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November weather dicsussion


ORH_wxman

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12z GGEM is a mixed bag for southern areas this weekend.  Looks like a snow to rain deal with all snow N.  Follow-up potential is there,

 

That it is... that 180 panel looks ripe, especially for you guys further south with that cold pressing in. 

 

Maybe this is one of those things where the first storm goes north and then the one behind it comes one step south in the wake of the weekend event.

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It seems like there will be some snow in SNE this weekend. But it could certainly be snow to rain . Or maybe it's rain ending as snow. Onto Euro

 

 

It could still easily be a cutter where the polar boundary doesn't sink far enough south to get much cold in here prior to it...in that case it would be rain for just about everyone...maybe a little snow changing to rain up north. Its important to keep all options on the table.

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It could still easily be a cutter where the polar boundary doesn't sink far enough south to get much cold in here prior to it...in that case it would be rain for just about everyone...maybe a little snow changing to rain up north. Its important to keep all options on the table.

 

If we see the cutoff dig for the Baja, it's going to pump up heights in the SE.  I'd like to see that end up somewhere around the MEX/AZ/NM border as opposed to off the Baja coast.

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Euro is very strong CAD...starts as snow for many.

Its still a convoluted setup and the longwave pattern wants to track this west of us.

Warm up like the GFS straight to Montreal/Quebec City, or stay closer to the 00z ECM track?

Yes, IMBY question lol...but curious what happens north of the MA border.

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Warm up like the GFS straight to Montreal/Quebec City, or stay closer to the 00z ECM track?

Yes, IMBY question lol...but curious what happens north of the MA border.

west of the greens might do the traditional warm up on S flow...but it would be really brief on that evolution as a secondary takes over to your east

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Warm up like the GFS straight to Montreal/Quebec City, or stay closer to the 00z ECM track?

Yes, IMBY question lol...but curious what happens north of the MA border.

 

 

It doesn't keep you all snow like the 00z run, but its still pretty good there.

 

None of this matters anyway right now.

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west of the greens might do the traditional warm up on S flow...but it would be really brief on that evolution as a secondary takes over to your east

Cool thanks. Yeah that sounds about right. Doesn't take much for BTV to be howling south winds and 40F while it holds below freezing east of the mountains.

Sounds like this would be really good for Dendrite-Dryslot region and points NE.

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