CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 yah Jerry..I posted this last night and it was mocked and questioned by a couple mets..but as has been the case..The euro has blown Euro is still mild. What is your point? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Ensembles are way east. So they get us wih light snows? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Euro is still mild. What is your point? It's an early fropa which means it drops all day Saturday and it had mid 60's on yesterdays run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 It's an early fropa which means it drops all day Saturday and it had mid 60's on yesterdays run LOL, so keep the windows open Friday night then. Saturday will be a little mild overall I think..real cold not until Sunday with second fropa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Watch for big winds on Sunday..HWW? Strong CAA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 LOL, so keep the windows open Friday night then. Saturday will be a little mild overall I think..real cold not until Sunday with second fropa. Euro did shift to the consensus for the nearer range 12Z to 0Z. What I am encouraged most about is the big qpf signal for next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Euro did shift to the consensus for the nearer range 12Z to 0Z. What I am encouraged most about is the big qpf signal for next week. Hopefully Euro ens east means snow instead of a 50 degree rainer like the op has Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Euro did shift to the consensus for the nearer range 12Z to 0Z. What I am encouraged most about is the big qpf signal for next week. The outcome is the same. Lame fropa. Big cold though comes in Saturday night and especially Sunday, but it's a quick hitter. Begins to turn a bit milder Monday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 This map doesn't look like what you'd expect from looking at the Euro op pic.twitter.com/nfjd41wQSj Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJwinter23 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 TG storm out in full force on latest suites. Definitely game on with the threat. That long wave pattern would allow for an inland runner if amplification/phasing happens too early, and vice verse on an out to sea scenario..so we will need to hope for great timing, but i will take the threat in a heart beat late Novy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 The outcome is the same. Lame fropa. Big cold though comes in Saturday night and especially Sunday, but it's a quick hitter. Begins to turn a bit milder Monday. Not really, because Yesterday it had Saturday well into the 60's..Now it's a high of like 46 early and then drops into the 30's Sat afternoon with flurries Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Not really, because Yesterday it had Saturday well into the 60's..Now it's a high of like 46 early and then drops into the 30's Sat afternoon with flurries It did not have it that warm. Regardess, Friday is an arm out the window day through Saturday morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 TG storm out in full force on latest suites. Definitely game on with the threat. That long wave pattern would allow for an inland runner if amplification/phasing happens too early, and vice verse on an out to sea scenario..so we will need to hope for great timing, but i will take the threat in a heart beat late Novy. Anything from a low up near NYC to a couple hundred miles offshore is on the table, but I agree...strong signal there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 It did not have it that warm. Regardess, Friday is an arm out the window day through Saturday morning.Well most folks don't put arms out windows for highs in the mid 40's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 It did not have it that warm. Regardess, Friday is an arm out the window day through Saturday morning.Dreaded midnight high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Well most folks don't put arms out windows for highs in the mid 40's.Close the shades until lunchtime Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 The outcome is the same. Lame fropa. Big cold though comes in Saturday night and especially Sunday, but it's a quick hitter. Begins to turn a bit milder Monday. The outcome might be the same if it hit 75 Saturday with the fropa but getting there is now more in ine with the rest of the guidance. A 50 rain storm won't bother me for thanksgiving day or right before. Odds are still long this early and even a favorable track might not produce a wintry result for many of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Dreaded midnight high He'll have those scrawny arms hanging out of the truck when it's 50 Friday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 The outcome might be the same if it hit 75 Saturday with the fropa but getting there is now more in ine with the rest of the guidance. A 50 rain storm won't bother me for thanksgiving day or right before. Odds are still long this early and even a favorable track might not produce a wintry result for many of us. I don't understand the point though, who cares when the timing is? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 I don't understand the point though, who cares when the timing is? Kevin's worried about any warm wx. This run mitigated the ore frontal warmth vs 12Z. Personally, I'm fine with another warm day. It's November still. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Kevin's worried about any warm wx. This run mitigated the ore frontal warmth vs 12Z. Personally, I'm fine with another warm day. It's November still. Well he is neurotic. I'm fine with a mild Saturday as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Again it's not even the third week in November and we are tracking formidable cold shots with storm chances on a weekly basis. We are so far ahead of the last few years...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
toronto blizzard Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 EC ensembles look very nice in the 11-15 day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Lot of moving parts with next weeks system. Like seeing the ensembles E of the Op. Not much can be said at this point other than the signal for a system around T-Day is there. Nice cold shot before than. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ADKweather27 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 Well he is neurotic. I'm fine with a mild Saturday as well. I am getting married on Saturday, sign me up for the mild day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 The outcome might be the same if it hit 75 Saturday with the fropa but getting there is now more in ine with the rest of the guidance. A 50 rain storm won't bother me for thanksgiving day or right before. Odds are still long this early and even a favorable track might not produce a wintry result for many of us. Yeah everything will have to come perfectly together for a wintry scene Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 I am getting married on Saturday, sign me up for the mild day. Congrats Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 I am getting married on Saturday, sign me up for the mild day. Congratulations! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 20, 2013 Share Posted November 20, 2013 I am getting married on Saturday, sign me up for the mild day. Congrats although my wedding dream would have been in the ADKs with feet of snow, to each his own, LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 20, 2013 Author Share Posted November 20, 2013 Well the T-day threat is still alive and well...ensembles actually were slightly later with it...so it would be more of a Wed night deal. There isn't a whole ton of cold air, so we'll need a pretty good track for mostly frozen...but beggars can't be choosers. Its pretty good for 11/27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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