Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 21 here, we hang with the coldest. It's cold, but does not have that zing you'd expectmy tits were cold when I walked the dogs, zing with no wind Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 just busting, I know how you like to put weenie sayings in quotes, will definitely use that one. EDIT wait what WE mean? LOL oh...just that i think scott was implying the same. no worries. regardless...certainly a cold day...but nothing like what's coming down the pike. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 oh...just that i think scott was implying the same. no worries. regardless...certainly a cold day...but nothing like what's coming down the pike. Oh yeah I understood. My temp is bouncing around where I am thanks to these random puffs of wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 oh...just that i think scott was implying the same. no worries. regardless...certainly a cold day...but nothing like what's coming down the pike. totally impressed by the ENSEMBLE 850 depictions, looked at that 850 site and these are record territory predicted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Oh yeah I understood. My temp is bouncing around where I am thanks to these random puffs of wind.WWM Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 totally impressed by the ENSEMBLE 850 depictions, looked at that 850 site and these are record territory predicted Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 the track of the mid-week system is going to be all over the place for days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 my tits were cold when I walked the dogs, zing with no wind Gary Ley just signed out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 the track of the mid-week system is going to be all over the place for days. Nice high bridging in, but a little flat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 the track of the mid-week system is going to be all over the place for days. Yes...its perfect for model mayhem. You have an ejecting cutoff from the southwest and a very fast moving polar jet to the north. Perfect for playing into different model biases. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 I've noticed those H85 climo temps are similar for multiple stations. They were the same for CON and PVD. I'm guessing they're for CHH or GYX? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 We'll need a good high for Cape Cod, MA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Euro Ens even have DC at -14 C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Euro Ens even have DC at -14 CIf that low develops like the GFS has, it willshove that core of the cold overhead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 I've noticed those H85 climo temps are similar for multiple stations. They were the same for CON and PVD. I'm guessing they're for CHH or GYX?Probably since they are the soundings record, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Nice high bridging in, but a little flat. feel like the fast flow aloft over the northern tier relative to the cut-off and energy coming out of the southwest is going to mean the track up or off the coast is in flux on guidance right up to the middle of next week. that is, timing each of the impulses of energy embedded in the NW flow and then the subsequent relaxation behind them...not going to be easy on models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Brutal early season cold Ginxy. Mood flakes Sunday and Tuesday. GFS develops Sunday just too late but then again 24 hours ago it was nothing...Euro time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 I've noticed those H85 climo temps are similar for multiple stations. They were the same for CON and PVD. I'm guessing they're for CHH or GYX? I would assume so, otherwise a mean climo for 850mb is more just a smoothing guesstimate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 feel like the fast flow aloft over the northern tier relative to the cut-off and energy coming out of the southwest is going to mean the track up or off the coast is in flux on guidance right up to the middle of next week. that is, timing each of the impulses of energy embedded in the NW flow and then the subsequent relaxation behind them...not going to be easy on models. Oh yeah, we may not know until Tuesday lol. Like Will said those features will be absolute havoc for models. That 500mb low wobbling over the SW and screaming flow coming from the Pacific and then Canada. Models really perform well in those situations. This also will be a thread the needle deal if we get it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Brutal early season cold Ginxy. Mood flakes Sunday and Tuesday. GFS develops Sunday just too late but then again 24 hours ago it was nothing...Euro time. Huge improvements at H5 the setup just misses favoring Cape Cod, MA. However you would expect this type of setup this early in the season. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Nice inversion on the Cape tonight, 850 s + 2, 925 -3 according to Mesoanalysis Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 21, 2013 Author Share Posted November 21, 2013 The 00z GFS is pretty funny...it has a raging +AO, but we are in the freezer because the one place with strong ridging is over AK in conjunction with a PNA-type ridge in the west. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Brutal early season cold Ginxy. Mood flakes Sunday and Tuesday. GFS develops Sunday just too late but then again 24 hours ago it was nothing...Euro time.Hopefully a pretty good Windex event is in the cards. How about that wind though, geez after the Jet engine here Mon night look forward to hearing the hounds howling again. Forky just signed off though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Huge improvements at H5 the setup just misses favoring Cape Cod, MA. However you would expect this type of setup this early in the season. you should get a job with the chamber of commerce. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 The 00z GFS is pretty funny...it has a raging +AO, but we are in the freezer because the one place with strong ridging is over AK in conjunction with a PNA-type ridge in the west.Will 93? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Wait, not 93 .I was looking at 02 late Nov dailies today, looked a lot like the GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Holy crap, 1147 can tell we are in winter mode, lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 The 00z GFS is pretty funny...it has a raging +AO, but we are in the freezer because the one place with strong ridging is over AK in conjunction with a PNA-type ridge in the west.Very much a 60-61 pattern with a progressive but cold ATL and a big PAC ridge. Looks a lot like 93-94 with Hudson Bay low too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 00z GEFS mean is way west of the op and has significant precip well inland. Sub 1000mb low just offshore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Amped Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 The 00z GFS is pretty funny...it has a raging +AO, but we are in the freezer because the one place with strong ridging is over AK in conjunction with a PNA-type ridge in the west. Yeah PNA ridging over NW Canada should allow cold anticyclones to form and push south into the US. In theory we don't really need the AO. Weenies over-rate it because it has some correlation with the PNA and NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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