Tropopause_Fold Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Phil and Messenger out shoveling; pond-skating up in GC. I'd rather be shoveling. lol. honestly, right now, i'd put higher odds on you coming out of this weekend with something on the ground than me. we'll see how things evolve over the next several days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 From what I saw the 00z EC ensembles didn't have much of a SE ridge and the 12z don't have one either. Unless you mean a SE ridge around Dec 1&2? Well I think the first few days of December we relax, but then reload again. We'll always have a danger to play with the SE ridge, but as modeled it's not a huge deal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 I think overall inverted troughs over perform when it comes to an H5 low moving south of 40N latitude. So the location of the inverted trough will greatly impact where the best snows will form as most know. Well the upper low stays way up in QB, but there's enough DPVA with that vort swinging through to "pull" those isobars back a bit from the retreating low...but yeah, you generally want the vort moving "underneath" you. This isn't one of those H5 bowling balls moving out of the GL though so I wouldn't count on more than some mood accums right now. It's not even in the NAM's 84hr window yet so I wouldn't get too hung up on these mesoscale deals from run to run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 It may never snow again in the interior. mpm waving the white flag 2/3 into November is even early for him. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jamesnichols1989 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Yeah dendrite, you are probably right, but that disturbance runs south of the region and then the low closes off at H5 over the weekend. Still too early to rely on the NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 There was a November. Maybe it was 1979? It was my first Nov living in CT after moving here from Jersey. We had just moved here that Oct.I recall hiking with my parents and there was a pond that was frozen over completely. I distinctly recall there being no snow OTG, but it was bitter cold. Was Nov 79 cold or did it not start till that early Dec? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Pond hockey on thanksgiving? Haha..... Pond in my backyard is glazed over...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 There was a November. Maybe it was 1979? It was my first Nov living in CT after moving here from Jersey. We had just moved here that Oct.I recall hiking with my parents and there was a pond that was frozen over completely. I distinctly recall there being no snow OTG, but it was bitter cold. Was Nov 79 cold or did it not start till that early Dec? how old are you? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 how old are you? Luke(Phil)I am your father Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 '89 was a very cold Nov. stretch many single digit records broken. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 '89 was a very cold Nov. stretch many single digit records broken. Looks like Sunday night some folks will see single digit lows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 18Z GFS hs snow in the air for many Sunday with 504 thicknesses down to NYC Sunday afternoon. That's cold muthufukkas! 504 thickness, damn Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Looks like Sunday night some folks will see single digit lowsYup. Would not be shocked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ROOSTA Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Looks like Sunday night some folks will see single digit lows Might have to finally turn the heat on. Lets hope to see the ridge build out W and sharpen the trough. Dig, dig, dig. Bark like a dog! Bring on the hounds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Looks like Sunday night some folks will see single digit lows Im not sure bout that with wind, but every week of climo that passes by, each one of these unseasonable cold shots gets more and more impressive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Im not sure bout that with wind, but every week of climo that passes by, each one of these unseasonable cold shots gets more and more impressive Places like the Berks and SNH..could easily get down into the 8-10 degree range..It's CAA driven cold..not radiating Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 It may never snow again in the interior. or rain at this rate. I'd take cold and dry but the beaver pond out back is as low as I've ever seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Even this week the cold performed. Let it continue before an abrupt end April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Phil and Messenger out shoveling; pond-skating up in GC. I'd rather be shoveling. I've already skied, made 2 snowmen and did a snow angel. If this weekend plays out like it could I may even get to push a shovel around after I return from skiing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Places like the Berks and SNH..could easily get down into the 8-10 degree range..It's CAA driven cold..not radiating O/U 6 inches snow in tolland by Dec 5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Phil and Messenger out shoveling; pond-skating up in GC. I'd rather be shoveling. I hate to ask...but what or where is GC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 I hate to ask...but what or where is GC?Berkshires, God's Country Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Arctic invasion with 850 -5SD east winds, lock up underforecast precip in the Berks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Whineminster Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 well literally yea they are always underforecast. A place of inbreeding. Haha ok, I can't say I disagree with either of these things....everybody's idea of god country is different,...I always thought it was Rochester MA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 I am pretty stoked at the upcoming pattern almost 2013 pre Feb stoked. Just feeling something pops first week of Dec. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 A place of inbreeding. LMAO. I'm not holding out much hope for a T-day event. Things are a little too progressive. But, if we can (wait.....for........it.........) thread the needle with the timing, perhaps, just perhaps what looks right now to be a scraper or off-shore might make a closer path. Certainly need to keep watching it, but my gut says no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 Yeah the Atlantic is keeping the pattern quite progressive. The PAC is causing the cold, but for a blocked up pattern conductive for lots of big coastals, you want a good -NAO...without that, you get a lot of SWFE or other fast moving systems. We get a transient east-based block (should really just called it a ridge) next week which may help out with that coastal threat by temporarily trying to slow things down a bit, but its obviously not a classic block. Move the block west, And more folks would be happy....... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 I am pretty stoked at the upcoming pattern almost 2013 pre Feb stoked. Just feeling something pops first week of Dec. Like around the 5th.......... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ice1972 Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 O/U 6 inches snow in tolland by Dec 5? I'll go over if its total 6 by then but under if its actual pack by then....lol....O/U 6 in in WeHa by 11/5? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 21, 2013 Share Posted November 21, 2013 -15 to -20F departures for Sunday/Monday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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