powderfreak Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 12z GGEM is a mixed bag for southern areas this weekend. Looks like a snow to rain deal with all snow N. Follow-up potential is there, That it is... that 180 panel looks ripe, especially for you guys further south with that cold pressing in. Maybe this is one of those things where the first storm goes north and then the one behind it comes one step south in the wake of the weekend event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Yeah give it time. It's November 18th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Definitely something "in the cards" for 27-28 it seems. making fun of my use of quotes? "i like to use them" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 making fun of my use of quotes? "i like to use them" Not at all..lol. If you noticed, I've used them more as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 These continue to be run from Jerry's basement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 gfs ens mean is about as good as it can get for the time of year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 It seems like there will be some snow in SNE this weekend. But it could certainly be snow to rain . Or maybe it's rain ending as snow. Onto Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Clinch Leatherwood Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Definitely something "in the cards" for 27-28 it seems. Been in the cards for at least a few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TauntonBlizzard2013 Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Talk seems positive. Let's get the real cold I here for December Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Well lets see the song and dance that the euro guidance does. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 18, 2013 Author Share Posted November 18, 2013 It seems like there will be some snow in SNE this weekend. But it could certainly be snow to rain . Or maybe it's rain ending as snow. Onto Euro It could still easily be a cutter where the polar boundary doesn't sink far enough south to get much cold in here prior to it...in that case it would be rain for just about everyone...maybe a little snow changing to rain up north. Its important to keep all options on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Man the fact that we are even entertaining a cold option should be more than a win. It's still mid Novie guys. Lets not act like it's late December. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 It could still easily be a cutter where the polar boundary doesn't sink far enough south to get much cold in here prior to it...in that case it would be rain for just about everyone...maybe a little snow changing to rain up north. Its important to keep all options on the table. If we see the cutoff dig for the Baja, it's going to pump up heights in the SE. I'd like to see that end up somewhere around the MEX/AZ/NM border as opposed to off the Baja coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Man the fact that we are even entertaining a cold option should be more than a win. It's still mid Novie guys. Lets not act like it's late December.yeppers Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Euro is going to he interesting...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 euro has a good CAD set-up initially....maybe setting up for some snow going to icing in the berks and ORH hills etc. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 120 hr is chilly with a1036 hp north of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Definitely an icy look for some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N. OF PIKE Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 If we see the cutoff dig for the Baja, it's going to pump up heights in the SE. I'd like to see that end up somewhere around the MEX/AZ/NM border as opposed to off the Baja coast. Does euro have bias wrt cut offs latitude in sw Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Lol at the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 A lot of sne starts frozen Saturday on the euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 18, 2013 Author Share Posted November 18, 2013 Euro is very strong CAD...starts as snow for many. Its still a convoluted setup and the longwave pattern wants to track this west of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Baroclinic Zone Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Does euro have bias wrt cut offs latitude in sw It does have a history of digging for oil in that area with cutoffs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Euro is very strong CAD...starts as snow for many. Its still a convoluted setup and the longwave pattern wants to track this west of us. a little later in the season, that's probably a slam dunk all frozen... snow to ice set-up for you. even so, you'd definitely get some. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Euro is very strong CAD...starts as snow for many. Its still a convoluted setup and the longwave pattern wants to track this west of us. Warm up like the GFS straight to Montreal/Quebec City, or stay closer to the 00z ECM track? Yes, IMBY question lol...but curious what happens north of the MA border. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 18, 2013 Author Share Posted November 18, 2013 It almost reminds me of a 12/16/07 but tamer and 3-4 weeks earlier. Same kind of high position and primary track though. Given the time frame, its silly to speculate about the realism of the details. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 Warm up like the GFS straight to Montreal/Quebec City, or stay closer to the 00z ECM track? Yes, IMBY question lol...but curious what happens north of the MA border. west of the greens might do the traditional warm up on S flow...but it would be really brief on that evolution as a secondary takes over to your east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ORH_wxman Posted November 18, 2013 Author Share Posted November 18, 2013 Warm up like the GFS straight to Montreal/Quebec City, or stay closer to the 00z ECM track? Yes, IMBY question lol...but curious what happens north of the MA border. It doesn't keep you all snow like the 00z run, but its still pretty good there. None of this matters anyway right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted November 18, 2013 Share Posted November 18, 2013 west of the greens might do the traditional warm up on S flow...but it would be really brief on that evolution as a secondary takes over to your east Cool thanks. Yeah that sounds about right. Doesn't take much for BTV to be howling south winds and 40F while it holds below freezing east of the mountains. Sounds like this would be really good for Dendrite-Dryslot region and points NE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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