINS AND INTO THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE LOWER

MISSISSIPPI RIVER VALLEY. ISOLATED WINTER STORM WARNINGS ARE IN

EFFECT FOR AREAS OF THE CENTRAL ROCKIES... AS WELL AS A SMALL AREA

AROUND THE TEXAS/OKALHOMA/ARKANSAS BORDER.

FOR A DETAILED GRAPHICAL DEPICTION OF THE LATEST

WATCHES...WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES...PLEASE SEE WWW.WEATHER.GOV

AT 200 AM CST...AN UPPER LEVEL LOW WAS SLOWLY BEGINNING TO MOVE

OUT OF THE ROCKIES AND INTO THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND WAS TRIGGERING

PRECIPITATION AHEAD AND NORTH OF IT IN COLORADO AND THE SOUTHERN

PLAINS/LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY. NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER

RADARS AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATED SOME MAINLY LIGHT SNOW

WAS FALLING ACROSS THE CENTRAL ROCKIES IN COLORADO. TO THE EAST...

LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN WAS FALLING ACROSS THE EASTERN HALF OF

TEXAS AND INTO NORTHERN LOUISIANA. SOME FREEZING RAIN OR SLEET WAS

ALSO MIXED IN ACROSS NORTH TEXAS AND SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS.

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES FROM 200 AM CST THU NOV

21 THROUGH 200 AM CST SUN NOV 24...

...COLORADO...

VALLECITO 9 NE 39.0

COAL BANK PASS 37.0

LA PLATA 3 NE 36.0

RIO GRANDE RSVR 14 SSW 35.0

ELK PARK 9 ENE 27.0

WOLF CREEK PASS 1 SSE 24.0

COLUMBINE PASS 23.0

CRESTONE 9 ESE 23.0

GRAND MESA 22.0

CUCHARA 7 WSW 20.0

PLATORO 2 NNW 19.0

ST ELMO 8 NNW 17.4

WESTCLIFFE 9 S 16.0

SOUTH FORK 14.0

...NEW MEXICO...

RED RIVER 8 SSW 17.0

PECOS 3 N 12.0

TERERRO 6 WNW 12.0

ARROYO SECO 8 NE 10.0

OCATE 1 NW 10.0

TESUQUE 1 SSW 9.5

EDGEWOOD 3 W 9.0

SAN MIGUEL 8 SSW 9.0

TIJERAS 9 SE 9.0

MOUNTAINAIR 1.0 S 8.5

CHUPADERO 7 ESE 8.0

CUBA 9 E 8.0

LOS ALAMOS 6 W 7.0

WAGON MOUND 7.0

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL FREEZING RAIN ICE AMOUNTS IN INCHES FROM

200 AM CST THU NOV 21 THROUGH 200 AM CST SUN NOV 24...

...TEXAS...

ODESSA 2.00

ANDREW 1.00

KERMIT 1.00

RANKIN 1.00

CRANE 0.50

DRYDEN 28 NE 0.50

MARFA 0.50

SNYDER 1 N 0.50

CROSBYTON 0.25

ELDORADO 0.25

GRAPE CREEK 0.25

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SLEET IN INCHES FROM 200 AM CST THU NOV 21

THROUGH 200 AM CST SUN NOV 24...

...OKLAHOMA...

ASHLAND 0.50

...TEXAS...

JAYTON 1.00

BOWIE 0.10

BRYSON 0.10

GRAHAM 0.01

...SELECTED PEAK WIND GUSTS IN MILES PER HOUR EARLIER IN THE

EVENT...

...CALIFORNIA...

LAGUNA PEAK 76

CAMP NINE 57

WARM SPRINGS 57

FREMONT CANYON 53

TUSTIN FOOTHILLS 6 ENE 53

...KANSAS...

GOODLAND 4 S 53

BURLINGTON 4 S 52

SHARON SPRINGS 9 SSE 51

...NEW MEXICO...

SANTA TERESA 5 SW 54

DRIPPING SPRINGS 52

SAN AUGUSTIN PASS 52

ALBUQUERQUE 5 S 51

...TEXAS...

EL PASO 8 NNW 64

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL SNOWFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS

ENDED...

...ARIZONA...

FOREST LAKES 12.0

GRAND CANYON RIM 11.5

FLAGSTAFF ARPT 11.4

ALPINE 2 E 8.0

KACHINA VILLAGE 2.8

...CALIFORNIA...

ASPENDELL 24.0

OWENS VALLEY 5 W 12.0

OWENS VALLEY RAWS 5 S 12.0

WRIGHTWOOD 12.0

IDYLLWILD-PINE 1 NW 9.0

...KANSAS...

RICHFIELD 11 ENE 7.0

HUGOTON 6.5

SUBLETTE 6.5

MOSCOW 10 W 6.0

ULYSSES 5.0

MEADE 3.0

DODGE CITY 2.0

...NEVADA...

MT. CHARLESTON 2 SW 19.0

COYOTE WASH RAWS 9 E 5.0

...OKLAHOMA...

VINSON 13.0

GRANITE 10.0

MANGUM 8.0

ROOSEVELT 8.0

ALTUS 4.0

ELK CITY 2.0

HOLLIS 2.0

LAWTON 3 E 2.0

QUANAN 2.0

ROCKY 2.0

...TEXAS...

HEDLEY 10.0

WELLINGTON 1 S 10.0

MULESHOE 1 N 8.3

DIMMIT 8.0

FRIONA 8.0

CLARENDON 7.0

MEMPHIS 7.0

TULIA 7.0

FARWELL 6.0

HEREFORD 6.0

HOWARDWICK 6.0

AMARILLO 5 N 4.0

...UTAH...

ABAJAO SNOTEL 1 SE 41.0

LA SOL SNOTEL 20.0

BLANDING 14 W 18.0

SAN JUAN CO ARPT 6 W 11.0

PARADOX 7 WSW 10.0

MONTICELLO 10 N 7.0

MOAB 3 S 5.5

...SELECTED STORM TOTAL RAINFALL IN INCHES WHERE THE EVENT HAS

ENDED...

...ARIZONA...

MT LEMMON ALERT 5.20

SAMANIEGO PEAK 4.40

DAN SADDLE 4.10

PLEASANT VALLEY 3.70

PROMONTORY 3.70

GISELA 3.50

CATALINA STATE PARK 3.40

ORO VALLEY 5 SSW 3.20

CLIFTON ALERT WEATHER STATION 3.10

PAYSON 3.10

...CALIFORNIA...

MID HILLS RAWS 2.34

...NEVADA...

MOUNTAIN SPRINGS RAWS 2.76

YUCCA GAP 1.91

BARSTOW-DAGGETT 1.76

LAS VEGAS 1.37

LITTLE TO NO ADDITIONAL SNOWFALL ACCUMULATION IS EXPECTED FOR THE

SOUTHERN OR CENTRAL ROCKIES AS THE UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM EXITS THE

MOUNTAINS AND ENTERS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS EARLY THIS MORNING. SOME

ADDITIONAL ACCUMULATION OF LESS THAN A QUARTER INCH OF ICE IS

STILL POSSIBLE FOR NORTHEAST TEXAS AND ARKANSAS... HOWEVER... THE

FREEZING RAIN SHOULD BEGIN TAPERING OFF ACROSS THIS REGION BY THIS

AFTERNOON. MEANWHILE... RAIN WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS

EAST TEXAS AND INTO LOUISIANA AND EVENTUALLY MOVE INTO THE

SOUTHEAST BY TUESDAY MORNING. RAINFALL TOTALS UP TO 3 INCHES COULD

BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY AND INTO THE

SOUTHEAST ON MONDAY. ON TUESDAY... THE RAIN IS FORECAST TO SPREAD

ACROSS THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES AND INTO THE MID-ATLANTIC REGION

WITH AS MUCH AS 2 INCHES OR MORE POSSIBLE.

THE NEXT STORM SUMMARY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE WEATHER PREDICTION

CENTER AT 900 AM CST. PLEASE REFER TO YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER

SERVICE OFFICE FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS EVENT.

MONARSKI

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We had (what I assume was) a last gasp shower of sleet and freezing rain here in Oklahoma City as I was driving to work (at around 7:45 am).  The roads were not bad (before, during or after the shower):  Wet with the occasionally slick spot on a bridge or overpass.  As long as one drove with a bit of common sense, it was fine... but apparently there are quite a few people in Central Oklahoma lacking in the common sense department because there were accidents everywhere I looked.   

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Seeing some reports of light snow flurries in the Dallas/Ft Worth and the San Angelo areas this morning as the cold pocket associated with the upper low continues to advance towards Central Texas. The Austin area on down toward I-10 may see some snow flurries this morning through about 10:00 AM as well. There may be a brief window for a few stray snow flurries or sleet across portions of SE Texas as water vapor imagery does show some colder cloud tops advancing our way from the West. CLL did a special sounding this morning and comfirms a saturated column below freezing except at the surface. That upper low/trough should move across SE Texas during the day and finally end any chance of moisture and finally begin to clear out this cloudy/wet weather in time for Thanksgiving. An area wide freeze is possible except for those near the Coast early Thanksgiving morning and a warming trend begins to end the month of November.

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Seeing some reports of light snow flurries in the Dallas/Ft Worth and the San Angelo areas this morning as the cold pocket associated with the upper low continues to advance towards Central Texas. The Austin area on down toward I-10 may see some snow flurries this morning through about 10:00 AM as well. There may be a brief window for a few stray snow flurries or sleet across portions of SE Texas as water vapor imagery does show some colder cloud tops advancing our way from the West. CLL did a special sounding this morning and comfirms a saturated column below freezing except at the surface. That upper low/trough should move across SE Texas during the day and finally end any chance of moisture and finally begin to clear out this cloudy/wet weather in time for Thanksgiving. An area wide freeze is possible except for those near the Coast early Thanksgiving morning and a warming trend begins to end the month of November.

 

Any above normal temps will be short lived though in a pattern like this:

 

post-4485-0-77972200-1385480162_thumb.gi
 
Impressive Arctic air may be building.
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Any above normal temps will be short lived though in a pattern like this:

 

 
 
Impressive Arctic air may be building.

 

16ºC temp anomaly nothing to sneeze at, bias adjusted 0Z GFS ensembles don't show core making it to Texas, then again, low res members could miss shallow cold outbreak, or even be showing a cold outbreak down here below lowest 150 mb...

post-138-0-63731800-1385482307_thumb.gif

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